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Golden State Warriors vs. Denver Nuggets Prediction, Odds, NBA Picks Christmas Day [12/25/2023]

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Written by Kevin Hansen
Golden State Warriors vs. Denver Nuggets Prediction, Odds, NBA Picks Christmas Day  [12/25/2023]

The Denver Nuggets and Golden State Warriors will lock horns in NBA action at Ball Arena on Christmas Day, starting at 2:30PM ET.

Dimers.com's full betting preview for Monday's Warriors vs. Nuggets matchup includes the latest betting odds, as well as our predictions and picks for the game.

Warriors vs. Nuggets Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Spread

We have used innovative machine learning and data analysis to simulate the result of Monday's NBA matchup between the Warriors and Nuggets 10,000 times, in line with our coverage of NBA picks.

Our proven predictive analytics model currently gives the Nuggets a 72% chance of defeating the Warriors, and our predicted final score has the Nuggets winning 120-113.

According to our model, the Warriors (+7.5) have a 54% chance of covering the spread, while the 234.5-point Over/Under has a 52% chance of going under.

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Warriors vs. Nuggets Odds

We have researched the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Warriors Nuggets
Spread +7.5 (-108) -7.5 (-110)
Moneyline +250 -298
Total o234.5 (-110) u234.5 (-105)
  • The Nuggets are currently -7.5 favorites versus the Warriors, with -110 at BetMGM Sportsbook the best odds currently available.
  • For the underdog Warriors (+7.5) to cover the spread, DraftKings Sportsbook has the best odds currently on the market at -108.
  • DraftKings currently has the best moneyline odds for the Nuggets at -298, which means you can risk $298 to win $100 for a total payout of $398 if they get the W.
  • On the other hand, FanDuel Sportsbook currently has the best moneyline odds for the Warriors at +250, where you can bet $100 to profit $250, earning a total payout of $350 if they win.
  • The Over/Under is set at 234.5 with DraftKings, which currently has the best odds for the Over at -110, while BetMGM currently has the best odds for the Under at -105.

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

As always, check out all the sportsbooks that are available in your state for the best NBA odds and lines.

Warriors vs. Nuggets Picks

By comparing our predictions to the odds listed above, we have determined the best betting picks for this game:

Bet Type Our Pick Best Odds
Spread Warriors +7.5 -108
Moneyline Warriors +250
Total Under 234.5 -105

 

While the Nuggets are more likely to win the game, taking the Warriors moneyline is the best option due to the edge identified when comparing our data-led probabilities to the sportsbooks' odds currently on offer.

Taking advantage of the edges published on Dimers is one of the keys to being a profitable sports bettor in the long run.

Dimers' best NBA bets are based on detailed simulations and gambling expertise to serve you the best possible plays every day of the year.

Warriors vs. Nuggets Player Props

Betting on Warriors vs. Nuggets NBA prop bets? We have crunched the numbers to project key individual stats for each team, such as points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers.

Stephen Curry is expected to lead the way for the Warriors with 25 points, 4 rebounds and 5 assists, while Nikola Jokic is projected to have 30 points, 13 rebounds and 13 assists for the Nuggets.

Warriors Prediction

Our model's projected player stats for the Warriors:

Player PTS REB AST 3PM
Stephen Curry 25 4 5 5
Klay Thompson 19 4 2 4
Jonathan Kuminga 14 4 2 1
Andrew Wiggins 12 4 2 1
Brandin Podziemski 10 6 4 1

Nuggets Prediction

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers for the Nuggets:

Player PTS REB AST 3PM
Nikola Jokic 30 13 13 1
Jamal Murray 22 4 6 3
Michael Porter 15 8 1 2
Aaron Gordon 14 7 4 1
Reggie Jackson 11 2 4 1

For more help with your NBA prop betting, check out the best NBA trends for today's games.

Remember, our model updates regularly, so refresh this article for the latest betting insights ahead of the Warriors vs. Nuggets on Monday December 25, 2023.

Warriors vs. Nuggets Game Information

Monday's action between the Nuggets and Warriors at Ball Arena is scheduled to start at 2:30PM ET.

 

Our full betting coverage of Warriors vs. Nuggets includes pregame predictions, betting picks, and live win probabilities.

How to Bet on Warriors vs. Nuggets

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Conclusion

This preview article has been partially generated using automated processes and AI technology. Our goal is to provide timely and accurate updates on Monday's Warriors vs. Nuggets game, and automation assists in data collection, analysis, and formatting. Human editing and quality control are performed to ensure the content meets our editorial guidelines.

Dimers' predictions are made after 10,000 simulations per game, using reliable and up-to-date data sources and analytical methods. While these Warriors vs. Nuggets predictions can help you make informed decisions, it's important that you gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that leads to a third-party website that we have a commercial arrangement with (such as a sportsbook), we may get a referral fee at no additional cost to you.

More on NBA

Stay up-to-date with the latest NBA news and our analytics-driven NBA picks and parlays all season long. Plus, our NBA championship odds give you the latest predictions and the best available odds on the NBA title, as well as the Eastern and Western conferences.

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Written by
Kevin Hansen
Senior Sports Analyst

Kevin Hansen specializes in NFL, NBA, MLB, and NHL content, using data-driven insights for sports betting. He provides simple, actionable betting tips to help bettors find an edge and pick winners.

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