Home Run Cheat Sheet - HR Data, Stats, Matchups and More for Monday [8/28/23]

Welcome to the Home Run Cheat Sheet! If you’re a regular Dimers user, you know there’s not much more we love to bet on than home runs, especially in the dog days of summer dominated by baseball. We use our cutting-edge predictive analytics machine to find both the best value and most likely home run hitters on any given day. Powered by our A.I. models, we run 1000s of simulations on every game in every slate to find out when the sportsbooks are wrong and how you can use that to your advantage to turn a long-term profit.

However, even though we love our DimersBOT, a savvy bettor has no shortage of tools in their arsenal and knows that the more resources and data you can use to back up your bets, the stronger they’ll be. While nothing is ever a guarantee in sports betting, you’ll find yourself hitting your wagers more often than not when making full use of the resources available to you. Hopefully, this article will give you a little insight into how we arrive at our final decisions when putting together our HR Round Robins and two-leg HR Parlays.

RELATED: Our Best Bets for MLB and MLS, Every Single Day

First things first, especially if you are a new bettor, is to check out our revamped Best Sportsbooks page. Here you’ll find not only every sportsbook available to you in your state but also the best promo offers available from each as well as our review for any given book. Having multiple books is a major tool to keep in your pocket as you will always be able to get the best price and make use of the daily promos available. This is crucial to turning a long-term profit.

Now, we know you probably already have an account with one of the leading sportsbooks here in the US, but it definitely pays to have more than one funded account when betting on sports.

Find out which books are best, who has the best new customer offer, and how you can secure better odds and lines for all of your bets, below.

👉 The Best US Betting Sites 👈

Home Run Cheat Sheet

For ease of use, this article will be broken into four main sections as follows:

• Today’s Starting Pitchers and their HR allowed data
• Hot hitters – most HR over last # of days
• The worst bullpens in terms of HR allowed
• Historical matchups – the hitters with the best HR and batting history

Be sure to cross-reference these lists with our Best Home Run Props which continuously update throughout the day!

MORE: Best Bets Today in All Sports - Monday, August 28

🎯 Dinger Targets

Today’s starting pitchers with their total home runs and home runs per 9 allowed this season. Based on scheduled starters and subject to change.

PITCHER	OPPONENT	HR ALLOWED	IP	HR/9
L. Severino (NYY)	DET Tigers	20	74.1	2.43
M. Kopech (CWS)	BAL Orioles	28	120.0	2.10
A. Wainwright (STL)	SD Padres	16	77.0	1.87
Z. Greinke (KC)	PIT Pirates	23	114.0	1.82
A. Gomber (COL)	ATL Braves	25	136.1	1.65
L. Giolito (LAA)	PHI Phillies	27	148.0	1.64
G. Rodriguez (BAL)	CHI White Sox	15	87.0	1.55
J. Taillon (CHC)	MIL Brewers	19	115.0	1.49
R. Olson (DET)	NY Yankees	11	68.0	1.46
K. Maeda (MIN)	CLE Guardians	12	74.2	1.46
C. Javier (HOU)	BOS Red Sox	20	127.2	1.42
T. Megill (NYM)	TEX Rangers	14	91.0	1.38
K. Harrison (SF) *AAA stats*	CIN Reds	10	67.2	1.34
A. Abbott (CIN)	SF Giants	12	85.1	1.27
C. Sale (BOS)	HOU Astros	10	73.1	1.23
B. Woo (SEA)	OAK Athletics	8	59.0	1.22
J. Gray (WSH)	TOR Blue Jays	18	135.2	1.20
W. Miley (MIL)	CHI Cubs	11	87.0	1.14
T. Walker (PHI)	LA Angels	17	136.2	1.12
J. Oviedo (PIT)	KC Royals	16	145.1	0.99
J. Gray (TEX)	NY Mets	14	131.2	0.96
K. Gausman (TOR)	WSH Nationals	16	150.1	0.96
B. Snell (SD)	STL Cardinals	15	142.0	0.95
X. Curry (CLE)	MIN Twins	8	77.0	0.94
B. Edler (ATL)	COL Rockies	14	143.0	0.88
Z. Gallen (ARI)	LA Dodgers	16	168.0	0.86
B. Miller (LAD)	ARI D-Backs	7	81.2	0.78
OAK (TBD)	SEA Mariners	-	-	-

MORE: MLB Game-By-Game Predictions

🔥 Hot Hitters 

These hitters have mashed a notable amount of home runs in recent weeks.

BATTER	LAST # OF DAYS	HR
J. Soler (MIA)	Last 30	11
C. Raleigh (SEA)	Last 30	11
M. Olson (ATL)	Last 30	10
P. Alonso (NYM)	Last 30	9
K. Carpenter (DET)	Last 30	9
B. Witt Jr. (KC)	Last 30	9
C. Seager (TEX)	Last 30	9
A. Duvall (BOS)	Last 7	5
M. Ozuna (ATL)	Last 7	5
A. Judge (NYY)	Last 7	4
T. Hernandez (SEA)	Last 7	4
S. Langliers (OAK)	Last 7	4
D. LeMahieu (NYY)	Last 7	4
K. Schwarber (PHI)	Last 7	4

💥 Down Bad Bullpens

Starting pitcher yanked early or threw a gem? Not to worry, these bullpens give up plenty of late-game dingers!

TEAM	RANK	HR ALLOWED
WSH Nationals	1st	78
OAK Athletics	2nd	69
CHI White Sox	3rd	67
NY Mets	4th	65
KC Royals	T-5th	64
ARI D-Backs	T-5th	64

MORE: Today's Hottest MLB Trends

🤝 Hello, Old Friend

These hitters have some reliable history against the starter they’ll be facing. Players with just one home run will require a minimum of 10 PAs and a .250 batting average unless otherwise noted. Sample sizes will vary.

BATTER	PITCHER	PLATE APPEARANCES	HR	BATTING AVG
J. Altuve (HOU)	C. Sale (BOS)	40	3	.297
M. Trout (LAA) *IL*	T. Walker (PHI)	20	3	.579
N. Castellanos (PHI)	L. Giolito (LAA)	18	2	.111
H. Kim (SD)	A. Wainwright (STL)	7	2	.333
T. d'Arnaud (ATL)	A. Gomber (COL)	3	2	1.000
S. Marte (NYM) *IL*	J. Gray (TEX)	20	2	.278
A. Bregman (HOU)	C. Sale (BOS)	24	2	.333
M. Betts (LAD)	Z. Gallen (ARI)	18	1	.333
G. Cooper (SD)	A. Wainwright (STL)	10	1	.625
M. Machado (SD)	A. Wainwright (STL)	22	1	.273
C. Yelich (MIL)	J. Taillon (CHC)	21	1	.400
A. McCutchen (PIT)	Z. Greinke (KC)	38	1	.250

*Designates potential starters not yet confirmed

Dimers' 👉 Best US Betting Sites 👈

Now, we know you probably already have an account with one of the leading sportsbooks here in the US, but it definitely pays to have more than one funded account.

Find out which books are best, who has the best new customer offer, and how you can secure better odds and lines for all of your bets, in Dimers' Best US Sportsbooks and Betting Sites section.

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