Five NFL Futures Bets You Need to Make in Week 10

One of the best ways to invest in sports throughout the season is in futures bets. The markets are rife with value and it's just another way to turn a profit, especially in a league where games come at a premium.

We’ve attacked the NFL from every angle this season, with our NFL best bets to find value in underdogs and totals, our best NFL player props which have seen success on Sundays and our best primetime parlay picks.

Now nine full weeks of NFL action are behind us and the playoff picture is coming more and more into focus for both Super Bowl odds and the divisional and conference races. Every week teams see their odds rise and fall based on their results and the results around the league. At Dimers, we thrive in this space with our free sports picks, sifting through our model’s latest probabilities and comparing them to the best odds available, always looking for the best value in a mispriced team.

Check out every NFL best bet in Week 10 here.

Who Will Win the Super Bowl?

The favorite for DimersBOT last week, the Philadelphia Eagles are the most likely Super Bowl champion according to our model, rising to an 18.4% probability while their odds are set at +550 on DraftKings Sportsbook. The teams with the next highest probabilities are still the Kansas City Chiefs, who are the sportsbook favorite at +490 with a 14.8% probability and the San Franciso 49ers who have fallen to 12.3% after three straight losses and their bye week. No other team has a championship probability over 10%.

Below, you will find five futures bets that currently have value in Week 10. This means their odds imply a lower probability than our model says, meaning there's an edge in the odds. Some may be chalk and some may surprise you but they all have value with our DimersBOT model projecting a higher probability for each than what is implied by the books’ odds.

Before we get started, you should check out our best Sportsbooks page, where you'll find a detailed review of every sportsbook in your state, as well as the best promotional offers currently available.

For example, did you know that at DraftKings, new users who bet $5, will get $200 in Bonus Bets? Just sign up here, deposit and bet at least $5 and instantly get your $200 bonus reward. Plus, you'll get no-sweat bet tokens to use every day for the rest of the season. There's no better way to pad your bankroll this season. You could even choose one of these bets below!

Which NFL Futures Bets Should You Make?

Minnesota Vikings to Win the NFC North | +800 on FanDuel

The NFL world may have overreacted to the Lions being a juggernaut a little bit. They were one of the most hyped teams coming into this season and rightfully so, but after knocking off the reigning champ Chiefs in Week 1, their success has been a bit of an illusion. Like another division leader that we'll touch on below, the Lions haven't beaten any team that holds a .500 record or better right now since Week 1, and were utterly dismantled by a Ravens team that looks like a pure force. They've beaten up on the lowly NFC South and the two worst teams in their own division.

Minnesota? They've won four straight (albeit against those same teams the Lions beat up on), including with backups and newly-signed Josh Dobbs under center. They haven't even played the Lions yet, meaning there are two head-to-head games that may very well decide this division in the final three weeks of the season. Our model projects them with a 20.1% chance (should be +400) of winning the NFC North, which doesn't sound like much on its own, but their big +800 odds imply just an 11.1% chance. Worth a sprinkle, at the least.

Buffalo Bills to Win the AFC East | +270 on DraftKings

This one probably feels a little gross as the Bills really look like a mess lately. They keep playing down to teams, Josh Allen is reckless with the football and their run game is laughably mediocre. We've highlighted the value in their AFC odds in recent weeks, but they don't look like a team that's going to make a deep run if they continue to play as they have.

All that being said, they sit just one game back of the Dolphins in the AFC East, while holding the head-to-head tiebreaker. Miami has beaten just one team that currently has a .500 record or better (Chargers who are 4-4), with the teams they've beaten having a combined 12 wins on the season and three of them having two or fewer. Though they've looked like the more explosive team as a whole they've also looked thoroughly outmatched in their three losses. The Bills get a 40.9% probability to win the AFC East right now, while their odds of +270 say just a 27% chance. That's massive value.

Baltimore Ravens to Win the AFC | +500 on DraftKings

Are the Ravens the best all-around team in the AFC? They showed some vulnerabilities in the early going, losing games to the Colts and Steelers, but other than that have looked dominant on both sides of the ball. They have a 1.5-game lead in the AFC North with a beneficial late bye in Week 13, giving them an open lane to the No. 1 overall seed, meaning they'd be just two games away form the Super Bowl if they secure the first-round bye.

They've absolutely steamrolled two of the current NFC playoff teams (Lions and Seahawks), outscoring them by a combined 75-9 head-to-head in the past three weeks. Even when Lamar barely has to do anything (187 passing yards, 0 TDs) in Week 9, they dominate. Their defense shows up, the offense rolls and the Ravens look like a top contender. DimarsBOT projects a 17.5% probability to win the AFC, while their odds say 16.7%. It's slim, but value nonetheless.

Jacksonville Jaguars to win the AFC | +950 on FanDuel

Winners of five-straight games, the Jaguars enter Week 10 fresh off their bye week and right into their toughest test of the season so far when they host the 49ers. This will be a pivotal game for both teams. Jacksonville has the AFC South fairly locked up (though the Texans aren't fully going away), and will want to keep pushing for the No. 1 seed, of which they're a game back from the Chiefs (now on a bye) and Ravens. The 49ers on the other hand, are looking to snap a three-game losing streak in which they've seen the Seahawks tie them in the NFC West. 

DimersBOT projects the Jaguars with a 10.8% probability of winning the AFC, a nearly 2% discrepancy in their implied probability by the odds. To further illustrate this value, they're just +750 on DraftKings, and other teams with a similar or worse probability (Dolphins at 10.9%, Bengals at 7.4%) have much shorter odds around +600, showing a clear opportunity.

Philadelphia Eagles to Win the Super Bowl | +550 on DraftKings

We talked about the Eagles last week as a viable bet to win the Super Bowl and not only is their price virtually the same, but we're still getting value even after they won another statement game, this time against the rival Cowboys to all but lock up the division at the midpoint of the season. Jalen Hurts is in a three-way tie for MVP favorite with Patrick Mahomes and Lamar Jackson, while AJ Brown is having the best season of his career. The Eagles are a freight train and are a Jets loss away from being undefeated. They've shown some defensive deficiencies at times, but they typically bend and don't break, which is enough to win in the NFL when you're offense churns like Philadelphia's. At 18.4% to win the Super Bowl, our model suggests they should be just +425, giving us a nice 3.0% edge against the books.

More on the NFL

As well as being your trusted source for NFL pick 'em predictions, Dimers also has the latest NFL news, NFL predictions for every game, weekly NFL best bets, and NFL futures.

Please remember to enjoy gambling responsibly. Responsible gambling means setting limits, staying in control, and understanding that luck is just part of the game. Make informed choices, set a budget, and know when to take a break. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.