Home Run Cheat Sheet - HR Data, Stats, Matchups and More - Friday, September 1

Welcome to the Home Run Cheat Sheet! If you’re a regular Dimers user, you know there’s not much more we love to bet on than home runs, especially in the dog days of summer dominated by baseball. We use our cutting-edge predictive analytics machine to find both the best value and most likely home run hitters on any given day. Powered by our A.I. models, we run 1000s of simulations on every game in every slate to find out when the sportsbooks are wrong and how you can use that to your advantage to turn a long-term profit.

However, even though we love our DimersBOT, a savvy bettor has no shortage of tools in their arsenal and knows that the more resources and data you can use to back up your bets, the stronger they’ll be. While nothing is ever a guarantee in sports betting, you’ll find yourself hitting your wagers more often than not when making full use of the resources available to you. Hopefully, this article will give you a little insight into how we arrive at our final decisions when putting together our HR Round Robins and two-leg HR Parlays.

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Home Run Cheat Sheet

For ease of use, this article will be broken into four main sections as follows:

• Today’s Starting Pitchers and their HR allowed data
• Hot hitters – most HR over last # of days
• The worst bullpens in terms of HR allowed
• Historical matchups – the hitters with the best HR and batting history

Be sure to cross-reference these lists with our Best Home Run Props which continuously update throughout the day!

MORE: Best Bets Today in All Sports - Friday, September 1

🎯 Dinger Targets

Today’s starting pitchers with their total home runs and home runs per 9 allowed this season. Based on scheduled starters and subject to change.

PITCHER	OPPONENT	HR ALLOWED	IP	HR/9
C. Rodon (NYY)	HOU Astros	10	37.2	2.42
C. Flexen (COL)	TOR Blue Jays	19	72.2	2.37
J. Lyles (KC)	BOS Red Sox	33	142.1	2.09
J. Sears (OAK)	LA Angels	31	140.2	1.99
J. Ryan (MIN)	TEX Rangers	26	131.0	1.79
J. Urias (LAD)	ATL Braves	21	112.1	1.69
M. Scherzer (TEX)	MIN Twins	25	138.1	1.63
J. Irvin (WSH)	MIA Marlins	18	102.2	1.59
J. Paxton (BOS)	KC Royals	16	94.2	1.53
G. Ashcraft (CIN) GM1		22	140.2	1.41
D. Hudson (STL)	PIT Pirates	7	49.0	1.29
F. Peralta (MIL)	PHI Phillies	20	139.0	1.29
E. Perez (MIA)	WSH Nationals	10	74.0	1.22
T. Toussaint (CWS)	DET Tigers	8	59.0	1.22
J. Wicks (CHC) *AAA stats* GM1	CIN Reds	12	91.1	1.19
Z. Davies (ARI)	BAL Orioles	8	62.1	1.16
C. Irvin (BAL)	ARI D-Backs	8	64.0	1.13
H. Ryu (TOR)	COL Rockies	3	24.0	1.13
C. Quantrill (CLE)	TB Rays	8	67.0	1.07
M. Keller (PIT)	STL Cardinals	19	163.2	1.05
T. Glasnow (TB)	CLE Guardians	10	86.2	1.04
M. Wacha (SD)	SF Giants	10	101.1	0.89
T. Beck (SF)	SD Padres	7	71.2	0.88
Z. Wheeler (PHI)	MIL Brewers	15	158.0	0.85
M. Fried (ATL)	LA Dodgers	5	53.2	0.85
E. Rodriguez (DET)	CHI White Sox	11	117.2	0.84
J. Verlander (HOU)	NY Yankees	11	123.1	0.80
K. Senga (NYM)	SEA Mariners	12	136.1	0.79
P. Sandoval (LAA)	OAK Athletics	10	123.0	0.73
SEA - TBD	NY Mets	-	-	-

MORE: MLB Game-By-Game Predictions

🔥 Hot Hitters 

These hitters have mashed a notable amount of home runs in recent weeks.

BATTER	TIMEFRAME (LAST # OF DAYS)	HR
M. Betts (LAD)	Last 30	10
B. Harper (PHI)	Last 30	10
C. Seager (TEX)	Last 30	10
K. Schwarber (PHI)	Last 30	10
J. Soler (MIA)	Last 30	10
K. Carpenter (DET)	Last 30	9
S. Torkelson (DET)	Last 30	9
C. Raleigh (SEA)	Last 30	9
T. Turner (PHI)	Last 30	9
B. Witt Jr. (KC)	Last 30	9
A. Judge (NYY)	Last 15	7
M. Ozuna (ATL)	Last 15	7
A. Duvall (BOS)	Last 15	7
D. LeMahieu (NYY)	Last 7	4
G. Torres (NYY)	Last 7	4
T. Hernandez (SEA)	Last 7	4

💥 Down Bad Bullpens

Starting pitcher yanked early or threw a gem? Not to worry, these bullpens give up plenty of late-game dingers!

TEAM	RANK	HR ALLOWED
WSH Nationals	1st	80
OAK Athletics	T-2nd	69
DET Tigers	T-2nd	69
CHI White Sox	3rd	68
LA Angels	T-4th	67
KC Royals	T-4th	67
ARI D-Backs	T-5th	66
NY Mets	T-5th	66

MORE: Today's Hottest MLB Trends

🤝 Hello, Old Friend

These hitters have some reliable history against the starter they’ll be facing. Players with just one home run will typically require a minimum of 10 PAs and a .250 batting average unless otherwise noted. Sample sizes will vary.

BATTER	OPP. PITCHER	PLATE APPEARANCES	HR	AVG
J. Votto (CIN)	D. Smyly (CHC)	20	2	.200
P. Wisdom (CHC)	G. Ashcraft (CIN)	12	2	.273
B. Harper (PHI)	F. Peralta (MIL)	10	2	.333
D. Swanson (CHC)	G. Ashcraft (CIN)	8	2	.429
A. Judge (NYY)	J. Verlander (HOU)	35	2	.118
G. Stanton (NYY)	J. Verlander (HOU)	27	2	.167
M. Muncy (LAD)	M. Fried (ATL)	16	2	.385
D. LeMahieu (NYY)	J. Verlander (HOU)	12	2	.321

*Designates potential starters not yet confirmed

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