Home Run Cheat Sheet - HR Data, Stats, Matchups and More for Monday [8/21/23]

Welcome to the Home Run Cheat Sheet! If you’re a regular Dimers user, you know there’s not much more we love to bet on than home runs, especially in the dog days of summer dominated by baseball. We use our cutting-edge predictive analytics machine to find both the best value and most likely home run hitters on any given day. Powered by our A.I. models, we run 1000s of simulations on every game in every slate to find out when the sportsbooks are wrong and how you can use that to your advantage to turn a long-term profit.

However, even though we love our DimersBOT, a savvy bettor has no shortage of tools in their arsenal and knows that the more resources and data you can use to back up your bets, the stronger they’ll be. While nothing is ever a guarantee in sports betting, you’ll find yourself hitting your wagers more often than not when making full use of the resources available to you. Hopefully, this article will give you a little insight into how we arrive at our final decisions when putting together our HR Round Robins and two-leg HR Parlays.

RELATED: Our Best Bets for MLB and MLS, Every Single Day

First things first, especially if you are a new bettor, is to check out our revamped Best Sportsbooks page. Here you’ll find not only every sportsbook available to you in your state but also the best promo offers available from each as well as our review for any given book. Having multiple books is a major tool to keep in your pocket as you will always be able to get the best price and make use of the daily promos available. This is crucial to turning a long-term profit.

Now, we know you probably already have an account with one of the leading sportsbooks here in the US, but it definitely pays to have more than one funded account when betting on sports.

Find out which books are best, who has the best new customer offer, and how you can secure better odds and lines for all of your bets, below.

👉 The Best US Betting Sites 👈

Home Run Cheat Sheet

For ease of use, this article will be broken into four main sections as follows:

• Today’s Starting Pitchers and their HR allowed data
• Hot hitters – most HR over last # of days
• The worst bullpens in terms of HR allowed
• Historical matchups – the hitters with the best HR and batting history

Be sure to cross-reference these lists with our Best Home Run Props which continuously update throughout the day!

MORE: Best Bets Today in All Sports - Monday, August 21

🎯 Dinger Targets

Today’s starting pitchers with their total home runs and home runs per 9 allowed this season. Based on scheduled starters and subject to change.

PITCHER	OPPONENT	HR ALLOWED	IP	HR/9
A.Nola (PHI)	SF Giants	27	153.1	1.59
L. Giolito (LAA)	CIN Reds	26	142.0	1.65
S. Cecconi (ARI) *stats from AAA*	TEX Rangers	23	103.0	2.01
L. Castillo (SEA)	CHI White Sox	23	150.1	1.38
C. Javier (HOU)	BOS Red Sox	19	122.1	1.40
G. Ashcraft (CIN)	LA Angels	18	127.0	1.28
J. Paxton (BOS)	HOU Astros	14	86.1	1.46
J. Montgomery (TEX)	ARI D-Backs	14	139.0	0.91
D. Peterson (NYM)	ATL Braves	11	72.2	1.37
J. Assad (CHC)	DET Tigers	11	104.1	0.95
A. Faedo (DET)	CHI Cubs	9	99.0	0.82
M. Wacha (SD)	MIA Marlins	8	90.2	0.80
D. Rom (STL) *stats from AAA*	PIT Pirates	8	97.0	0.74
T. Toussaint (CHW)	SEA Mariners	6	50.1	1.08
P. Blackburn (OAK)	KC Royals	6	72.2	0.75
T. Davidson (KC)	OAK Athletics	3	38.0	0.71
S. Alexander (SF)	PHI Phillies	1	37.2	0.24
PIT Pirates (TBD)	STL Cardinals	-	-	-
ATL Braves (TBD)	NY Mets	-	-	-
MIA Marlins (TBD)	SD Padres	-	-	-

MORE: MLB Game-By-Game Predictions

🔥 Hot Hitters 

These hitters have mashed a notable amount of home runs in recent weeks.

BATTER	LAST # OF DAYS	HR
P. Alonso (NYM)	Last 30	13
M. Olson (ATL)	Last 30	11
C. Raleigh (SEA)	Last 30	10
B. Reynolds (ATL)	Last 30	9
C. Santana (MIL)	Last 30	9
S. Torkelson (DET)	Last 15	7
K. Carpenter (DET)	Last 15	7
C. Walker (ARI)	Last 15	6
J. Soler (MIA)	Last 15	6
DJ Stewart (NYM)	Last 7	4

💥 Down Bad Bullpens

Starting pitcher yanked early or threw a gem? Not to worry, these bullpens give up plenty of late-game dingers!

TEAM	RANK	HR ALLOWED
WSH Nationals	1st	74
OAK Athletics	2nd	68
NY Mets	3rd	63
TB Rays	T-4th	61
CHI White Sox	T-4th	61
LA Angels	T-5th	60
ARI D-Backs	T-5th	60
BOS Red Sox	T-5th	60

MORE: Today's Hottest MLB Trends

🤝 Hello, Old Friend

These hitters have some reliable history against the starter they’ll be facing. Players with just one home run will require a minimum of 10 PAs and a .250 batting average unless otherwise noted. Sample sizes will vary.

BATTER	PITCHER	PLATE APPEARANCES	HR	BATTING AVG
J. Soler (MIA)	M. Wacha (SD)	22	4	.529
M. Olson (ATL)	D. Peterson (NYM)	11	3	.273
L. Arraez (MIA)	M. Wacha (SD)	13	2	.273
Y. Grandal (CHW)	L. Castillo (SEA)	17	2	.385
J. Altuve (HOU)	J. Paxton (BOS)	40	2	.324
R. Acuna Jr. (ATL)	D. Peterson (NYM)	20	1	.200
W. Flores (SF)	A. Nola (PHI)	10	1	.300
J. Camargo (SF)	A. Nola (PHI)	11	1	.300
H. Renfroe (LAA)	G. Ashcraft (CIN)	8	1	.375
M. Yastrzemski (SF)	A. Nola (PHI)	8	1	.429
J. Segura (MIA)	M. Wacha (SD)	9	1	.444

*Designates potential starters not yet confirmed

Dimers' 👉 Best US Betting Sites 👈

Now, we know you probably already have an account with one of the leading sportsbooks here in the US, but it definitely pays to have more than one funded account.

Find out which books are best, who has the best new customer offer, and how you can secure better odds and lines for all of your bets, in Dimers' Best US Sportsbooks and Betting Sites section.

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