Free College Football Expert Picks - Against The Spread

Looking for today's best college football picks against the spread? We've analyzed the Week 10 data and highlighted our top choices for Saturday, November 2, 2024. Each of these CFB predictions against the spread features favorable probabilities, giving you an edge in the day’s action.

College Football Picks Against The Spread [Week 10]

Here are the top five college football picks against the spread for Week 10, ranked by their probability of success, starting from the highest:

Oklahoma State (+4.5) vs. Arizona State

Oklahoma State enters as a +4.5 underdog against Arizona State but holds a 63.2% probability of covering the spread in this matchup. With an 11.9% edge, this game presents the highest potential value, indicating that Oklahoma State is a solid choice to keep this game close or potentially pull off an outright win. Their performance thus far and Arizona State’s defensive struggles bolster the Cowboys' likelihood of staying within the spread.

Pittsburgh (+7.0) vs. Southern Methodist

Pittsburgh is set as a 7-point underdog against Southern Methodist, yet their probability of covering sits at 61.6%. With a strong 10.4% edge, Pittsburgh’s defense could be a factor in keeping this matchup competitive. Despite being the underdog, the Panthers are likely to hold SMU’s offense in check, which could lead to a close contest within the spread.

Troy State (+3.5) vs. Coastal Carolina

At a +3.5 spread, Troy State holds a 60.7% probability of covering against Coastal Carolina, with an 8.3% edge. Troy State’s defensive capabilities and solid ground game may help them limit Coastal Carolina’s offense, setting them up for a competitive game that stays within the 3.5 points.

Purdue (-2.0) vs. Northwestern

Purdue, as a slight 2-point favorite over Northwestern, comes with a 59.3% probability to cover, showcasing a 6.9% edge. Purdue’s recent offensive surge and home-field advantage make them a promising pick to beat this narrow spread against a Northwestern team that has struggled on the road this season.

Vanderbilt (+7.5) vs. Auburn

Vanderbilt is a 7.5-point underdog against Auburn but has a 57.9% chance to cover, with a 6.0% edge. Auburn’s inconsistency provides an opening for Vanderbilt to stay within the spread, particularly if they can capitalize on a strong passing game and home-field support. This gives the Commodores a reasonable shot to keep this one close.

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