Green Bay Packers vs. San Francisco 49ers: Our NFL Same Game Parlay for the Divisional Round

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Written by Dave Garofolo
Green Bay Packers vs. San Francisco 49ers: Our NFL Same Game Parlay for the Divisional Round

The Divisional Round is here! After we cashed our SGP to open the Wild Card round, we're looking to do the same in the Green Bay Packers vs. San Francisco 49ers clash in tonight's primetime matchup. We've sourced this parlay by using our best NFL props, powered by our cutting-edge predictive analytics models. By running 1000s of simulations on each game, Dimers can source the best NFL bets and best parlay picks to make each and every day.

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Our +500 Green Bay Packers vs. San Francisco 49ers Same Game Parlay

PARLAY PICKS ODDS

Luke Musgrave (GB) Over 19.5 Receiving Yards

-115

Brock Purdy Over (SF) 266.5 Passing Yards

-115

Deebo Samuel (SF) Anytime Touchdown

+100

+500 Saturday Night Football Parlay Analysis

Green Bay Packers vs. San Francisco 49ers - Saturday, January 20, 8:15PM ET

LEG 1: Luke Musgrave (GB) Over 19.5 Receiving Yards (-115)

We start off with the road team Packers who are coming off a motivation-building upset victory over the Cowboys in the Wild Card Round. Luke Musgrave helped put the dagger into Dallas with a 38-yard touchdown grab and we're eyeing him again, though he won't need to do something as big to cash us, he'll just need to pass his modest receiving yards mark of 19.5 yards. Musgrave played 12 games this season (playoffs included), clearing this mark in nine of them. He gets a solid 27-yard projection from our model, giving us a nice buffer, along with a 60% probability of clearing this number. 

The Niners have a stout defense across the board, and though they have one of the NFL's better ones against the tight end position, they've allowed an average of five receptions and 47.2 yards per game to TEs this year. 

MORE: Our Best NFL Prop Picks for the Divisional Round Matchups

LEG 2: Brock Purdy Over (SF) 266.5 Passing Yards (-115)

Now let's head to the other side of the gridiron and lock in Niners QB Brock Purdy to clear his passing yards mark. Purdy's ability to go over this mark is well-documented, clearing it in eight games this year. That isn't going to blow you away as far as consistency, but Purdy has an elite stable of YAC-gathering weapons between Deebo Samuel, Brandon Aiyuk, George Kittle and even Christian McCaffrey out of the backfield. 

For tonight, DimersBOT is projecting Purdy to clear his mark with a 59.4% probability and a 291-yard projection. If you like this leg, it also presents value as a straight bet with a 7.0% edge.

LEG 3: Deebo Samuel (SF) Anytime Touchdown (+100)

You know the drill. We always close out the primetime parlay with a touchdown prop, and we're looking at the Swiss Army Knife himself, Deebo Samuel. One of the most difficult players to tackle due to his liquid-like ability to slip between the tackles and shake defenders, Samuel scored 12 touchdowns this season: seven through the air and five via the run. He gets a 51% probability to score tonight, while his +100 odds are right in line with our projection as they imply a true 50/50 chance.

Let's cash!

🏈 Green Bay Packers vs. San Francisco 49ers Predictions
📈 Betting preview: Green Bay Packers vs. San Francisco 49ers


NFL +500 Same Game Parlay Saturday, January 20, 2024

1️⃣ Luke Musgrave (GB) Over 19.5 Receiving Yards
2️⃣ Brock Purdy Over (SF) 266.5 Passing Yards
3️⃣ Deebo Samuel (SF) Anytime Touchdown

The best odds for this SGP are over at DraftKings Sportsbook and are subject to change.

 

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Written by
Dave Garofolo
Content Producer

Dave Garofolo, a seasoned fantasy sports and betting enthusiast with a special affection for the NFL and MLB, crafts insightful game previews and betting props for the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM and PGA TOUR tournaments.

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