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Final Masters 2025 Predictions and Updated Odds
Scottie Scheffler strengthens his lead in Dimers’ final 2025 Masters predictions, with updated odds, tee times, and weather now factored into the model.

The 2025 Masters tees off today, and Dimers’ final predictions are live. With Augusta National once again in the spotlight, today’s model update reflects the most important factors—confirmed tee times, forecasted weather, and movement in the odds markets.
Scottie Scheffler entered the week as the favorite—and now, as he approach opening tee times, he's widened the gap. The final model update shows an increase in his win probability, solidifying his status as the man to beat. Rory McIlroy, Collin Morikawa, Jon Rahm, and Justin Thomas round out a tightly packed second tier.
Masters 2025 Predictions: Who Will Win and Wear the Green Jacket?
Dimers' predictive analytics model gives Scottie Scheffler a 16.0% chance to win—up from 14.9% earlier this week, and by far the highest in the field. The rest of the top five remains stable, though Jon Rahm has gained slightly due to more favorable tee-time conditions and recent market support.
Player | Win Probability |
---|---|
Scottie Scheffler (🇺🇸) | 16.0% (+1.1%) |
Rory McIlroy (🇮🇪) | 7.0% (+0.1%) |
Collin Morikawa (🇺🇸) | 7.0% (-0.2%) |
Jon Rahm (🇪🇸) | 5.9% (+0.1%) |
Justin Thomas (🇺🇸) | 3.3% (-0.6%) |
Scheffler’s combination of elite ball-striking, Augusta experience, and ideal pairing setup for Thursday morning makes him the clear frontrunner across both modeling and market consensus.

Top-10 Finish Predictions
Scheffler also leads the way in top-10 finish probability, with nearly a 6-in-10 chance of placing among the leaders. Collin Morikawa and Rory McIlroy are neck-and-neck behind him, while Jon Rahm saw a meaningful boost from earlier in the week.
Player | Top 10 Probability |
---|---|
Scottie Scheffler (🇺🇸) | 57.5% (+0.9%) |
Collin Morikawa (🇺🇸) | 41.6% (+0.4%) |
Rory McIlroy (🇮🇪) | 40.2% (-0.2%) |
Jon Rahm (🇪🇸) | 38.3% (+1.0%) |
Justin Thomas (🇺🇸) | 28.7% (-0.6%) |
While Scheffler continues to pace the field, Rahm is trending upward as he looks to bounce back at Augusta after a quieter early season.
Full list of probabilities available to Dimers Pro users.
Latest Bet365 Odds for the Masters
As of Thursday morning, Bet365’s markets are largely in sync with Dimers’ model. Scheffler and McIlroy lead the way, with Morikawa and Rahm offering value compared to their implied odds. Meanwhile, Bryson DeChambeau and Ludvig Åberg remain outside the model’s top five but sit inside the top 10 on the odds board—both featured in Dimers' Head-to-Head Masters Parlay.
Player | Win Only | Top 10 (Inc. Ties) |
---|---|---|
Scottie Scheffler (🇺🇸) | +470 | -200 |
Rory McIlroy (🇮🇪) | +675 | -143 |
Collin Morikawa (🇺🇸) | +1500 | +130 |
Jon Rahm (🇪🇸) | +1500 | +130 |
Bryson DeChambeau (🇺🇸) | +1700 | +150 |
Ludvig Åberg (🇸🇪) | +1900 | +160 |
Justin Thomas (🇺🇸) | +2200 | +187 |
Xander Schauffele (🇺🇸) | +2400 | +190 |
Hideki Matsuyama (🇯🇵) | +3000 | +230 |
Joaquin Niemann (🇨🇱) | +3000 | +230 |
Morikawa and Rahm, in particular, may present value opportunities for bettors based on the gap between their odds and modeled win probability. Keep an eye on early round performance for any movement.
Key Tee Times for Round 1
The 2025 Masters tee times were officially released earlier this week, with today's featured groups listed below:
- 9:47 AM ET: Collin Morikawa, Joaquin Niemann, Min Woo Lee
- 10:15 AM ET: Scottie Scheffler, Justin Thomas, Jose Luis Ballester
- 1:12 PM ET: Rory McIlroy, Ludvig Åberg, Akshay Bhatia
- 1:34 PM ET: Jon Rahm, Wyndham Clark, Tommy Fleetwood
Betting Guides for the Masters
- Best bets: +EV betting picks to win and finish in top placements
- Prop picks: Full Masters cheat sheet for make/miss cut and more
- Full predictions: probabilities for every player in the Masters 2025 field
- World rankings: the top-100 from across PGA and LIV golf
- Head-to-head tool: compare any two players to build your Masters parlays
- Bet365 new user deal: The latest Bet365 bonus code offer
Conclusion: Can Scheffler Go Back-to-Back?
The model, the sportsbooks, and recent form all point to Scottie Scheffler as the golfer to watch this week at Augusta. But this is the Masters—anything can happen. If Scheffler falters, look for McIlroy, Morikawa, or Rahm to make a move.
Stay with Dimers throughout the weekend for live updates, model refreshes, and projected cut line alerts as Round 1 gets underway.