Home Run Cheat Sheet - HR Data, Stats, Matchups and More - Friday, July 28

Welcome to the Home Run Cheat Sheet! If you’re a regular Dimers user, you know there’s not much more we love to bet on than home runs, especially in the dog days of summer dominated by baseball. We use our cutting-edge predictive analytics machine to find both the best value and most likely home run hitters on any given day. Powered by our A.I. models, we run 1000s of simulations on every game in every slate to find out when the sportsbooks are wrong and how you can use that to your advantage to turn a long-term profit.

However, even though we love our DimersBOT, a savvy bettor has no shortage of tools in their arsenal and knows that the more resources and data you can use to back up your bets, the stronger they’ll be. While nothing is ever a guarantee in sports betting, you’ll find yourself hitting your wagers more often than not when making full use of the resources available to you. Hopefully, this article will give you a little insight into how we arrive at our final decisions when putting together our HR Round Robins and two-leg HR Parlays.

RELATED: Our Best Bets for MLB and MLS, Every Single Day

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Home Run Cheat Sheet

For ease of use, this article will be broken into four main sections as follows:

• Today’s Starting Pitchers who have allowed the most HR
• Hot hitters – most HR over last X games
• The five worst bullpens in terms of HR allowed
• Historical matchups – the hitters with the best HR history

Be sure to cross-reference these lists with our Best Home Run Props, continuously updating throughout the day!

MORE: Best Bets Today in All Sports - Friday, July 28

🎯 Dinger Targets

Today’s starting pitchers who have given up the most home runs this season. Based on scheduled starters and subject to change.

PITCHER	OPPONENT	HR ALLOWED	IP	HR/9
M. Scherzer (NYM)	WSH Nationals	22	100.2	2.0
L. Giolito (LAA)	TOR Blue Jays	20	121.0	1.5
K. Freeland (COL)	OAK Athletics	17	103.0	1.5
M. Gore (WSH)	NY Mets	16	101.0	1.4
L. Gilbert (SEA)	ARI D-Backs	16	118.1	1.2
M. Keller (PIT)	PHI Phillies	16	128.0	1.1
L. Webb (SF)	BOS Red Sox	16	134.1	1.1
B. Garrett (MIA)	DET Tigers	15	100.0	1.4
C. Javier (HOU)	TB Rays	14	102.0	1.2
G. Rodriguez (BAL)	NY Yankees	13	56.0	2.1
K. Gausman (TOR)	LA Angels	13	121.2	1.0
K. Crawford (BOS)	SF Giants	12	71.1	1.5
T. Henry (ARI)	SEA Mariners	12	83.0	1.3
S. McClanahan (TB)	HOU Astros	12	106.0	1.0
B. Singer (KC)	MIN Twins	12	108.2	1.0
J. Montgomery (STL)	CHI Cubs	11	115.0	0.9
B. Williamson (CIN)	LA Dodgers	10	58.2	1.5
Y. Chirinos (ATL)	MIL Brewers	10	62.2	1.4
J. Musgrove (SD)	TEX Rangers	10	91.1	1.0
R. Olson (DET)	MIA Marlins	7	43.2	1.4
A. Houser (MIL)	ATL Braves	7	63.0	1.05

MORE: MLB Game-By-Game Predictions

🔥 Hot Hitters 

These hitters have mashed a notable amount of home runs in recent weeks.

Batter	Timeframe (last # of days)	HR
M. Machado (SD)	Last 30	11
K. Tucker (HOU)	Last 30	8
F. Alvarez (NYM)	Last 30	7
M. Betts (LAD)	Last 30	7
J. Burger (CHW)	Last 30	7
F. Freeman (LAD)	Last 30	7
N. Gorman (STL)	Last 30	7
J. Martinez (LAD)	Last 30	7
M. Muncy (LAD)	Last 30	7
C. Bellinger (CHI)	Last 15	6
T. Casas (BOS)	Last 15	6
A. Riley (ATL)	Last 15	6
S. Ohtani (LAA)	Last 15	6
J. Rodriguez (SEA)	Last 7	4

💥 Down Bad Bullpens

Starting pitcher yanked early or threw a gem? Not to worry, these bullpens give up plenty of late-game dingers!

TEAM	RANK	HR ALLOWED
OAK Athletics	1st	57
WSH Nationals	2nd	56
DET Tigers	3rd	52
CHI White Sox	4th	50
NY Mets	T-5th	49
TB Rays	T-5th	49

MORE: Today's Hottest MLB Trends

🤝 Hello, Old Friend

These hitters have some reliable history against the starter they’ll be facing. Minimum 10 PAs and .250 batting average unless otherwise noted. Sample sizes will vary.

Batter	Opposing Pitcher	Plate Appearances	HR	AVG
A. Kirk (TOR)	L. Giolito (LAA)	11	3	.364
M. Kepler (MIN)	B. Singer (KC)	21	2	.235
M. Moustakas (LAA)	K. Gausman (TOR)	15	2	.333
N. Castellanos (PHI)	M. Keller (PIT)	27	2	.292
B. Buxton (MIN)	B. Singer (KC)	13	2	.539
W. Castro (MIN)	B. Singer (KC)	16	1	.267
J. Gallo (MIN)	B. Singer (KC)	16	1	.429
D. Swanson (CHC)	J. Montgomery (STL)	14	1	.286
B. Bichette (TOR)	L. Giolito (LAA)	12	1	.364
C. Dickerson (WSH)	M Scherer (NYM)	19	1	.278
J. McCann (BAL)	G. Cole (NYY)	14	1	.385
A. Riley (ATL)	A. Houser (MIL)	13	1	.385
R. Urias (BAL)	G. Cole (NYY)	11	1	.455
T. Larnach (MIN)	B. Singer (KC)	12	1	.500
X. Bogaerts (SD)	D. Dunning (TEX)	9	1	.556
J. Realmuto (PHI)	M. Keller (PIT)	9	1	.625
Y. Gomes (CHC)	J. Montgomery (STL)	18	1	.412
C. Mullins (BAL)	G. Cole (NYY)	25	1	.320
W. Merrifield (TOR)	L. Giolito (LAA)	52	1	.250
A. Rendon (LAA)	K. Gausman (TOR)	27	1	.423
T. Mancini (CHC)	J. Montgomery (STL)	41	1	.343

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