Falcons vs. Lions Week 3 Prediction and Odds - September 24, 2023

The Detroit Lions will square off with the Atlanta Falcons in NFL Week 3 action at Ford Field on Sunday, beginning at 1:00PM ET.

Dimers' top betting picks for Falcons vs. Lions, plus game predictions, betting odds and projected player stats, are detailed below.

Today's Atlanta vs. Detroit betting preview is sponsored by Bet365, which has a Bet $1, Get $365 in Bonus Bets promo for new users.

Who Will Win: Falcons vs. Lions

Based on trusted computer power and data, Dimers.com has simulated Sunday's Falcons-Lions NFL game 10,000 times.

Dimers' independent predictive analytics model, DimersBOT, gives the Lions a 62% chance of defeating the Falcons in Week 3 of the NFL season.

More: Betting Predictions for Falcons vs. Lions

Falcons vs. Lions Odds

• Spread: Lions -3.5 (+100), Falcons +3.5 (-120)
• Moneyline: Lions -164, Falcons +145
• Total: Over/Under 47.5 (-110/-108)

The Lions are listed as -3.5 favorites versus the Falcons, with +100 at BetMGM the best odds currently available.

For the underdog Falcons (+3.5) to cover the spread, BetMGM also has the best odds currently on offer at -120.

FanDuel Sportsbook currently has the best moneyline odds for the Lions at -164. That means you can risk $164 to win $100, for a total payout of $264, if they get the W.

Elsewhere, BetMGM currently has the best moneyline odds for the Falcons at +145, where you can bet $100 to profit $145, earning a total payout of $245, if they win.

The Over/Under for total points scored sits at 47.5 with PointsBet, which currently has the best odds for the Over at -110, while DraftKings Sportsbook currently has the best odds for the Under at -108.

As always, make sure you check the sportsbooks you have access to in your state for the best NFL odds and lines.

According to DimersBOT, the Falcons (+3.5) have a 56% chance of covering the spread, while the Over/Under total of 47.5 points has a 53% chance of going Under.

More: Predictions for Every NFL Week 3 Game

Best Bets: Falcons vs. Lions

• Spread: Falcons +3.5 @ -120 via BetMGM (56% probability)
• Moneyline: Lions @ -164 via FanDuel Sportsbook (62% probability)
• Total: Under 47.5 @ -108 via DraftKings Sportsbook (53% probability)

Our best bets are based on world-class modeling and gambling expertise to serve you the best possible plays every day of the year.

Falcons vs. Lions Prediction

Dimers.com's predicted final score for Atlanta vs. Detroit at Ford Field in Week 3 has the Lions prevailing 24-21.

Click or tap on See Matchup to find out more.

Dimers has full coverage of this week's Falcons-Lions game in Week 3, including pregame predictions, top betting picks, and live win probabilities.

Falcons vs. Lions Player Props

Who will score the first touchdown in Falcons vs. Lions? The data is in.

Featured below are the most likely first touchdown and most likely anytime touchdown scorers for both the Falcons and Lions, as well as player stat projections.

And you know what, we provide this information to you for FREE to help you choose the best prop picks for Sunday's game.

According to DimersBOT, Atlanta's Bijan Robinson is most likely to score the first touchdown in Falcons vs. Lions.

DimersBOT gives Robinson a 12.8% chance of scoring the first TD at Ford Field, while the Falcons RB is a 52.7% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.

Scroll down for the full list of first and anytime TD scorer probabilities, which provide a great avenue for you to use this DraftKings Sportsbook offer, which unlocks $200 in bonus bets from a $5 bet on any of the below players.

First Touchdown Scorer Probabilities

Atlanta Falcons

• Bijan Robinson: 12.8% probability
• Tyler Allgeier: 8.8% probability
• Drake London: 7.6% probability
• Cordarrelle Patterson: 4.8% probability
• Kyle Pitts: 4.2% probability

Detroit Lions

• Amon-Ra St. Brown: 10.2% probability
• Jahmyr Gibbs: 10.0% probability
• Josh Reynolds: 7.9% probability
• Sam LaPorta: 5.6% probability
• Kalif Raymond: 5.1% probability

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Probabilities

Atlanta Falcons

• Bijan Robinson: 52.7% probability
• Tyler Allgeier: 39.7% probability
• Drake London: 33.6% probability
• Cordarrelle Patterson: 23.5% probability
• Kyle Pitts: 20.6% probability

Detroit Lions

• Amon-Ra St. Brown: 44.4% probability
• Jahmyr Gibbs: 43.3% probability
• Josh Reynolds: 36.0% probability
• Sam LaPorta: 26.8% probability
• Kalif Raymond: 25.7% probability

Falcons-Lions Projected Player Stats

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Falcons' Desmond Ridder is projected to have a quiet game with 189 passing yards, while the Lions' Jared Goff is expected to throw for a whopping 269 yards.

Falcons Starting QB

• Desmond Ridder: 189 projected yards

Lions Starting QB

• Jared Goff: 269 projected yards

Falcons Rushing

• Bijan Robinson: 78 projected yards
• Tyler Allgeier: 63 projected yards
• Desmond Ridder: 17 projected yards

Lions Rushing

• Jahmyr Gibbs: 58 projected yards
• Craig Reynolds: 25 projected yards
• Zonovan Knight: 10 projected yards

Falcons Receiving

• Drake London: 58 projected yards
• Kyle Pitts: 39 projected yards
• Bijan Robinson: 27 projected yards
• Mack Hollins: 24 projected yards
• Jonnu Smith: 15 projected yards

Lions Receiving

• Amon-Ra St. Brown: 76 projected yards
• Josh Reynolds: 47 projected yards
• Kalif Raymond: 34 projected yards
• Sam LaPorta: 34 projected yards
• Jahmyr Gibbs: 30 projected yards

Don't forget, DimersBOT updates frequently, so refresh this page for the latest betting insights before Falcons vs. Lions on Sunday September 24, 2023.

Falcons vs. Lions 2023

The NFL Week 3 action between the Lions and Falcons at Ford Field is scheduled to begin at 1:00PM ET.

• Who: Atlanta Falcons vs. Detroit Lions
• Date: Sunday September 24, 2023
• Time: 1:00PM ET / 10:00AM PT
• Venue: Ford Field

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Make Informed Sports Betting Decisions with Dimers

Dimers' predictions are made thanks to 10,000 simulations per game, using reliable and up-to-date data sources and analytical methods.

While our Falcons vs. Lions predictions can help you make informed decisions, it's crucial that you only bet what you can afford to lose and manage your finances effectively.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Want More NFL Predictions Like This?

So, you liked our Falcons vs. Lions betting predictions? Awesome. Did you know our NFL Betting News page has a comprehensive betting preview for every NFL matchup as soon as the sportsbooks put out their odds?

That's right, our predictive analytics model then compares those odds (aka Vegas odds) against its own probabilities to find value in the markets, which allows us to write the most accurate NFL betting previews and get the jump on the public and the sportsbooks.

In addition to our leading NFL predictions, Dimers also offers the best NFL prop bets today, projecting passing yards, touchdowns, and more against the best odds available every day of the NFL season.