Florida vs. Houston Prediction: Florida Predicted to Win March Madness Championship Matchup [4/7/2025]

Houston and Florida will meet in the NCAA Championship game at Alamodome on Monday, with tipoff at 8:50PM ET.

Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced college basketball model (see Dimers Pro for full access) projects Florida as the most likely winner of today's game.

Check the latest March Madness player prop projections and 2025 NCAA Championship probabilities, as well as the initial March Madness bracket projections from our expert team.

"Our team has utilized the latest data to simulate Monday's Florida-Houston game 10,000 times," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.

"Incorporating recent updates and thousands of additional inputs, our prediction shows Florida is likely to win, with a probability of 53%, compared to Houston's 47%."

For expanded analysis of Monday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks, visit our interactive Florida vs. Houston predictions page.

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Florida vs. Houston Prediction: Who Will Win the Championship?

Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Monday's NCAA Tournament matchup between Florida and Houston 10,000 times as part of our March Madness predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently gives Florida a 53% chance of beating Houston. Our predicted score is Florida 70-70 Houston.

According to our model, Houston (+1.5) has a 53% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 140.5 points has a 51% chance of staying under.

While there is no way for a March Madness game to end in a tie, our prediction of 70-70 is based on each team's average score in the above-mentioned simulations of Florida vs. Houston.

Pre-Game Probabilities

Last Updated: 12:34AM, Apr 8

Spread

Over / Under

Moneyline

Florida

Houston +1.5

47%

53%

+100

-118

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See Matchup

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Houston

Florida FLA

+100

Houston +1.5

47%

53%

See Matchup

Houston HOU

-118

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Florida vs. Houston March Madness Odds

We have sourced the best March Madness odds in America for this Championship game, which are listed here:

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Boost your betting this month with the top March Madness betting sites and March Madness betting promos, sourced from top sportsbooks and DFS operators.

Florida vs. Houston Picks and Best Bets

Our model's strongest edge in today's Florida vs. Houston matchup is on the moneyline.

Our expert predictions, aligned with the latest odds, reveal the best March Madness picks and March Madness best bets for every game throughout the tournament.

Unlimited access to our complete set of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

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Florida vs. Houston Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

Monday's college basketball matchup between Houston and Florida at Alamodome is scheduled to begin at 8:50PM ET.

• Who: Florida vs. Houston
• Date: Monday, April 7, 2025
• Time: 8:50PM ET/5:50PM PT
• Venue: Alamodome
• March Madness Stage: Championship Game

Dimers.com's comprehensive preview of Monday's Florida vs. Houston matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Florida vs. Houston picks, be sure to check out the latest March Madness predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Key March Madness Guides and Insights

• Learn about NCAA Championship history and the lowest-seeded team to ever win March Madness
• Get answers to legal questions, including which states you can legally bet on college sports and the minimum age required to place a bet on March Madness
• A breakdown of March Madness futures bets and popular prop bets for the NCAA tournament
• Explore strategy with guides on identifying value bets during the tournament and betting on individual player awards like Tournament MVP
• Understand the tournament format, including how many games are played in March Madness and how venue locations impact teams when playing at neutral sites

Conclusion

We predict Florida, with a 53% win probability, will likely beat Houston on Monday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Florida vs. Houston insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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More on College Basketball

Keep up with the latest college basketball predictions, college basketball news and NCAA Tournament parlay picks throughout the tournament. Plus, our NCAA Tournament Championship odds offer the latest projections for every March Madness contender.