Home Run Cheat Sheet - HR Data, Stats, Matchups and More for Friday [8/25/23]

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Written by Dave Garofolo
Home Run Cheat Sheet - HR Data, Stats, Matchups and More for Friday [8/25/23]

Welcome to the Home Run Cheat Sheet! If you’re a regular Dimers user, you know there’s not much more we love to bet on than home runs, especially in the dog days of summer dominated by baseball. We use our cutting-edge predictive analytics machine to find both the best value and most likely home run hitters on any given day. Powered by our A.I. models, we run 1000s of simulations on every game in every slate to find out when the sportsbooks are wrong and how you can use that to your advantage to turn a long-term profit.

However, even though we love our DimersBOT, a savvy bettor has no shortage of tools in their arsenal and knows that the more resources and data you can use to back up your bets, the stronger they’ll be. While nothing is ever a guarantee in sports betting, you’ll find yourself hitting your wagers more often than not when making full use of the resources available to you. Hopefully, this article will give you a little insight into how we arrive at our final decisions when putting together our HR Round Robins and two-leg HR Parlays.

RELATED: Our Best Bets for MLB and MLS, Every Single Day

First things first, especially if you are a new bettor, is to check out our revamped Best Sportsbooks page. Here you’ll find not only every sportsbook available to you in your state but also the best promo offers available from each as well as our review for any given book. Having multiple books is a major tool to keep in your pocket as you will always be able to get the best price and make use of the daily promos available. This is crucial to turning a long-term profit.

Now, we know you probably already have an account with one of the leading sportsbooks here in the US, but it definitely pays to have more than one funded account when betting on sports.

Find out which books are best, who has the best new customer offer, and how you can secure better odds and lines for all of your bets, below.

👉 The Best US Betting Sites 👈

Home Run Cheat Sheet

For ease of use, this article will be broken into four main sections as follows:

  • Today’s Starting Pitchers and their HR allowed data
  • Hot hitters – most HR over last # of days
  • The worst bullpens in terms of HR allowed
  • Historical matchups – the hitters with the best HR and batting history

Be sure to cross-reference these lists with our Best Home Run Props which continuously update throughout the day!

MORE: Best Bets Today in All Sports - Friday, August 25

🎯 Dinger Targets

Today’s starting pitchers with their total home runs and home runs per 9 allowed this season. Based on scheduled starters and subject to change.

PITCHER OPPONENT HR ALLOWED IP HR/9
L. Lynn (LAD) BOS Red Sox 32 144.2 2.00
K. Freeland (COL) BAL Orioles 23 129.0 1.60
C. Bassitt (TOR) CLE Guardians 23 151.2 1.37
M. Keller (PIT) CHI Cubs 19 155.2 1.10
S. Strider (ATL) SF Giants 18 146.1 1.11
L. Webb (SF) ATL Braves 18 169.0 0.96
Z. Neal (OAK) *AAA stats* CHI White Sox 17 66.2 2.31
B. Garrett (MIA) WSH Nationals 17 128.0 1.20
Y. Darvish (SD) MIL Brewers 17 132.1 1.16
G. Cole (NYY) TB Rays 17 160.1 0.96
M. Mikolas (STL) PHI Phillies 16 152.1 0.95
F. Valdez (HOU) DET Tigers 16 154.2 0.93
Z. Eflin (TB) NY Yankees 15 138.1 0.98
B. Singer (KC) SEA Mariners 15 139.1 0.97
B. Pfaadt (ARI) CIN Reds 14 61.2 2.06
H. Greene (CIN) ARI D-Backs 14 76.1 1.66
D. Dunning (TEX) MIN Twins 14 132.2 0.95
D. Cease (CWS) OAK Athletics 14 138.0 0.91
B. Miller (SEA) KC Royals 13 97.2 1.20
K. Senga (NYM) LA Angels 12 129.2 0.84
C. Sanchez (PHI) STL Cardinals 11 64.1 1.54
M. Manning (DET) HOU Astros 11 64.2 1.54
K. Hendricks (CHC) PIT Pirates 11 98.2 1.01
T. Bibee (CLE) TOR Blue Jays 11 113.2 0.87
C. Irvin (BAL) COL Rockies 7 58.0 1.09
B. Woodruff (MIL SD Padres 6 28.0 1.93
S. Gray (MIN) TEX Rangers 5 143.0 0.31
J. Adon (WSH) MIA Marlins 4 18.0 2.00
BOS - TBD LA Dodgers  - -
LAA -  TBD NY Mets  -  - -

MORE: MLB Game-By-Game Predictions

🔥 Hot Hitters 

These hitters have mashed a notable amount of home runs in recent weeks.

BATTER LAST # OF DAYS HR
P. Alonso (NYM) Last 30 11
M. Olson (ATL) Last 30 11
M. Ozuna (ATL) Last 30 10
C. Raleigh (SEA) Last 30 10
B. Witt Jr. (KC) Last 30 10
Z. Gelof (OAK) Last 30 9
C. Seager (TEX) Last 30 9
J. Soler (MIA) Last 30 9
K. Carpenter (DET) Last 15 8
S. Torkelson (DET) Last 15 6
C. Walker (ARI) Last 15 6
A. Judge (NYY) Last 7 6
B. Belt (TOR) Last 7 4
S. Langliers (OAK) Last 7 4
M. Taylor (MIN) Last 7 4

💥 Down Bad Bullpens

Starting pitcher yanked early or threw a gem? Not to worry, these bullpens give up plenty of late-game dingers!

TEAM RANK HR ALLOWED
WSH Nationals 1st 77
OAK Athletics 2nd 69
CHI White Sox 3rd 65
NY Mets 4th 64
TB Rays T-5th 62
LA Angels T-5th 62
ARI D-Backs T-5th 62
BOS Red Sox T-5th 62

MORE: Today's Hottest MLB Trends

🤝 Hello, Old Friend

These hitters have some reliable history against the starter they’ll be facing. Players with just one home run will require a minimum of 10 PAs and a .250 batting average unless otherwise noted. Sample sizes will vary.

BATTER PITCHER PLATE APPEARANCES HR BATTING AVG
B. Buxton (MIN)
*IL*
D. Dunning (TEX) 11 3 .500
J. Siri (TB) G. Cole (NYY) 7 2 .286
A. Hedges (TEX) S. Gray (MIN) 8 2 .333
C. Yelich (MIL) Y. Darvish (SD) 26 2 .182
N. Castellanos (PHI) M. Mikolas (STL) 17 2 .235
C. Santana (MIL) Y. Darvish (SD) 27 2 .200
B. Harper (PHI) M. Mikolas (STL) 12 2 .417
K. Hayes (PIT) K. Hendricks (CHC) 15 2 .400
I. Happ (CHC) M. Keller (PIT) 21 2 .438
R. Arozarena (TB) G. Cole (NYY) 39 2 .270
B. Gamel (MIL) Y. Darvish (SD) 14 1 .214
M. Olson (ATL) L. Webb (SF) 16 1 .267
B. Reynolds (PIT) K. Hendricks (CHC) 25 1 .208
A. McCutchen (PIT) K. Hendricks (CHC) 40 1 .237
Y. Diaz (TB) G. Cole (NYY) 53 1 .271

*Designates potential starters not yet confirmed

Dimers' 👉 Best US Betting Sites 👈

Now, we know you probably already have an account with one of the leading sportsbooks here in the US, but it definitely pays to have more than one funded account.

Find out which books are best, who has the best new customer offer, and how you can secure better odds and lines for all of your bets, in Dimers' Best US Sportsbooks and Betting Sites section.

Enjoy gambling responsibly. Treat it as entertainment, not a way to make money and only gamble with funds you can afford to lose. Know when to stop and seek support if needed. Remember, gambling should be a fun and enjoyable experience. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.

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Written by
Dave Garofolo
Content Producer

Dave Garofolo, a seasoned fantasy sports and betting enthusiast with a special affection for the NFL and MLB, crafts insightful game previews and betting props for the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM and PGA TOUR tournaments.

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