Apr 26, 2025
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Read Article Adelaide Crows vs. Geelong Cats Prediction: Crows Predicted to Win Thursday's AFL Round 5 Matchup [4/10/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Our expert prediction for Thursday's Adelaide Crows vs Geelong Cats matchup.
AFL action continues on Thursday at 5:40AM ET as the Geelong Cats face off with the favored Adelaide Crows at Adelaide Oval.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' proven AFL model (see Dimers Pro for full access) projects the Crows as the most likely winner of today's game.
"Using the latest data, our experts simulated Thursday's Geelong-Adelaide game 10,000 times," said Ryan Leaver from Dimers.
"Taking into account recent updates and various additional inputs, we forecast the Crows with a win probability of 64% and the Cats with 36%."
For further insights into Thursday's matchup, including best bets and picks, visit our interactive Cats vs. Crows predictions page.
Get 20% off Dimers Pro With Code 20AFL Get Dimers Pro Crows vs. Cats Prediction: Who Will Win Round 5 Game?
Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Thursday's AFL game between the Cats and Crows 10,000 times as part of our AFL predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently gives the Crows a 64% chance of defeating the Cats.
According to our model, the Cats (+14.5) have a 58% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 181.5 has a 54% chance of staying under.
Pre-Game Probabilities
Last Updated: 9:15AM, Apr 9
Moneyline
Spread
Over / Under
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Geelong vs. Adelaide Odds
We have researched the best AFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Cats | Crows |
|---|---|---|
| H2H (Moneyline) | +195 | -263 |
| Line (Spread) | +14.5 (-115) | -14.5 (-115) |
| Total | o181.5 (-115) | u181.5 (-115) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Make the most of your sports betting experience by exploring our comprehensive list of US betting apps, and the latest sportsbooks in 2025, ensuring you never miss a top new-user deal.
Crows vs. Cats Game-Day Updates and Essential Details
Thursday's Australian rules football game between the Crows and Cats at Adelaide Oval is scheduled to commence at 5:40AM ET.
- Who: Geelong Cats vs. Adelaide Crows
- Date: Thursday, April 10, 2025
- Time: 5:40AM ET/2:40AM PT
- Venue: Adelaide Oval
The AFL is available to bet on in the US through all major sportsbooks, with fans highlighting the high-octane 360-degree nature of the sport as a top reason to follow it.
Dimers.com's in-depth preview of Thursday's Cats vs. Crows matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.
Before making any Geelong vs. Adelaide picks, be sure to check out the latest AFL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.
Conclusion
We predict the Crows, with a 64% win probability, will likely beat the Cats on Thursday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Cats vs. Crows insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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More on AFL
Keep up with the latest AFL betting news and parlay picks throughout the season.
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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