Heat vs. Nuggets Game 1 Prediction - NBA Finals 2023

The Denver Nuggets and Miami Heat lock horns in Game 1 of the 2023 NBA Finals at Ball Arena on Thursday, starting at 8:30PM ET.

Dimers' free betting picks for Heat vs. Nuggets Game 1, plus game predictions, best odds and player props, are detailed below.

Who Will Win: Heat vs. Nuggets Game 1

Using trusted machine learning and data, Dimers.com has simulated Thursday's Heat-Nuggets NBA FInals matchup 10,000 times.

Dimers' revolutionary predictive analytics model, DimersBOT, gives the Nuggets a 78% chance of winning against the Heat in Game 1 of the 2023 Finals.

The winner of the 2023 NBA Finals between the Heat and Nuggets gets the Larry O'Brien Trophy. Game 1 of the best-of-seven series is at Denver's Ball Arena.

More: Game 1 Betting Picks for Heat vs. Nuggets

Heat vs. Nuggets Game 1 Odds

• Spread: Nuggets -8.5 (-115), Heat +8.5 (-105)
• Moneyline: Nuggets -355, Heat +300
• Total: Over/Under 218.5 (-110/-110)

The Nuggets are -8.5 favorites against the Heat, with -115 at PointsBet the best odds currently available.

For the underdog Heat (+8.5) to cover the spread, BetMGM has the best odds currently on offer at -105.

FanDuel Sportsbook currently has the best moneyline odds for the Nuggets at -355, which means you can risk $355 to win $100, for a total payout of $455, if they get the W.

On the other hand, BetMGM currently has the best moneyline odds for the Heat at +300, where you can bet $100 to profit $300, earning a total payout of $400, if they win.

The Over/Under sits at 218.5 with PointsBet, which currently has the best odds for the Over at -110, as well as the best odds for the Under at -110.

As always, check out the sportsbooks you have access to in your state for the best NBA odds and lines.

According to DimersBOT, the bookmakers have got it right and both the Heat and Nuggets have a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the Over/Under total of 218.5 points has also considered an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.

More: Best Prop Bets to Make Today

Best Bets: Heat vs. Nuggets Game 1

• Spread: Heat +8.5 @ -105 via BetMGM (50% probability)
• Moneyline: Nuggets @ -355 via FanDuel Sportsbook (78% probability)
• Total: Over 218.5 @ -110 via PointsBet (50% probability)

Our best bets are based on world-class simulations and wagering intelligence to serve you the best possible plays every day of the year.

Heat vs. Nuggets Game 1 Prediction

Dimers.com's predicted final score for Miami vs. Denver in Game 1 of the 2023 NBA Finals on Thursday has the Nuggets winning 114-105.

Click or tap on See Matchup to find out more.

Dimers has full betting coverage of Thursday's Heat-Nuggets game, including pregame predictions, computer picks, and live win probabilities.

Heat vs. Nuggets Game 1 Player Props

Looking for Miami vs. Denver prop bets and player prop picks? DimersBOT has crunched the numbers to project key individual stats for each team, such as points, rebounds and assists.

Jimmy Butler is expected to lead the Heat with 31 points, 7 rebounds and 8 assists, while Michael Porter is projected to have 26 points, 7 rebounds and 2 assists for the Nuggets.

Heat Projected Box Score

• Jimmy Butler: 31 PTS, 7 REB, 8 AST
• Bam Adebayo: 21 PTS, 9 REB, 4 AST
• Caleb Martin: 14 PTS, 7 REB, 3 AST
• Gabe Vincent: 11 PTS, 2 REB, 3 AST
• Max Strus: 10 PTS, 3 REB, 2 AST

Nuggets Projected Box Score

• Michael Porter: 26 PTS, 7 REB, 2 AST
• Jamal Murray: 26 PTS, 5 REB, 7 AST
• Nikola Jokic: 25 PTS, 13 REB, 8 AST
• Aaron Gordon: 19 PTS, 8 REB, 5 AST
• Kentavious Caldwell-Pope: 11 PTS, 3 REB, 3 AST

Don't forget, DimersBOT updates frequently, so refresh this page for any changes to our betting analysis before Game 1 of the Heat vs. Nuggets series on June 1, 2023.

Heat vs. Nuggets Game 1 2023 NBA Finals

Thursday's Game 1 between the Nuggets and Heat in the NBA Finals is scheduled to begin at 8:30PM ET.

• Who: Miami Heat vs. Denver Nuggets
• Date: Thursday June 1, 2023
• Time: 8:30PM ET / 5:30PM PT
• Venue: Ball Arena

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Our picks are based on 10,000 simulations per game, using reliable and up-to-date data sources and analytical methods.

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Want More NBA Analysis Like This?

So, you liked our Heat vs. Nuggets betting predictions? Awesome. Did you know our NBA Betting News page has a detailed betting preview for every NBA game as soon as the sportsbooks put out their odds?

That's right, our predictive analytics model then compares those odds (aka Vegas odds) against its own probabilities to find edges in the markets. This allows us to write the most authoritative NBA betting previews and get the jump on the public and the sportsbooks.

In addition to our leading NBA predictions, Dimers also offers the best NBA prop bets today, projecting points, rebounds, assists, and more against the best odds available every single day of the NBA season.