Home Run Cheat Sheet - HR Data, Stats and Matchups - Saturday, September 9

Welcome to the Home Run Cheat Sheet! If you’re a regular Dimers user, you know there’s not much more we love to bet on than home runs, especially in the dog days of summer dominated by baseball. We use our cutting-edge predictive analytics machine combined with strong MLB betting trends to find both the best value and most likely home run hitters on any given day. Powered by our A.I. models, we run 1000s of simulations on every game in every slate to find out when the sportsbooks are wrong and how you can use that to your advantage to turn a long-term profit. You can find all of our home run props with an edge in our best MLB props today section.

However, even though we love our DimersBOT, a savvy bettor has no shortage of tools in their arsenal and knows that the more resources and data you can use to back up your bets, the stronger they’ll be. While nothing is ever a guarantee in sports betting, you’ll find yourself hitting your wagers more often than not when making full use of the resources available to you. Hopefully, this article will give you a little insight into how we arrive at our final decisions when putting together our HR Round Robins and two-leg HR parlay picks.

Check out our Best Bets for MLB and MLS, every single day!

Now, you should know that it definitely pays to have more than one funded US Sportsbook account when betting on sports.

For example, did you know that new users at PointsBet can score a jersey of their choice from Fanatics with their first $50 bet? That's easily one of the best promos to take advantage of when betting on football this season, and you get to rep your team's gear afterwards.

Home Run Cheat Sheet

For ease of use, this article will be broken into four main sections as follows:

• Today’s Starting Pitchers and their HR allowed data
• Hot hitters – most HR over last # of days
• The worst bullpens in terms of HR allowed
• Historical matchups – the hitters with the best HR and batting history

Be sure to cross-reference these lists with our MLB prop bets which continuously update throughout the day, as well as our Best Bets Today in All Sports for Saturday, September 9.

🎯 Dinger Targets

Today’s starting pitchers with their total home runs and home runs per 9 allowed this season. Based on scheduled starters and subject to change.

PITCHER	OPPONENT	HR ALLOWED	IP	HR/9
J. Urena (CWS)	DET Tigers	9	18.1	4.48
D. Dodd (ATL)	PIT Pirates	8	24.1	2.99
J. Cueto (MIA)	PHI Phillies	11	37.1	2.67
C. Anderson (COL)	SF Giants	16	64.2	2.24
L. Giolito (CLE)	LA Angels	33	156.2	1.90
A. Nola (PHI)	MIA Marlins	30	172.0	1.57
J. Irvin (WSH)	LA Dodgers	18	107.2	1.51
K. Maeda (MIN)	NY Mets	14	83.2	1.51
C. Javier (HOU)	SD Padres	22	137.1	1.44
D. Peterson (NYM)	MIN wins	14	88.1	1.43
W. Miley (MIL)	NY Yankees	15	100.0	1.35
T. Anderson (LAA)	CLE Guardians	17	128.0	1.20
C. Sale (BOS)	BAL Orioles	11	82.2	1.20
S. Lugo (SD)	HOU Astros	15	121.1	1.11
M. Kelly (ARI)	CHI Cubs	17	148.1	1.03
J. Flaherty (BAL)	BOS Red Sox	15	134.0	1.01
Z. Thompson (STL)	CIN Reds	5	46.0	0.98
J. Oviedo (PIT)	ATL Braves	17	158.0	0.97
L. Webb (SF)	COL Rockies	20	187.0	0.96
J. McArthur (KC) *AAA stats*	TOR Blue Jays	6	56.2	0.96
K. Gausman (TOR)	KC Royals	16	159.1	0.91
B. Miller (LAD)	WSH Nationals	9	94.2	0.86
M. King (NYY)	MIL Brewers	7	78.0	0.81
N. Eovaldi (TEX)	OAK Athletics	10	125.0	0.72
C. Spiers (CIN) *AAA stats*	STL Cardinals	6	83.0	0.65
J. Steele (CHC)	ARI D-Backs	11	152.0	0.65
A. Civale (TB)	SEA Mariners	7	107.2	0.59
T. Skubal (DET)	CHI White Sox	3	57.1	0.47
TBD - SEA	TB Rays	-	-	-
OAK - TBD	TEX Rangers	-	-	-

MORE: MLB Game-By-Game Predictions

🔥 Hot Hitters 

These hitters have mashed a notable amount of home runs in recent weeks.

BATTER	TIMEFRAME (LAST # OF DAYS)	HR
T. Turner (PHI)	Last 30	12
K. Schwarber (PHI)	Last 30	11
A. Judge (NYY)	Last 30	10
M. Ozuna (ATL)	Last 30	10
J. Rodriguez (SEA)	Last 30	10
C. Seager (TEX)	Last 30	10
S. Torkelson (DET)	Last 30	10
T. Hernadez (SEA)	Last 15	6
M. Garver (TEX)	Last 15	6
D. LeMahieu (NYY)	Last 15	6
J. Altuve (HOU)	Last 7	5
R. Acuna Jr. (ATL)	Last 7	4
M. Olson (ATL)	Last 7	4

💥 Down Bad Bullpens

Starting pitcher yanked early or threw a gem? Not to worry, these bullpens give up plenty of late-game dingers!

TEAM	RANK	HR ALLOWED
WSH Nationals	1st	83
TEX Rangers	2nd	78
OAK Athletics	T-3rd	72
LA Angels	T-3rd	72
CHI White Sox	T-4th	71
DET Tigers	T-4th	71
KC Royals	T-4th	71
BOS Red Sox	5th	70

Looking for more trends? Check our newest MLB betting trends page!

🤝 Hello, Old Friend

These hitters have some reliable history against the starter they’ll be facing. Players with just one home run will typically require a minimum of 10 PAs and a .250 batting average unless otherwise noted. Sample sizes will vary.

BATTER	OPP. PITCHER	PLATE APPEARANCES	HR	AVG
K. Schwarber (PHI)	J. Cueto (MIA)	13	3	.250
A. Hays (BAL)	C. Sale (BOS)	16	3	.375
A. Duvall (BOS)	J. Flaherty (BAL)	9	2	.250
R. Mountcastle (BAL)	C. Sale (BOS)	10	2	.300
J. Bell (MIA)	A. Nola (PHI)	25	2	.167
C. Bellinger (CHC)	M. Kelly (ARI)	25	2	.273
T. France (SEA)	A. Civale (TB)	12	1	.273
J. Walsh (LAA)	L. Giolito (CLE)	13	1	.273
L. Rengifo (LAA)	L. Giolito (CLE)	10	1	.300
L. Robert Jr. (CWS)	T. Skubal (DET)	7	1	.429
J. Berti (MIA)	A. Nola (PHI)	14	1	.308
B. Drury (LAA)	L. Giolito (CLE)	13	1	.308
C. Mullins (BAL)	C. Sale (BOS)	13	1	.333
A. Slater (SF)	C. Anderson (COL)	12	1	.333
B. De La Cruz (MIA)	A. Nola (PHI)	11	1	.364
J. Segura (MIA)	A. Nola (PHI)	10	1	.444
J. McCann (BAL)	C. Sale (BOS)	41	1	.237
R. McMahon (COL)	L. Webb (SF)	34	1	.313
C. Blackmon (COL)	L. Webb (SF)	30	1	.407
T. Anderson (CWS)	T. Skubal (DET)	21	1	.550

*Designates potential starters not yet confirmed

Dimers' 👉 Best US Betting Sites 👈

Enjoy gambling responsibly. Treat it as entertainment, not a way to make money and only gamble with funds you can afford to lose. Know when to stop and seek support if needed. Remember, gambling should be a fun and enjoyable experience. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.