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Packers vs. Lions Prediction: Detroit Predicted to Win TNF Week 14 [2024]
Our expert prediction for Thursday's Green Bay Packers vs Detroit Lions matchup.
The Detroit Lions and Green Bay Packers will meet in Week 14 of the NFL season at Ford Field on Thursday, with kickoff at 8:15PM ET.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven NFL model (see Dimers Pro for full access) projects the Lions as the most likely winner of today's game.
"Using the latest data, our experts simulated Thursday's Green Bay-Detroit game 10,000 times," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.
"Taking into account recent updates and various additional inputs, we forecast the Lions with a win probability of 61% and the Packers with 39%."
This updated Packers vs. Lions betting preview builds on my early Packers vs. Lions prediction that I released at the start of the week.
For a closer look at today’s game, including the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Packers vs. Lions predictions page.
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Packers vs. Lions Game-Day Updates and Essential Details
The NFL Week 14 game between the Lions and Packers at Ford Field is scheduled to begin at 8:15PM ET.
- Who: Green Bay Packers vs. Detroit Lions
- Date: Thursday, December 5, 2024
- Time: 8:15PM ET/5:15PM PT
- Venue: Ford Field
- Tickets: Get tickets for the game on Ticketmaster
- Merchandise: Buy Lions and Packers gear at Fanatics
Dimers.com's comprehensive preview of this week's Packers vs. Lions matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.
Before making any Green Bay vs. Detroit picks, be sure to check out the latest NFL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.
Packers vs. Lions Predictions
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Thursday's NFL matchup between the Packers and Lions 10,000 times as part of our NFL predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model gives the Lions a 61% chance of beating the Packers in Week 14 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Lions winning 27-24.
According to our model, the Packers (+3.5) have a 56% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 52.5 points has a 54% chance of staying under.
Along with our Packers vs. Lions predictions, we've also got the following locked and loaded for this week's action:
Packers vs. Lions Odds
We have researched the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Packers | Lions |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +3.5 (-122) | -3.5 (+100) |
| Moneyline | +150 | -170 |
| Total | o52.5 (-115) | u52.5 (-105) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Packers vs. Lions Picks
Our model's biggest edge in today's Packers vs. Lions matchup is on the spread.
Our expert predictions, matched against the latest odds, reveal the best NFL picks for every game throughout the season.
Unlimited access to our complete set of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.
Packers vs. Lions TD Scorers
Who will score the first touchdown in Packers vs. Lions?
According to our model, Detroit's David Montgomery is most likely to score the first TD in Packers vs. Lions.
Our projections give Montgomery a 12.8% chance of getting in for six first at Ford Field, while the Lions RB is a 57.4% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.
First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
Green Bay Packers
| Player | First TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Josh Jacobs | 11.5% |
| Jayden Reed | 7.6% |
| Dontayvion Wicks | 5.7% |
Detroit Lions
| Player | First TD Probability |
|---|---|
| David Montgomery | 12.8% |
| Jahmyr Gibbs | 11.0% |
| Amon-Ra St. Brown | 8.9% |
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Predictions
Green Bay Packers
| Player | Anytime TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Josh Jacobs | 51.1% |
| Jayden Reed | 38.4% |
| Dontayvion Wicks | 29.9% |
Detroit Lions
| Player | Anytime TD Probability |
|---|---|
| David Montgomery | 57.4% |
| Jahmyr Gibbs | 51.0% |
| Amon-Ra St. Brown | 43.7% |
Packers vs Lions Player Props
Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Packers and Lions. For detailed projections, join Dimers Pro.
Already a Dimers Pro member? Head to our Packers-Lions page now to access every player prop projection.
Packers vs. Lions Quarterbacks
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Packers' Jordan Love is projected to throw for more yards than the Lions' Jared Goff.
Packers Rushing
Josh Jacobs, Chris Brooks and Emanuel Wilson are projected to be the leading rushers for the Packers.
| Player | Position |
|---|---|
| Josh Jacobs | RB |
| Chris Brooks | RB |
| Emanuel Wilson | RB |
Lions Rushing
Jahmyr Gibbs, David Montgomery and Jared Goff are expected to lead the Lions in rushing yards.
| Player | Position |
|---|---|
| Jahmyr Gibbs | RB |
| David Montgomery | RB |
| Jared Goff | QB |
Packers Receiving
Jayden Reed, Dontayvion Wicks, Christian Watson, Tucker Kraft and Josh Jacobs are projected to top the receiving yards for the Packers.
| Player | Position |
|---|---|
| Jayden Reed | WR |
| Dontayvion Wicks | WR |
| Christian Watson | WR |
| Tucker Kraft | TE |
| Josh Jacobs | RB |
Lions Receiving
Amon-Ra St. Brown, Jameson Williams, Sam LaPorta, Tim Patrick and Jahmyr Gibbs are projected to lead the Lions in receiving yards.
| Player | Position |
|---|---|
| Amon-Ra St. Brown | WR |
| Jameson Williams | WR |
| Sam LaPorta | TE |
| Tim Patrick | WR |
| Jahmyr Gibbs | RB |
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Conclusion
We predict the Lions, with a 61% win probability, will likely beat the Packers on Thursday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Packers vs. Lions insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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More on NFL
Keep up with the latest NFL news, NFL best bets and NFL parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our Super Bowl odds offer the latest predictions for the Super Bowl, AFC, NFC and each division.
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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