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Panthers vs. Lightning Prediction: Tampa Bay Predicted to Win Tuesday's NHL Matchup [4/22/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Our expert prediction for Tuesday's Florida Panthers vs Tampa Bay Lightning matchup.
The Tampa Bay Lightning will square off with the Florida Panthers in the 2025 NHL Playoffs at Amalie Arena on Tuesday, commencing at 8:30PM ET.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced NHL model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Lightning as the most likely winner of today's game.
"Our team has analyzed the latest data and conducted 10,000 simulations for Tuesday's Florida-Tampa Bay game," said Mac Douglass from Dimers.
"By incorporating recent updates and various factors, our prediction shows the Lightning with a win probability of 54%, compared to 46% for the Panthers."
For further insights into Tuesday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Panthers vs. Lightning predictions page.
Get 20% off Dimers Pro With Code 20HOCKEY Get Dimers Pro Lightning vs. Panthers Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Puck Line?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Tuesday's NHL Playoffs game between the Panthers and Lightning 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model gives the Lightning a 54% chance of beating the Panthers.
According to our model, the Panthers (+1.5) have a 68% chance of covering the puck line, while the 5.5-goal over/under has a 51% chance of going over.
Panthers vs. Lightning Odds
We have researched the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Panthers | Lightning |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | +1.5 (-250) | -1.5 (+215) |
| Moneyline | +100 | -118 |
| Total | o5.5 (-110) | u5.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
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Panthers vs. Lightning Picks and Best Bets
Our model's strongest edge in today's Panthers vs. Lightning matchup is on the over/under.
Our expert predictions, matched against the latest odds, reveal the best NHL picks and NHL best bets for every game throughout the season.
Unlimited access to our full suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.
Unlock Every Panthers-Lightning Pick Get Dimers Pro Panthers vs. Lightning Player Props
Who will score an anytime goal in Panthers vs. Lightning?
According to our model, Tampa Bay's Jake Guentzel is most likely to score the first goal in Panthers vs. Lightning.
Our projections give Guentzel a 7.4% chance of scoring the first goal at Amalie Arena, while the Lightning star is a 33.5% chance of netting an anytime goal.
First Goal Scorer Predictions
Florida Panthers
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Carter Verhaeghe | 5.9% |
| Matthew Tkachuk | 5.5% |
| Sam Reinhart | 4.5% |
Tampa Bay Lightning
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Jake Guentzel | 7.4% |
| Brayden Point | 7.1% |
| Nikita Kucherov | 6.4% |
Anytime Goal Scorer Predictions
Florida Panthers
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Matthew Tkachuk | 28.3% |
| Carter Verhaeghe | 27.0% |
| Sam Reinhart | 23.5% |
Tampa Bay Lightning
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Brayden Point | 33.8% |
| Jake Guentzel | 33.5% |
| Nikita Kucherov | 31.6% |
Panthers vs. Lightning Game-Day Updates and Essential Details
Tuesday's action between the Lightning and Panthers in the Stanley Cup Playoffs is scheduled to start at 8:30PM ET.
- Who: Florida Panthers vs. Tampa Bay Lightning
- Date: Tuesday, April 22, 2025
- Time: 8:30PM ET/5:30PM PT
- Venue: Amalie Arena
The Stanley Cup Playoffs (aka NHL Playoffs) is the NHL's postseason elimination tournament to determine the winner of the Stanley Cup.
A total of 16 teams, including the Panthers and Lightning, reached the NHL Playoffs 2025, which includes four rounds: the First Round, Second Round, Conference Finals and Stanley Cup Finals.
Each round is contested as a best-of-seven series, with the first team to four wins advancing to the next round until a champion is crowned.
Dimers.com's full preview of Tuesday's Panthers vs. Lightning matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.
Before making any Florida vs. Tampa Bay picks, be sure to check out the latest NHL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.
Conclusion
We predict the Lightning, with a 54% win probability, will likely beat the Panthers on Tuesday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Panthers vs. Lightning insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.
More on NHL
Keep up with the latest NHL news and parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our Stanley Cup odds provide the most accurate probabilities for the Stanley Cup title.
Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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