May 15, 2025
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Read Article Geelong Cats vs. Hawthorn Hawks Prediction: Hawks Predicted to Win Monday's AFL Round 6 Matchup [4/21/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Damien Souness, Chief Innovation Officer
Our expert prediction for Monday's Geelong Cats vs Hawthorn Hawks matchup.
The Geelong Cats will face the Hawthorn Hawks in Australian Football League (AFL) action at GMHBA Stadium on Monday, starting at 1:20AM ET.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced AFL model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Hawks as the most likely winner of today's game.
"Our team has utilized the latest data to simulate Monday's Hawthorn-Geelong game 10,000 times," said Ryan Leaver from Dimers.
"Incorporating recent updates and thousands of additional inputs, our prediction shows the Hawks are likely to win, with a probability of 51%, compared to the Cats' 49%."
For a closer look at Monday's matchup, including best bets and picks, visit our interactive Hawks vs. Cats predictions page.
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Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Monday's AFL game between the Hawks and Cats 10,000 times as part of our AFL predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model gives the Hawks a 51% chance of beating the Cats.
According to our model, the Hawks (-0.5) have a 52% chance of covering the spread, while the 172.5- over/under has a 54% chance of staying under.
Pre-Game Probabilities
Last Updated: 3:27AM, Apr 21
Moneyline
Spread
Over / Under
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Hawthorn vs. Geelong Odds
We have researched the best AFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Hawks | Cats |
|---|---|---|
| H2H (Moneyline) | -120 | -105 |
| Line (Spread) | -0.5 (-115) | +0.5 (-115) |
| Total | o172.5 (-115) | u172.5 (-115) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Make the most of your sports betting experience by exploring our comprehensive list of US betting apps, and the latest sportsbooks in 2025, ensuring you never miss a top new-user deal.
Cats vs. Hawks Game-Day Updates and Essential Details
Monday's Australian rules football action between the Cats and Hawks at GMHBA Stadium is scheduled to commence at 1:20AM ET.
- Who: Hawthorn Hawks vs. Geelong Cats
- Date: Monday, April 21, 2025
- Time: 1:20AM ET/10:20PM PT
- Venue: GMHBA Stadium
The AFL is available to bet on in the US through all major sportsbooks, with fans highlighting the high-octane 360-degree nature of the sport as a top reason to follow it.
Dimers.com's in-depth preview of Monday's Hawks vs. Cats matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.
Before making any Hawthorn vs. Geelong picks, be sure to check out the latest AFL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.
Conclusion
We predict the Hawks, with a 51% win probability, will likely beat the Cats on Monday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Hawks vs. Cats insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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More on AFL
Stay informed with the latest AFL news and parlay picks throughout the season.
Damien Souness leverages over 15 years of experience to create engaging content focused on sports, online gaming and wagering. As Chief Innovation Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, the parent company of Dimers, he offers strategic insights and innovative solutions to enhance the player experience.
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