Home Run Cheat Sheet - HR Data, Stats, Matchups and More for Sunday [8/20/23]

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Written by Dave Garofolo
Home Run Cheat Sheet - HR Data, Stats, Matchups and More for Sunday [8/20/23]

Welcome to the Home Run Cheat Sheet! If you’re a regular Dimers user, you know there’s not much more we love to bet on than home runs, especially in the dog days of summer dominated by baseball. We use our cutting-edge predictive analytics machine to find both the best value and most likely home run hitters on any given day. Powered by our A.I. models, we run 1000s of simulations on every game in every slate to find out when the sportsbooks are wrong and how you can use that to your advantage to turn a long-term profit.

However, even though we love our DimersBOT, a savvy bettor has no shortage of tools in their arsenal and knows that the more resources and data you can use to back up your bets, the stronger they’ll be. While nothing is ever a guarantee in sports betting, you’ll find yourself hitting your wagers more often than not when making full use of the resources available to you. Hopefully, this article will give you a little insight into how we arrive at our final decisions when putting together our HR Round Robins and two-leg HR Parlays.

RELATED: Our Best Bets for MLB and MLS, Every Single Day

First things first, especially if you are a new bettor, is to check out our revamped Best Sportsbooks page. Here you’ll find not only every sportsbook available to you in your state but also the best promo offers available from each as well as our review for any given book. Having multiple books is a major tool to keep in your pocket as you will always be able to get the best price and make use of the daily promos available. This is crucial to turning a long-term profit.

Now, we know you probably already have an account with one of the leading sportsbooks here in the US, but it definitely pays to have more than one funded account when betting on sports.

Find out which books are best, who has the best new customer offer, and how you can secure better odds and lines for all of your bets, below.

👉 The Best US Betting Sites 👈

Home Run Cheat Sheet

For ease of use, this article will be broken into four main sections as follows:

  • Today’s Starting Pitchers and their HR allowed data
  • Hot hitters – most HR over last # of days
  • The worst bullpens in terms of HR allowed
  • Historical matchups – the hitters with the best HR and batting history

Be sure to cross-reference these lists with our Best Home Run Props which continuously update throughout the day!

MORE: Best Bets Today in All Sports - Sunday, August 20

🎯 Dinger Targets

Today’s starting pitchers with their total home runs and home runs per 9 allowed this season. Based on scheduled starters and subject to change.

PITCHER OPPONENT HR ALLOWED IP HR/9
T. Williams (WSH) PHI Phillies 28 117.2 2.15
J. Lyles (KC) CHI Cubs 28 131.1 1.92
J. Sears (OAK) BAL Orioles 26 130.2 1.79
M. Scherzer (TEX) MIL Brewers 24 127.2 1.69
C. Flexen (COL) CHI White Sox 18 61.2 2.64
C. Schmidt (NYY) BOS Red Sox 18 117.1 1.38
H. Brown (HOU) SEA Mariners 17 145.2 1.05
C. Carrasco (NYM) STL Cardinals 16 84.1 1.71
Z. Wheeler (PHI) WSH Nationals 14 144.0 0.87
D. Cease (CHW) COL Rockies 13 133.1 0.87
K. Bradish (BAL) OAK Athletics 12 121.2 0.89
J. Junis (SF) ATL Braves 11 68.0 1.45
K. Hendricks (CHC) KC Royals 11 92.1 1.07
L. Allen (CLE) DET Tigers 11 97.1 1.01
E. Rodriguez (DET) CLE Guardians 10 106.1 0.84
A. Houser (MIL) TEX Rangers 9 83.1 0.97
E. Hancock (SEA) *stats from AAA* HOU Astros 9 98.0 0.82
H. Greene (CIN) TOR Blue Jays 9 73.1 1.10
J. Winckowski (BOS) NY Yankees 8 64.2 1.12
D. Hudson (STL) NY Mets 5 38.0 1.18
R. Borucki (PIT) MIN Twins 4 24.1 1.49
M. Fried (ATL) SF Giants 2 42.0 0.42
H. Jin-Ryu (TOR) CIN Reds 1 14.0 0.64
D. Keuchel (MIN) PIT Pirates 0 6.2 0

MORE: MLB Game-By-Game Predictions

🔥 Hot Hitters 

These hitters have mashed a notable amount of home runs in recent weeks.

BATTER LAST # OF DAYS HR
P. Alonso (NYM) Last 30 12
M. Olson (ATL) Last 30 11
K. Tucker (HOU) Last 30 10
C. Raleigh (SEA) Last 30 10
A. Riley (ATL) Last 30 9
B. Reynolds (ATL) Last 30 9
C. Santana (MIL) Last 30 9
J. Soler (MIA) Last 15 6
S. Torkelson (DET) Last 15 6
K. Carpenter (DET) Last 15 6
C. Walker (ARI) Last 15 6
DJ Stewart (NYM) Last 7 4
 

💥 Down Bad Bullpens

Starting pitcher yanked early or threw a gem? Not to worry, these bullpens give up plenty of late-game dingers!

TEAM RANK HR ALLOWED
WSH Nationals 1st 73
OAK Athletics 2nd 67
NY Mets 3rd 63
TB Rays T-4th 61
CHI White Sox T-4th 61
LA Angels T-5th 60
ARI D-Backs T-5th 60

MORE: Today's Hottest MLB Trends

🤝 Hello, Old Friend

These hitters have some reliable history against the starter they’ll be facing. Players with just one home run will require a minimum of 10 PAs and a .250 batting average unless otherwise noted. Sample sizes will vary.

BATTER PITCHER PLATE APPEARANCES HR BATTING AVG
K. Schwarber (PHI) T. Williams (WSH) 46 6 .300
J. Realmuto (PHI) T. Williams (WSH) 14 3 .417
T. Turner (PHI) T. Williams (WSH) 22 3 .286
C. Yelich (MIL) M. Scherzer (TEX) 42 3 .282
J. Ramirez (CLE) E. Rodriguez (DET) 19 2 .263
V. Caratini (MIL) M. Scherzer (TEX) 21 2 .500
N. Castellanos (PHI) T. Williams (WSH) 33 2 .387
L. Thomas (WSH) Z. Wheeler (PHI) 16 1 .200
R. Tellez (MIL) M. Scherzer (TEX) 14 1 .231
P. Alonso (NYM) D. Hudson (STL) 8 1 .429
D. Swanson (CHC) J. Lyles (KC) 7 1 .500
N. Arenado (STL) C. Carrasco (STL) 5 1 .750
S. Marte (NYM) D. Hudson (STL) 11 1 .400
J. Votto (CIN) H. Jin-Ryu (TOR) 17 1 .294
A. Pollock (SF) M. Fried (ATL) 19 1 .333
B. Anderson (MIL) M. Scherzer (TEX) 31 1 .259
E. Rosario (ATL) J. Junis (SF) 26 1 .320
D. Smith (WSH) Z, Wheeler (PHI) 30 1 .393
H. Castro (COL) D. Cease (CHW) 32 1 .452

*Designates potential starters not yet confirmed

Dimers' 👉 Best US Betting Sites 👈

Now, we know you probably already have an account with one of the leading sportsbooks here in the US, but it definitely pays to have more than one funded account.

Find out which books are best, who has the best new customer offer, and how you can secure better odds and lines for all of your bets, in Dimers' Best US Sportsbooks and Betting Sites section.

Enjoy gambling responsibly. Treat it as entertainment, not a way to make money and only gamble with funds you can afford to lose. Know when to stop and seek support if needed. Remember, gambling should be a fun and enjoyable experience. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.

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Written by
Dave Garofolo
Content Producer

Dave Garofolo, a seasoned fantasy sports and betting enthusiast with a special affection for the NFL and MLB, crafts insightful game previews and betting props for the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM and PGA TOUR tournaments.

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