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Free College Basketball Expert Picks - Against The Spread: Wednesday, November 6, 2024
We've analyzed the probabilities for every college basketball team to cover the spread on Wednesday, November 6 and highlighted our Top 5 most-likely against the spread picks.
The college basketball season has begun, with dozens of games on nearly every day for the next four months. It's one of our favorite times of the year at Dimers and we've got your back all season long with the best college basketball predictions in the game.
Today's best college basketball picks come courtesy of our in-house advanced prediction models. We've analyzed all of the data for today's college basketball spreads and highlighted our top choices for Wednesday, November 6, 2024. Each of these CBB predictions against the spread targets our top probabilities, giving you the edge in today’s college basketball picks against the spread.
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College Basketball Picks Against The Spread - Wednesday, November 6
Here are the top five college basketball picks against the spread for Wednesday, November 6, ranked by their probability of success, starting with the highest:
SDSU (-10.5) vs. UC San Diego
SDSU is the only favorite predicted to cover in the top of our probabilities today as they play host to cross-city rival UC San Diego. At a 58.0% probability of covering the spread, this bet is also one of our best college basketball bets of the day based on value. With 5.6% edge, we say this bet should be closer to -150, while you can get odds of -110 on the sportsbooks. The Aztecs boasted a 14-1 record at home last season and will look to win this one with ease and cover the spread.
Sacred Heart (+35.5) vs. UCONN
The second in-state matchup in this list, No. 3 ranked Connecticut will host Sacred Heart University as heavy favorites. UCONN has been a powerhouse and is looking for their third consecutive NCAA Championship. As they open their season against the Pioneers, our model predicts a decisive win for the Huskies but not for them to cover the spread, giving SHU a 58.3% probability of covering the +35.5 points and by a good amount, with our average final score 89-60 in favor of the Huskies. This also presents a good edge against the books, with odds of -110 widely available.
Eastern Washington (+7.5) vs. Seattle
At a +7.5 spread, Eastern Washington University hosts Seattle University, the third in-state matchup of the day. The Eagles host the Redhawks as an underdog, but our model likes their odds to cover, giving them a 54.8% probability of doing so and almost at plus-money odds. The Eagles had an 8-3 record against the spread as underdogs last season.
Texas Rio Grande Valley (+31.5) vs. Creighton
As another heavy favorite, Creighton gets a 98% win probability vs. Texas Rio Grande Valley,though the 31.5-point spread may be too much for them to cover. In our average final score of 91-67, we see the Vaqueros losing by an average margin of just 24, a full 7.5 points less than the spread of 31.5. The No. 15-ranked Blue Jays should win this one with ease, but we give UTRGV a 55.05 probability to cover the spread.
Texas A&M-Commerce (+10) vs. South Dakota
Our final Top 5 spread probability is for Texas A&M Commerce to keep it close when they travel to South Dakota as 10-point underdogs. At 54.3%, we get a 2.0% edge against the sportsbook odds for the Lions to cover vs. the Coyotes on the road. Though it's the lowest probability of the top 5, it still presents a betting opportunity based on the -110 odds available.
Dimers' NCAAB Betting Resources for the 2024-25 Season
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- CBB Best Bets: Our Top Picks for every games based on value
- NCAA Championship Odds: Who will win the March Madness tournament?
- CBB Best Props: Player edges and projections from our predictive analytics model
- CBB Betting News: The latest promos, storylines and more around the league
- CBB Betting Trends: The hottest player prop trends as identified by our model.
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