Warriors vs. Spurs Prediction: Golden State to Win, Stephen Curry Projected for 26 Points in Sunday's NBA Game [3/30/2025]

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Written by Jason Bevilacqua

Our expert prediction for Sunday's Golden State Warriors vs San Antonio Spurs matchup.

Golden State Warriors-San Antonio Spurs Predictions and Game Preview.
Frost Bank Center sets the stage for the NBA matchup between the Golden State Warriors and San Antonio Spurs this Sunday.

The San Antonio Spurs will square off with the favored Golden State Warriors in NBA action at Frost Bank Center on Sunday, commencing at 7:00PM ET.

Based on updated simulations and today’s injury news, Dimers' proven NBA model (see Dimers Pro for full access) projects the Warriors as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Using the most recent data, our experts ran 10,000 simulations of Sunday's Golden State-San Antonio game," said Damien Souness from Dimers.

"After accounting for recent updates and other variables, our prediction shows the Warriors with a win probability of 80%, while the Spurs have 20%."

This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Spurs lineup will feature players like Stephon Castle, Devin Vassell and Keldon Johnson, while the Warriors will look to Stephen Curry, Jimmy Butler and Jonathan Kuminga.

For a closer look at Sunday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Warriors vs. Spurs predictions page.

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Warriors vs. Warriors Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Spread?

Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Sunday's NBA game between the Warriors and Spurs 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives the Warriors an 80% chance of beating the Spurs. Our predicted final score has the Warriors winning 120-110.

According to our model, the Spurs (+11.5) have a 55% chance of covering the spread, while the 232.5-point over/under has a 52% chance of staying under.

Pre-Game Probabilities
Last Updated: 11:02PM, Mar 30
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Warriors
Spurs +11.5
45%
55%
Get the best bets with Dimers Pro
See Matchup
Spurs
Warriors GSW
Spurs +11.5
45%
55%
See Matchup
Spurs SAS
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Warriors vs. Spurs Odds

We have sourced the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Warriors Spurs
Spread -11.5 (-108) +11.5 (-110)
Moneyline -560 +450
Total o232.5 (-110) u232.5 (-110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

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Warriors vs. Spurs Picks and Best Bets

Our model's strongest edge in today's Warriors vs. Spurs matchup is on the total.

Our expert predictions, aligned with the best odds, reveal the best NBA picks and NBA best bets for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our full set of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Warriors vs. Spurs Player Props

NBA prop bets are an exciting way to wager on the Warriors vs. Spurs matchup without necessarily betting on the outcome. We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Frost Bank Center.

Stephen Curry is expected to lead the Warriors with 26 points, 4 rebounds and 7 assists, while Stephon Castle is projected to have 19 points, 4 rebounds and 4 assists for the Spurs.

Stephen Curry 2025.
Stephen Curry is projected to score 26 points tonight.

Dimers Pro users can access a full range of player props and projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and more, for every NBA game this season.

Projected Box Scores for Every NBA Game
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Warriors vs. Spurs Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

Sunday's action between the Spurs and Warriors at Frost Bank Center is scheduled to start at 7:00PM ET.

Dimers.com's full preview of Sunday's Warriors vs. Spurs matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Golden State vs. San Antonio picks, be sure to check out the latest NBA predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Conclusion

We predict the Warriors, with an 80% win probability, will likely beat the Spurs on Sunday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Warriors vs. Spurs insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

More on NBA

Stay informed with the latest NBA news and NBA parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our NBA championship odds provide the latest projections for the NBA title.

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Written by
Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.

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