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Fresno State vs. New Mexico Prediction: Fresno State Predicted to Win After New Data Released for College Football Week 4 [2024]

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Written by Mac Douglass
Fresno State-New Mexico Predictions and Game Preview.
University Stadium sets the stage for the college football matchup between Fresno State and New Mexico this Saturday.

New Mexico will face the favored Fresno State in college football action at University Stadium on Saturday, commencing at 8:30PM ET.

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced college football model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts Fresno State as the most likely winner of the game.

"Our team has used the latest data to run 10,000 simulations of Saturday's Fresno State-New Mexico game," said Ryan Leaver from Dimers.

"By incorporating recent updates and various other inputs, we estimate that Fresno State is more likely to win, while New Mexico has a lower chance of victory."

Fresno State vs. New Mexico Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

Saturday's college football matchup between New Mexico and Fresno State at University Stadium is scheduled to start at 8:30PM ET.

Dimers.com's comprehensive preview of Saturday's Fresno State vs. New Mexico matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any New Mexico vs. Fresno State picks, be sure to check out the latest college football predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

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Fresno State vs. New Mexico Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Spread?

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Fresno State vs. New Mexico 10,000 times as part of our college football predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model gives Fresno State a 78% chance of defeating New Mexico. Our predicted final score has Fresno State winning 36-22.

According to our model, the bookies have got it right, and Fresno State and New Mexico each have a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 59.5 points has a 51% chance of going over.

 

Fresno State vs. New Mexico Odds

We have sourced the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Fresno State New Mexico
Spread -13.5 (-108) +13.5 (-102)
Moneyline -520 +425
Total o59.5 (-115) u59.5 (-104)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Fresno State vs. New Mexico Picks

Our model's biggest edge in the Fresno State vs. New Mexico matchup is on the moneyline.

Our expert predictions, aligned with the current odds, reveal the best college football picks for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

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Conclusion

We predict Fresno State, with a 78% win probability, will likely beat New Mexico on Saturday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Fresno State vs. New Mexico insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

More on College Football

Keep up with the latest college football betting news and our data-led college football best bets and CFB parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our College Football National Championship odds provide the most up-to-date probabilities for the national title game and major conferences.

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Written by
Mac Douglass
Senior Editor

Mac brings a well-traveled perspective and broad sports knowledge to Dimers, specializing in NFL previews for the NFC South and NFC East, MLB best bets, and Formula 1 race previews. Known for finding top new user promos across major sportsbooks, Mac enhances the betting experience for both novices and veterans.

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