Free NFL Expert Picks - Against The Spread

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Written by Nick Slade
Reviewed by Dave Garofolo
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Looking for today's best NFL picks against the spread? We've analyzed the data and highlighted our top choices for Week 8.

NFL picks, picks against the spread, picks, NFL spread picks
Our free NFL expert picks ATS

Looking for today's best NFL picks against the spread (ATS)? We've analyzed the Week 8 data and highlighted our top choices for Sunday, October 27, 2024. Each of these NFL predictions against the spread features favorable probabilities, giving you an edge in the day’s action.

Let's dive into each matchup, sorted in order from highest edge vs. the sportsbooks' NFL odds, down.

NFL Spread Picks [Week 8]

For Week 8 of the 2024 NFL season, our experts recommend three valuable picks against the spread. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers, as 2.5-point underdogs against the Atlanta Falcons, have a 58.2% probability of covering with a 7.7% edge. Tampa’s defense and familiarity with their divisional rival make this a close matchup with strong cover potential. Similarly, the Washington Commanders, also 2.5-point underdogs facing the Chicago Bears, share the same probability and edge. Washington’s balanced approach and Chicago’s inconsistency make the Commanders a solid ATS pick. Finally, the New Orleans Saints, getting 7 points against the Los Angeles Chargers, have a 54.2% probability of covering, thanks to their offensive firepower and the Chargers’ defensive struggles. Each of the below picks presents compelling value for Week 8.

Buccaneers +2.5 vs. Falcons (1 PM ET)

Our first pick sees the Tampa Bay Buccaneers as 2.5-point underdogs against the Atlanta Falcons, with a notable 58.2% probability and an edge of 7.7%. This suggests that the Bucs have a stronger chance of covering the spread than the odds imply. Tampa Bay has been competitive this season, with a tough defense and improved offensive consistency, and they’re facing a divisional opponent they’re familiar with. While the Falcons have shown potential with explosive playmakers, they’ve struggled to pull away from opponents. Given the Bucs' solid defensive schemes, they should be able to keep this game close and potentially cover the spread, if not pull off an outright win.

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Commanders +2.5 vs. Bears (4:25 PM ET)

The Commanders also sit as 2.5-point underdogs against the Chicago Bears, boasting the same 58.2% probability to cover and an edge of 7.7%. Washington’s defense has shown resilience, allowing them to stay within reach of many of their opponents this season. The Bears, while improving, still face consistency issues on both sides of the ball. Washington’s offense, led by some underrated playmakers, has proven capable of mounting strong drives and finishing in the red zone. With these factors, Washington has a legitimate shot at covering and may even hand the Bears a tough matchup in what should be a closely contested game.

Saints +7.0 vs. Chargers (4:05 PM ET)

Our final pick takes the New Orleans Saints as 7-point underdogs against the Los Angeles Chargers, carrying a 54.2% probability and an edge of 3.7%. The Saints, although underdogs, have a dynamic offense that can exploit the Chargers’ weaknesses, especially in pass defense. Los Angeles has shown defensive vulnerabilities this season, making it challenging for them to maintain big leads. Given New Orleans’ potential to score late and keep games close, this 7-point spread presents strong value for bettors.

Conclusion: Our Best NFL Picks Against The Spread

With these three NFL Against The Spread picks, bettors have compelling options for Week 8. Be sure to consider these insights when placing your bets this Sunday.

These three picks provide a well-rounded selection of teams to follow throughout the day, each with favorable probabilities and edges that give you a boost in making profitable NFL bets. Enjoy the action!


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To make sure you get accurate and helpful information, this guide has been edited by Dave Garofolo as part of our fact-checking process.
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Written by
Nick Slade
Chief Content Officer

Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers and Stats Insider, and specializes in soccer, NBA and NHL betting.

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