Falcons vs. Jaguars Week 4 Prediction and Odds - October 1, 2023

The Jacksonville Jaguars will take on the Atlanta Falcons in NFL Week 4 action at Wembley Stadium on Sunday, commencing at 9:30AM ET.

Dimers' top betting picks for Falcons vs. Jaguars, as well as our score prediction, betting odds and projected player stats, are detailed in this article.

Today's Atlanta vs. Jacksonville betting preview is brought to you by Bet365, which has a tasty Bet $1, Get $365 in Bonus Bets promo for new customers.

Who Will Win: Falcons vs. Jaguars

Based on high-tech computer power and data, Dimers.com has simulated Sunday's Falcons-Jaguars NFL game 10,000 times.

Dimers' renowned predictive analytics model, DimersBOT, currently gives the Jaguars a 60% chance of beating the Falcons in Week 4 of the NFL season.

More: Falcons vs. Jaguars Simulated 10,000 Times

Falcons vs. Jaguars Odds

• Spread: Jaguars -3.5 (+100), Falcons +3.5 (-110)
• Moneyline: Jaguars -185, Falcons +160
• Total: Over/Under 42.5 (-108/-110)

The Jaguars are -3.5 favorites against the Falcons, with +100 at PointsBet the best odds currently available.

For the underdog Falcons (+3.5) to cover the spread, DraftKings Sportsbook has the best odds currently on the market at -110.

BetMGM currently has the best moneyline odds for the Jaguars at -185. That means you can risk $185 to win $100, for a total payout of $285, if they get the W.

Meanwhile, PointsBet currently has the best moneyline odds for the Falcons at +160, where you can bet $100 to profit $160, earning a total payout of $260, if they win.

The Over/Under sits at 42.5 with DraftKings Sportsbook, which currently has the best odds for the Over at -108, while PointsBet currently has the best odds for the Under at -110.

As always, check out all the online sportsbooks available in your state for the best NFL odds and lines.

According to DimersBOT, the Falcons (+3.5) have a 59% chance of covering the spread, while the 42.5-point Over/Under has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.

More: Best Prop Bets to Make Today

Best Bets: Falcons vs. Jaguars

• Spread: Falcons +3.5 @ -110 via DraftKings Sportsbook (59% probability) 🔥
• Moneyline: Falcons @ +160 via PointsBet (1.8% edge)
• Total: Over 42.5 @ -108 via DraftKings Sportsbook (50% probability)

Any time you see a 🔥, you know you've found one of our best free picks of the day across any sport.

Our best bets are based on world-class modeling and betting intelligence to help you make better investments with the legal sportsbooks in the United States.

While the Jaguars are more likely to win the game, according to DimersBOT, betting on the Falcons moneyline is the best option because of the 1.8% edge found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the betting odds currently available.

Taking advantage of the edges seen here at Dimers.com is crucial to being profitable in the long run.

Falcons vs. Jaguars Prediction

Dimers.com's predicted final score for Atlanta vs. Jacksonville at Wembley Stadium in Week 4 has the Jaguars winning 22-20.

Click or tap on See Matchup for more information.

Dimers has full betting coverage of this week's Falcons-Jaguars game in Week 4, including pregame predictions, top betting picks, and live win probabilities.

Falcons vs. Jaguars Player Props

Who will score the first touchdown in Falcons vs. Jaguars? The data is in.

Featured below are the most likely first touchdown and most likely anytime touchdown scorers for both the Falcons and Jaguars, as well as player stat projections.

And you know what, we provide this information to you for FREE to help you select the best prop bets for Sunday's game.

According to DimersBOT, Atlanta's Bijan Robinson is most likely to score the first touchdown in Falcons vs. Jaguars.

DimersBOT gives Robinson an 11.9% chance of scoring the first TD at Wembley Stadium, while the Falcons RB is a 45.8% chance of registering an anytime touchdown.

Scroll down for the complete list of first and anytime TD scorer probabilities, which provide a great avenue for you to use this DraftKings Sportsbook offer, which unlocks $200 in bonus bets from a $5 bet on any of the below players.

First Touchdown Scorer Probabilities

Atlanta Falcons

• Bijan Robinson: 11.9% probability
• Tyler Allgeier: 8.0% probability
• Kyle Pitts: 5.7% probability
• Drake London: 5.7% probability
• Mack Hollins: 4.3% probability

Jacksonville Jaguars

• Travis Etienne: 10.4% probability
• Calvin Ridley: 9.6% probability
• Christian Kirk: 8.5% probability
• Trevor Lawrence: 6.9% probability
• Evan Engram: 6.8% probability

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Probabilities

Atlanta Falcons

• Bijan Robinson: 45.8% probability
• Tyler Allgeier: 34.2% probability
• Drake London: 26.4% probability
• Kyle Pitts: 26.0% probability
• Mack Hollins: 18.8% probability

Jacksonville Jaguars

• Travis Etienne: 41.9% probability
• Calvin Ridley: 38.7% probability
• Christian Kirk: 34.4% probability
• Trevor Lawrence: 28.9% probability
• Evan Engram: 28.9% probability

Falcons-Jaguars Projected Player Stats

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Falcons' Desmond Ridder is projected to have a quiet game with 183 passing yards. The Jaguars' Trevor Lawrence is expected to throw for 243 yards.

Falcons Starting QB

• Desmond Ridder: 183 projected yards

Jaguars Starting QB

• Trevor Lawrence: 243 projected yards

Falcons Rushing

• Bijan Robinson: 69 projected yards
• Tyler Allgeier: 52 projected yards
• Desmond Ridder: 17 projected yards

Jaguars Rushing

• Travis Etienne: 70 projected yards
• Trevor Lawrence: 19 projected yards
• Tank Bigsby: 18 projected yards

Falcons Receiving

• Drake London: 48 projected yards
• Kyle Pitts: 44 projected yards
• Jonnu Smith: 31 projected yards
• Bijan Robinson: 28 projected yards
• Mack Hollins: 26 projected yards

Jaguars Receiving

• Calvin Ridley: 63 projected yards
• Christian Kirk: 51 projected yards
• Evan Engram: 45 projected yards
• Tim Jones: 30 projected yards
• Travis Etienne: 25 projected yards

Don't forget, DimersBOT updates regularly, so refresh this article for the latest betting analysis before Falcons vs. Jaguars on Sunday October 1, 2023.

Falcons vs. Jaguars 2023

The NFL Week 4 matchup between the Jaguars and Falcons at Wembley Stadium is scheduled to commence at 9:30AM ET.

• Who: Atlanta Falcons vs. Jacksonville Jaguars
• Date: Sunday October 1, 2023
• Time: 9:30AM ET / 6:30AM PT
• Venue: Wembley Stadium

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Make Informed Sports Betting Decisions Today

Dimers' picks are made thanks to 10,000 simulations per game, using reliable and up-to-date data sources and analytical methods.

While our Falcons vs. Jaguars picks can help you make informed decisions, it's important that you gamble responsibly and manage your bankroll effectively.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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So, get ahead of the game and beat the bookies today – check out our NFL picks and predictions.

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