Richmond Tigers vs. Fremantle Dockers Prediction: Dockers Predicted to Win Saturday's AFL Round 5 Matchup [4/12/2025]

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Written by Jason Bevilacqua

Our expert prediction for Saturday's Richmond Tigers vs Fremantle Dockers matchup.

Richmond Tigers-Fremantle Dockers Predictions and Game Preview.
Barossa Park sets the stage for the AFL matchup between the Richmond Tigers and Fremantle Dockers this Saturday.

AFL action continues on Saturday at 10:35PM ET as the favored Fremantle Dockers take on the Richmond Tigers at Barossa Park.

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven AFL model (see Dimers Pro for full access) projects the Dockers as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Our team has used the latest data to run 10,000 simulations of Saturday's Fremantle-Richmond game," said Ryan Leaver from Dimers.

"By incorporating recent updates and various other inputs, we estimate that the Dockers are more likely to win, while the Tigers have a lower chance of victory."

For a closer look at Saturday's matchup, including best bets and picks, visit our interactive Dockers vs. Tigers predictions page.

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Tigers vs. Dockers Prediction: Who Will Win Round 5 Game?

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's AFL game between the Dockers and Tigers 10,000 times as part of our AFL predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives the Dockers a 92% chance of beating the Tigers.

According to our model, the Dockers (-41.5) have a 51% chance of covering the spread, while the 182.5- over/under has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.

Pre-Game Probabilities
Last Updated: 10:43PM, Apr 12
Moneyline
Spread
Over / Under
Dockers
Win %
92%
8%
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See Matchup
Tigers
Dockers FRE
Win %
92%
8%
See Matchup
Tigers RIC
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Fremantle vs. Richmond Odds

We have researched the best AFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Dockers Tigers
H2H (Moneyline) -2500 +800
Line (Spread) -41.5 (-115) +41.5 (-115)
Total o182.5 (-115) u182.5 (-115)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Make the most of your sports betting experience by exploring our comprehensive list of US betting apps, and the latest sportsbooks in 2025, ensuring you never miss a top new-user deal.

Tigers vs. Dockers Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

Saturday's Australian rules football matchup between the Tigers and Dockers at Barossa Park is scheduled to begin at 10:35PM ET.

  • Who: Fremantle Dockers vs. Richmond Tigers
  • Date: Saturday, April 12, 2025
  • Time: 10:35PM ET/7:35PM PT
  • Venue: Barossa Park

The AFL is available to bet on in the US through all major sportsbooks, with fans highlighting the high-octane 360-degree nature of the sport as a top reason to follow it.

Dimers.com's in-depth preview of Saturday's Dockers vs. Tigers matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Fremantle vs. Richmond picks, be sure to check out the latest AFL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Conclusion

We predict the Dockers, with a 92% win probability, will likely beat the Tigers on Saturday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Dockers vs. Tigers insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

More on AFL

Stay up-to-date with the latest AFL news and parlay picks throughout the season.

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Written by
Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.

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