May 28, 2025
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Read Article Warriors vs. Rockets Prediction: Houston to Win, Stephen Curry Projected for Big Game in Game 1 [2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Our expert prediction for Sunday's Golden State Warriors vs Houston Rockets Game 1 matchup.
NBA Playoffs action continues on Sunday at 9:30PM ET as the Golden State Warriors lock horns with the Houston Rockets in the 2025 NBA Playoffs at Toyota Center.
Based on the latest simulation results and today’s injury updates, Dimers' proven NBA model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Rockets as the most likely winner of Game 1.
"Using the most recent data, our experts ran 10,000 simulations of Sunday's Golden State-Houston game," said Damien Souness from Dimers.
"After accounting for recent updates and other variables, our prediction shows the Rockets with a win probability of 57%, while the Warriors have 43%."
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Rockets lineup will feature stars like Jalen Green, Alperen Sengun and Amen Thompson, while the Warriors will look to Stephen Curry, Jimmy Butler and Brandin Podziemski.
For further insights into Sunday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Warriors vs. Rockets predictions page.
Get 20% off Dimers Pro With Code 20BASKETBALL Get Dimers Pro Warriors vs. Warriors Prediction: Who Will Win Game 1?
Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's NBA Playoffs game between the Warriors and Rockets 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently gives the Rockets a 57% chance of defeating the Warriors in Game 1 of the series. Our predicted final score has the Rockets winning 107-105.
According to our model, the Rockets (-1.5) have a 52% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 213 points has a 52% chance of going over.
Pre-Game Probabilities
Last Updated: 1:34AM, Apr 21
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Over / Under
Moneyline
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Warriors vs. Rockets Game 1 Odds
We have sourced the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Warriors | Rockets |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +1.5 (-106) | -1.5 (-110) |
| Moneyline | +108 | -120 |
| Total | o213 (-110) | u213 (-108) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
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Warriors vs. Rockets Picks and Best Bets for Game 1
Our model's biggest edge in today's Warriors vs. Rockets matchup is on the moneyline.
Our expert predictions, matched against the latest odds, reveal the best NBA picks and NBA best bets for every game throughout the season.
Unlimited access to our complete suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.
Warriors vs. Rockets Game 1 Player Props
Looking for Warriors vs. Rockets NBA prop bets? We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Toyota Center.
Stephen Curry is expected to lead the Warriors in scoring, while Jalen Green is projected to be the top scorer for the Rockets.
Dimers Pro users can access a full range of player props and projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and more, for every NBA game this season.
Projected Box Scores for Every NBA Game Get Dimers Pro Warriors vs. Rockets Game 1 Updates and Essential Details
Sunday's Game 1 between the Rockets and Warriors in the NBA Playoffs is scheduled to commence at 9:30PM ET.
- Who: Golden State Warriors vs. Houston Rockets
- Date: Sunday, April 20, 2025
- Time: 9:30PM ET/6:30PM PT
- Venue: Toyota Center
- NBA Playoffs Bracket: Updated NBA Playoffs bracket and schedule
The NBA Playoffs is an annual elimination tournament held to determine the league's champion.
Sixteen teams, including the Warriors and Rockets, made the NBA Playoffs 2025, which consists of four rounds: the First Round, Conference Semifinals, Conference Finals, and NBA Finals.
Each round is played as a best-of-seven series, with the first team to four wins progressing to the next round until a champion is crowned. Dimers.com's comprehensive preview of Sunday's Warriors vs. Rockets matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.
Before making any Golden State vs. Houston picks, be sure to check out the latest NBA predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.
Conclusion
We predict the Rockets, with a 57% win probability, will likely beat the Warriors on Sunday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Warriors vs. Rockets insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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More on NBA
Keep up with the latest NBA news and NBA parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our NBA championship odds offer the most accurate predictions for the NBA title.
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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