Grigor Dimitrov vs. Carlos Alcaraz Prediction, Odds, Picks for ATP Indian Wells Open 2025

Grigor Dimitrov will square off with Carlos Alcaraz in the round of 16 at the ATP Indian Wells event on Wednesday.

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven tennis model (see Dimers Pro for full access) projects Carlos Alcaraz as the most likely winner of the match.

"We have simulated the outcome of Wednesday's Dimitrov-Alcaraz match 10,000 times," said Dimers data analyst Greg Butyn.

"With the latest updates and numerous other variables, we estimate Carlos Alcaraz' chance of winning at 74%, with Grigor Dimitrov at 26%."

For further insights into Wednesday's match, including best bets and picks, visit our interactive Dimitrov vs. Alcaraz predictions page.

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Dimitrov vs. Alcaraz Prediction: Who Will Win?

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Wednesday's Dimitrov-Alcaraz men's singles match 10,000 times as part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model gives Alcaraz a 74% chance of beating Dimitrov at the ATP Indian Wells Open tournament.

Additionally, Alcaraz has a 68% chance of winning the first set, according to our model.

Pre-Match Probabilities

Last Updated: 8:08AM, Mar 13

Moneyline

1st Set

GrigorDimitrov

Win %

26%

74%

+600

-1000

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CarlosAlcaraz

GrigorDimitrov

+600

Win %

26%

74%

See Matchup

CarlosAlcaraz

-1000

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Grigor Dimitrov vs. Carlos Alcaraz Odds

We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

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Dimitrov vs. Alcaraz Picks and Best Bets

Our model's biggest edge in today's Dimitrov vs. Alcaraz match is on the moneyline.

Our expert predictions, matched against the latest odds, reveal the best tennis picks for every match throughout the year.

Unlimited access to our full set of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

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Dimitrov vs. Alcaraz Updates and Essential Details

The ATP Indian Wells Open match between Grigor Dimitrov and Carlos Alcaraz is scheduled to commence on Wednesday at 9:00PM ET.

• Who: Grigor Dimitrov vs. Carlos Alcaraz
• Date: Wednesday, March 12, 2025
• Approx. Time: 9:00PM ET/6:00PM PT
• Tournament: ATP Indian Wells, USA Men's Singles
• Round: Round of 16

All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.

Dimers.com's comprehensive preview of Wednesday's Dimitrov vs. Alcaraz match includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Grigor Dimitrov vs. Carlos Alcaraz picks, be sure to check out the latest tennis predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Conclusion

We predict Carlos Alcaraz, with a 74% win probability, will likely beat Grigor Dimitrov at the ATP Indian Wells Open tournament.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Dimitrov vs. Alcaraz insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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