Golden Knights vs. Lightning Prediction and Odds - Mar 9, 2023

The Tampa Bay Lightning square off with the Vegas Golden Knights in NHL action at Amalie Arena on Thursday, starting at 7:00PM ET.

Dimers' best betting picks for Golden Knights vs. Lightning, plus game predictions, betting odds and projected player stats, are detailed in this article.

Who will win Golden Knights vs. Lightning?

Based on state-of-the-art computer power and data, Dimers.com has simulated Thursday's Golden Knights-Lightning NHL matchup 10,000 times.

Dimers' proven predictive analytics model, DimersBOT, gives the Lightning a 60% chance of getting the W against the Golden Knights.

More: Free Betting Analysis for Golden Knights vs. Lightning

Golden Knights vs. Lightning Odds

• Puck Line: Lightning -1.5 (+150), Golden Knights +1.5 (-164)
• Moneyline: Lightning -175, Golden Knights +150
• Total: Over/Under 6.5 (+102/-124)

Puck Line, Moneyline and Over/Under

The Lightning are -1.5 favorites against the Golden Knights, with +150 at DraftKings Sportsbook the best odds currently available.

For the underdog Golden Knights (+1.5) to cover the puck line, FanDuel Sportsbook has the best odds currently on offer at -164.

BetMGM currently has the best moneyline odds for the Lightning at -175, which means you can risk $175 to win $100, for a total payout of $275, if they get the W.

Meanwhile, DraftKings Sportsbook currently has the best moneyline odds for the Golden Knights at +150, where you can bet $100 to profit $150, earning a total payout of $250, if they win.

The Over/Under for total goals scored is set at 6.5 with FanDuel Sportsbook, which currently has the best odds for the Over at +102, as well as the best odds for the Under at -124.

As always, make sure you check all the sportsbooks that are available in your state for the best NHL odds and lines.

According to DimersBOT, the Golden Knights (+1.5) are a 63% chance of covering the puck line, while the Over/Under total of 6.5 goals is a 56% chance of going Under.

More: Free Online Bet Tracking Tool

Best Bets for Golden Knights vs. Lightning

• Puck Line: Golden Knights +1.5 @ -164 via FanDuel Sportsbook (63% probability)
• Moneyline: Golden Knights @ +150 via DraftKings Sportsbook (0.1% edge)
• Total: Under 6.5 @ -124 via FanDuel Sportsbook (56% probability)

Our best bets are based on detailed modeling and gambling intelligence to bring you the best possible plays every time.

While the Lightning are more likely to win the game, according to DimersBOT, taking the Golden Knights moneyline is the best option due to the edge found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the sportsbooks' odds currently available.

Taking advantage of the edges seen on Dimers is pivotal to being profitable in the long run.

Golden Knights vs. Lightning Prediction

Click or tap on See Matchup to reveal more.

Dimers has full betting coverage of Thursday's Golden Knights-Lightning matchup, including pregame predictions, free betting picks, and live win probabilities.

Golden Knights vs. Lightning Player Props

Who will score the first goal in Golden Knights vs. Lightning? The data is in.

Listed below are the most likely first goal and most likely anytime goal scorers for both the Golden Knights and Lightning.

And you know what, we provide this information to you for FREE to help you select the best prop bets for Thursday's game.

According to DimersBOT, Tampa Bay's Steven Stamkos is most likely to score the first goal in Golden Knights vs. Lightning.

DimersBOT gives Stamkos an 8.0% chance of scoring the first goal at Amalie Arena, while the Lightning star is a 36.6% chance of netting an anytime goal.

Scroll down for the full list of first and anytime goal scorer probabilities.

First Goal Scorer Probabilities

Vegas Golden Knights

• Jack Eichel: 7.6% probability
• Jonathan Marchessault: 5.4% probability
• Ivan Barbashev: 3.9% probability
• Paul Cotter: 3.6% probability
• Reilly Smith: 3.1% probability

Tampa Bay Lightning

• Steven Stamkos: 8.0% probability
• Nikita Kucherov: 7.6% probability
• Brayden Point: 7.3% probability
• Alex Killorn: 4.2% probability
• Brandon Hagel: 3.8% probability

Anytime Goal Scorer Probabilities

Vegas Golden Knights

• Jack Eichel: 36.7% probability
• Jonathan Marchessault: 26.4% probability
• Ivan Barbashev: 21.5% probability
• Reilly Smith: 19.2% probability
• Paul Cotter: 17.5% probability

Tampa Bay Lightning

• Nikita Kucherov: 37.9% probability
• Steven Stamkos: 36.6% probability
• Brayden Point: 34.8% probability
• Brandon Hagel: 21.8% probability
• Alex Killorn: 21.5% probability

Remember, DimersBOT updates frequently, so check this page for the latest betting analysis ahead of Golden Knights vs. Lightning on Thursday March 9, 2023.

Golden Knights vs. Lightning 2023 Game Info

Thursday's game between the Lightning and Golden Knights at Amalie Arena is scheduled to begin at 7:00PM ET.

• Who: Vegas Golden Knights vs. Tampa Bay Lightning
• Date: Thursday March 9, 2023
• Time: 7:00PM ET / 4:00PM PT
• Venue: Amalie Arena

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Want more NHL analysis like this?

To get more NHL betting predictions like you've just read for Golden Knights vs. Lightning, all you've gotta do is visit Dimers' NHL Betting News page. It's that easy – they're all there!

We use the power of predictive analytics to find edges in the markets so we can produce the most comprehensive NHL betting previews out there. We're able to do this by comparing our in-house probabilities against the sportsbooks' odds (aka Vegas odds) the minute they go live.

So, get ahead of the game and beat the bookies today – it's only a click away.