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Panthers vs. Lightning Prediction: Tampa Bay Predicted to Win Thursday's NHL Matchup [4/24/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Our expert prediction for Thursday's Florida Panthers vs Tampa Bay Lightning matchup.
The Tampa Bay Lightning and Florida Panthers will lock horns in the NHL Playoffs at Amalie Arena on Thursday, with puck drop at 6:30PM ET.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven NHL model (see Dimers Pro for full access) projects the Lightning as the most likely winner of today's game.
"Using the latest data, our experts simulated Thursday's Florida-Tampa Bay game 10,000 times," said Mac Douglass from Dimers.
"Taking into account recent updates and various additional inputs, we forecast the Lightning with a win probability of 54% and the Panthers with 46%."
For a closer look at Thursday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Panthers vs. Lightning predictions page.
Get 20% off Dimers Pro With Code 20HOCKEY Get Dimers Pro Lightning vs. Panthers Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Puck Line?
Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Thursday's NHL Playoffs matchup between the Panthers and Lightning 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model gives the Lightning a 54% chance of defeating the Panthers.
According to our model, the Panthers (+1.5) have a 68% chance of covering the puck line, while the 6-goal over/under has a 53% chance of staying under.
Panthers vs. Lightning Odds
We have researched the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Panthers | Lightning |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | +1.5 (-250) | -1.5 (+205) |
| Moneyline | +102 | -120 |
| Total | o6 (-105) | u6 (-115) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
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Panthers vs. Lightning Picks and Best Bets
Our model's biggest edge in today's Panthers vs. Lightning matchup is on the puck line.
Our expert predictions, matched against the latest odds, reveal the best NHL picks and NHL best bets for every game throughout the season.
Unlimited access to our full suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.
Unlock Every Panthers-Lightning Pick Get Dimers Pro Panthers vs. Lightning Player Props
Who will score an anytime goal in Panthers vs. Lightning?
According to our model, Tampa Bay's Jake Guentzel is most likely to score the first goal in Panthers vs. Lightning.
Our projections give Guentzel a 7.5% chance of scoring the first goal at Amalie Arena, while the Lightning star is a 33.9% chance of netting an anytime goal.
First Goal Scorer Predictions
Florida Panthers
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Matthew Tkachuk | 6.0% |
| Carter Verhaeghe | 5.8% |
| Aleksander Barkov | 4.5% |
Tampa Bay Lightning
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Jake Guentzel | 7.5% |
| Brayden Point | 6.8% |
| Nikita Kucherov | 5.6% |
Anytime Goal Scorer Predictions
Florida Panthers
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Matthew Tkachuk | 29.0% |
| Carter Verhaeghe | 28.2% |
| Sam Reinhart | 23.2% |
Tampa Bay Lightning
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Brayden Point | 34.0% |
| Jake Guentzel | 33.9% |
| Nikita Kucherov | 28.0% |
Panthers vs. Lightning Game-Day Updates and Essential Details
Thursday's game between the Lightning and Panthers in the NHL Playoffs is scheduled to begin at 6:30PM ET.
- Who: Florida Panthers vs. Tampa Bay Lightning
- Date: Thursday, April 24, 2025
- Time: 6:30PM ET/3:30PM PT
- Venue: Amalie Arena
The Stanley Cup Playoffs is the NHL's postseason elimination tournament to decide the winner of the Stanley Cup.
A total of 16 teams, including the Panthers and Lightning, reached the 2025 NHL Playoffs, which includes four rounds: the First Round, Second Round, Conference Finals and Stanley Cup Finals.
Each round is contested as a best-of-seven series, with the first team to four wins advancing to the next round until a champion is crowned.
Dimers.com's full preview of Thursday's Panthers vs. Lightning matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.
Before making any Florida vs. Tampa Bay picks, be sure to check out the latest NHL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.
Conclusion
We predict the Lightning, with a 54% win probability, will likely beat the Panthers on Thursday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Panthers vs. Lightning insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.
More on NHL
Stay informed with the latest NHL betting news and parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our Stanley Cup odds provide the most up-to-date probabilities for the Stanley Cup title.
Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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