Home Run Cheat Sheet - HR Data, Stats, Matchups and More for Friday [8/18/23]

Welcome to the Home Run Cheat Sheet! If you’re a regular Dimers user, you know there’s not much more we love to bet on than home runs, especially in the dog days of summer dominated by baseball. We use our cutting-edge predictive analytics machine to find both the best value and most likely home run hitters on any given day. Powered by our A.I. models, we run 1000s of simulations on every game in every slate to find out when the sportsbooks are wrong and how you can use that to your advantage to turn a long-term profit.

However, even though we love our DimersBOT, a savvy bettor has no shortage of tools in their arsenal and knows that the more resources and data you can use to back up your bets, the stronger they’ll be. While nothing is ever a guarantee in sports betting, you’ll find yourself hitting your wagers more often than not when making full use of the resources available to you. Hopefully, this article will give you a little insight into how we arrive at our final decisions when putting together our HR Round Robins and two-leg HR Parlays.

RELATED: Our Best Bets for MLB and MLS, Every Single Day

First things first, especially if you are a new bettor, is to check out our revamped Best Sportsbooks page. Here you’ll find not only every sportsbook available to you in your state but also the best promo offers available from each as well as our review for any given book. Having multiple books is a major tool to keep in your pocket as you will always be able to get the best price and make use of the daily promos available. This is crucial to turning a long-term profit.

Now, we know you probably already have an account with one of the leading sportsbooks here in the US, but it definitely pays to have more than one funded account when betting on sports.

Find out which books are best, who has the best new customer offer, and how you can secure better odds and lines for all of your bets, below.

👉 The Best US Betting Sites 👈

Home Run Cheat Sheet

For ease of use, this article will be broken into four main sections as follows:

• Today’s Starting Pitchers and their HR allowed data
• Hot hitters – most HR over last # of days
• The worst bullpens in terms of HR allowed
• Historical matchups – the hitters with the best HR and batting history

Be sure to cross-reference these lists with our Best Home Run Props which continuously update throughout the day!

MORE: Best Bets Today in All Sports - Friday, August 18

🎯 Dinger Targets

Today’s starting pitchers with their total home runs and home runs per 9 allowed this season. Based on scheduled starters and subject to change.

PITCHER	OPPONENT	HR ALLOWED	IP	HR/9
M. Kopech (CHW)	COL Rockies	25	112.0	2.01
A. Heaney (TEX)	MIL Brewers	19	114.1	1.50
S. Strider (ATL)	SF Giants	18	139.1	1.15
J. Taillon (CHC)	KC Royals	17	104.0	1.47
B. Bello (BOS)	NY Yankees	17	113.1	1.35
J. Berrios (TOR)	CIN Reds	17	140.1	1.09
S. Alcantara (MIA)	LA Dodgers	17	158.1	0.97
P. Lopez (MIN)	PIT Pirates	17	147.2	1.04
K. Gibson (BAL)	OAK Athletics	15	145.1	0.93
B. Pfaadt (ARI)	SD Padres	14	54.2	2.30
S. Lugo (SD)	ARI D-Backs	14	97.1	1.29
T. Gonsolin (LAD)	MIA Marlins	14	99.2	1.26
A. Cobb (SF)	ATL Braves	14	121.2	1.04
B. Miller (SEA)	HOU Astros	13	91.1	1.28
P. Lambert (COL)	CHI White Sox	12	59.1	1.82
T. Anderson (LAA)	TB Rays	12	109.0	0.99
M. Lorenzen (PHI)	WSH Nationals	12	122.2	0.88
C. Ragans (KC)	CHI Cubs	11	87.0	0.96
M. Manning (DET) GM2	CLE Guardians	10	58.2	1.53
J. Adon (WSH) *stats from AAA*	PHI Phillies	10	87.2	1.03
J. France (HOU)	SEA Mariners	10	102.0	0.88
X. Curry (CLE) GM2	DET Tigers	9	69.0	1.04
A. Jackson (PIT)	MIN Twins	6	26.1	2.05
Z. Thompson (STL) *stats from AAA*	NY Mets	5	34.1	1.31
G. Williams (CLE) GM1	DET Tigers	5	54.2	0.82
B. Woodruff (MIL)	TEX Rangers	4	22.2	1.59
E. Ramirez (TB)	LA Angels	4	39.1	0.92
T. Skubal (DET) GM1	CLE Guardians	1	32.1	0.28
NY Mets (TBD)	STL Cardinals	-	-	-
OAK A's (TBD)	BAL Orioles	-	-	-
NY Yankees (TBD)	BOS Red Sox	-	-	-
CIN Reds (TBD)	TOR Blue Jays	-	-	-

MORE: MLB Game-By-Game Predictions

🔥 Hot Hitters 

These hitters have mashed a notable amount of home runs in recent weeks.

BATTER	LAST # OF DAYS	HR
M. Olson (ATL)	Last 30	13
P. Alonso (NYM)	Last 30	11
A. Riley (ATL)	Last 30	10
K. Tucker (HOU)	Last 30	10
C. Raleigh (SEA)	Last 30	10
Z. Gelof (OAK)	Last 30	8
G. Sanchez (SD)	Last 30	8
T. Casas (BOS)	Last 30	8
M. Wallner (MIN)	Last 30	8
B. Reynolds (PIT)	Last 15	6
C. Seager (TEX)	Last 15	6
C. Walker (ARI)	Last 7	5
S. Torkelson (DET)	Last 7	4

💥 Down Bad Bullpens

Starting pitcher yanked early or threw a gem? Not to worry, these bullpens give up plenty of late-game dingers!

TEAM	RANK	HR ALLOWED
WSH Nationals	1st	67
OAK Athletics	2nd	66
NY Mets	3rd	63
TB Rays	T-4th	60
CHI White Sox	T-4th	60
CIN Reds	T-5th	59
DET Tigers	T-5th	59
ARI D-Backs	6th	57

MORE: Today's Hottest MLB Trends

🤝 Hello, Old Friend

These hitters have some reliable history against the starter they’ll be facing. Players with just one home run will require a minimum of 10 PAs and a .250 batting average unless otherwise noted. Sample sizes will vary.

BATTER	PITCHER	PLATE APPEARANCES	HR	BATTING AVG
N. Arenado (STL)	J. Lucchesi (NYM)*	24	3	.364
F. Reyes (KC)	J. Taillon (CHC)	4	2	.750
W. Adames (MIL)	A. Heaney (TEX)	15	2	.385
E. Rosario (ATL)	A. Cobb (SF)	13	2	.417
M. Canha (MIL)	A. Heaney (TEX)	25	2	.300
P. Goldschmidt (STL)	J. Lucchesi (NYM)*	21	2	.500
K. Pillar (ATL)	A. Cobb (SF)	19	1	.294
M. Muncy (LAD)	S. Alcantara (MIA)	14	1	.357
M. Betts (LAD)	S. Alcantara (MIA)	12	1	.455
C. Cron (LAA)	E. Ramirez (TB)	11	1	.500

*Designates potential starters not yet confirmed

Dimers' 👉 Best US Betting Sites 👈

Now, we know you probably already have an account with one of the leading sportsbooks here in the US, but it definitely pays to have more than one funded account.

Find out which books are best, who has the best new customer offer, and how you can secure better odds and lines for all of your bets, in Dimers' Best US Sportsbooks and Betting Sites section.

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