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Packers vs. Bears Prediction: Green Bay Predicted to Win in NFL Week 11 [2024]
The Chicago Bears and Green Bay Packers will meet in Week 11 of the NFL season at Soldier Field on Sunday, with kickoff at 1:00PM ET.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced NFL model (see Dimers Pro for full access) projects the Packers as the most likely winner of today's game.
"Using the most recent data, our experts ran 10,000 simulations of Sunday's Packers-Bears game," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.
"After accounting for recent updates and other variables, our prediction shows the Packers with a win probability of 71%, while the Bears have 29%."
This updated Packers vs. Bears betting preview builds on our early Packers vs. Bears prediction released at the start of the week.
For expanded analysis of today’s game, including the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Packers vs. Bears predictions page.
Packers vs. Bears Game-Day Updates and Essential Details
The NFL Week 11 game between the Bears and Packers at Soldier Field is scheduled to start at 1:00PM ET.
- Who: Green Bay Packers vs. Chicago Bears
- Date: Sunday, November 17, 2024
- Time: 1:00PM ET/10:00AM PT
- Venue: Soldier Field
- Tickets: Get tickets for the game on Ticketmaster
- Merchandise: Buy Bears and Packers gear at Fanatics
Dimers.com's in-depth preview of Sunday's Packers vs. Bears matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.
Before making any Green Bay vs. Chicago picks, be sure to check out the latest NFL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.
READER EXCLUSIVE: Use code 20FOOTBALL at checkout now to get 20% off your first month of Dimers Pro! Hurry, this offer won't last long.
Packers vs. Bears Predictions
Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Sunday's NFL game between the Packers and Bears 10,000 times as part of our NFL predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model gives the Packers a 71% chance of defeating the Bears in Week 11 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Packers winning 23-17.
According to our model, the Bears (+6) have a 53% chance of covering the spread, while the 41.5-point over/under has a 52% chance of staying under.
In addition to our Packers vs. Bears predictions, we've also prepared the following for today’s action:
Packers vs. Bears Odds
We have sourced the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Packers | Bears |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -6 (-110) | +6 (-105) |
| Moneyline | -250 | +230 |
| Total | o41.5 (-105) | u41.5 (-115) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Packers vs. Bears Picks
Our model's biggest edge in today's Packers vs. Bears matchup is on the total.
Our expert predictions, aligned with the best odds, reveal the best NFL picks for every game throughout the season.
Unlimited access to our complete suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.
Packers vs. Bears TD Scorers
Who will score the first touchdown in Packers vs. Bears?
According to our model, Green Bay's Josh Jacobs is most likely to score the first TD in Packers vs. Bears.
Our projections give Jacobs an 11.5% chance of scoring the first TD at Soldier Field, while the Packers RB is a 42.9% chance of registering an anytime touchdown.
First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
Green Bay Packers
| Player | First TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Josh Jacobs | 11.5% |
| Jayden Reed | 8.2% |
| Christian Watson | 6.6% |
Chicago Bears
| Player | First TD Probability |
|---|---|
| D'Andre Swift | 10.1% |
| DJ Moore | 6.6% |
| Rome Odunze | 6.1% |
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Predictions
Green Bay Packers
| Player | Anytime TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Josh Jacobs | 42.9% |
| Jayden Reed | 31.4% |
| Christian Watson | 25.6% |
Chicago Bears
| Player | Anytime TD Probability |
|---|---|
| D'Andre Swift | 40.3% |
| DJ Moore | 28.2% |
| Rome Odunze | 25.6% |
For a complete analysis of the most likely first and anytime TD scorers this week, see our NFL Week 11 touchdown scorer predictions
Packers vs Bears Player Props
Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Packers and Bears. For detailed projections, join Dimers Pro.
Already a Dimers Pro member? Head to our Packers-Bears page now to access every player prop projection.
Packers vs. Bears Quarterbacks
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Packers' Jordan Love is projected to throw for more yards than the Bears' Caleb Williams.
Packers Rushing
Josh Jacobs, MarShawn Lloyd and Emanuel Wilson are projected to be the leading rushers for the Packers.
| Player | Position |
|---|---|
| Josh Jacobs | RB |
| MarShawn Lloyd | RB |
| Emanuel Wilson | RB |
Bears Rushing
D'Andre Swift, Caleb Williams and Roschon Johnson are expected to lead the Bears in rushing yards.
| Player | Position |
|---|---|
| D'Andre Swift | RB |
| Caleb Williams | QB |
| Roschon Johnson | RB |
Packers Receiving
Jayden Reed, Romeo Doubs, Christian Watson, Tucker Kraft and Dontayvion Wicks are projected to top the receiving yards for the Packers.
| Player | Position |
|---|---|
| Jayden Reed | WR |
| Romeo Doubs | WR |
| Christian Watson | WR |
| Tucker Kraft | TE |
| Dontayvion Wicks | WR |
Bears Receiving
DJ Moore, Keenan Allen, Rome Odunze, Cole Kmet and D'Andre Swift are projected to lead the Bears in receiving yards.
| Player | Position |
|---|---|
| DJ Moore | WR |
| Keenan Allen | WR |
| Rome Odunze | WR |
| Cole Kmet | TE |
| D'Andre Swift | RB |
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Conclusion
We predict the Packers, with a 71% win probability, will likely beat the Bears in Week 11 of the NFL season.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Packers vs. Bears insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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More on NFL
Keep up with the latest NFL betting news, NFL best bets and NFL parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our Super Bowl odds provide the latest projections for the Super Bowl, AFC, NFC and each division.
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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