Warriors vs. Lakers Prediction: Lakers to Win, Luka Doncic Projected for 30 Points in Thursday's NBA Game [4/3/2025]

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Written by Jason Bevilacqua

Our expert prediction for Thursday's Golden State Warriors vs Los Angeles Lakers matchup.

Golden State Warriors-Los Angeles Lakers Predictions and Game Preview.
Crypto.com Arena sets the stage for the NBA matchup between the Golden State Warriors and Los Angeles Lakers this Thursday.

The Los Angeles Lakers will face the Golden State Warriors in NBA action at Crypto.com Arena on Thursday, commencing at 10:00PM ET.

Based on the latest simulation results and today’s injury reports, Dimers' proven NBA model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Lakers as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Using the latest data, our experts simulated Thursday's Golden State-LA Lakers game 10,000 times," said Damien Souness from Dimers.

"Taking into account recent updates and various additional inputs, we forecast the Lakers with a win probability of 54% and the Warriors with 46%."

This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Lakers lineup will feature stars like Luka Doncic, LeBron James and Austin Reaves, while the Warriors will rely on Stephen Curry, Jimmy Butler and Jonathan Kuminga.

Doncic, the Lakers' latest star recruit, is expected to deliver a standout performance with a projected 30 points and 4 threes.

For a closer look at Thursday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Warriors vs. Lakers predictions page.

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Warriors vs. Warriors Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Spread?

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Thursday's NBA game between the Warriors and Lakers 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently gives the Lakers a 54% chance of beating the Warriors. Our predicted final score has the Lakers winning 115-114.

According to our model, the Warriors (-1.5) have a 51% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 230.5 points has a 51% chance of staying under.

Pre-Game Probabilities
Last Updated: 2:05AM, Apr 4
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Warriors
Lakers -1.5
46%
54%
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See Matchup
Lakers
Warriors GSW
Lakers -1.5
46%
54%
See Matchup
Lakers LAL
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Warriors vs. Lakers Odds

We have researched the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Warriors Lakers
Spread -1.5 (+100) +1.5 (-120)
Moneyline -102 -105
Total o230.5 (-110) u230.5 (-110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

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Warriors vs. Lakers Picks and Best Bets

Our model's strongest edge in today's Warriors vs. Lakers matchup is on the moneyline.

Our expert predictions, aligned with the latest odds, reveal the best NBA picks and NBA best bets for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our full suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Warriors vs. Lakers Player Props

Betting on Golden State vs. LA Lakers NBA player props? We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Crypto.com Arena.

Stephen Curry is expected to lead the Warriors with 27 points, 5 rebounds and 7 assists, while Luka Doncic is projected to have 30 points, 8 rebounds and 8 assists for the Lakers.

Luka Doncic 2025.
Luka Doncic is projected to score 30 points tonight.

Dimers Pro users can access a full range of player props and projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and more, for every NBA game this season.

Projected Box Scores for Every NBA Game
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Warriors vs. Lakers Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

Thursday's action between the Lakers and Warriors at Crypto.com Arena is scheduled to start at 10:00PM ET.

Dimers.com's full preview of Thursday's Warriors vs. Lakers matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Golden State vs. LA Lakers picks, be sure to check out the latest NBA predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Conclusion

We predict the Lakers, with a 54% win probability, will likely beat the Warriors on Thursday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Warriors vs. Lakers insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

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Stay up-to-date with the latest NBA betting news and NBA parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our NBA championship odds offer the most accurate probabilities for the NBA title.

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Written by
Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.

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