Falcons vs. Buccaneers Week 5 Prediction and Odds - Oct 9, 2022
NFL Week 5 action continues on Sunday at 1:00PM ET as the Atlanta Falcons look to defy the odds against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Raymond James Stadium.
Dimers' top betting picks for Falcons vs. Buccaneers, as well as game predictions, betting odds and projected player stats, are featured in this article.
Today's Atlanta vs. Tampa Bay betting analysis is proudly sponsored by FanDuel Sportsbook, which is currently offering a No Sweat First Bet bonus for new customers.
Who will win Falcons vs. Buccaneers?
Based on high-tech computer power and data, Dimers.com has simulated Sunday's Falcons-Buccaneers NFL game 10,000 times.
Dimers' independent predictive analytics model, DimersBOT, gives the Buccaneers an 83% chance of beating the Falcons in Week 5 of the NFL season.
More: Full Betting Analysis for Falcons vs. Buccaneers
Falcons vs. Buccaneers Odds
- Spread: Buccaneers -10 (-107), Falcons +10 (-107)
- Moneyline: Buccaneers -500, Falcons +400
- Total: Over/Under 46.5 (-105/-107)
Point Spread, Moneyline and Over/Under
The Buccaneers are -10 favorites versus the Falcons, with -107 at PointsBet the best odds currently available.
For the underdog Falcons (+10) to cover the spread, PointsBet also has the best odds currently on the market at -107.
BetMGM currently has the best moneyline odds for the Buccaneers at -500, which means you can risk $500 to win $100, for a total payout of $600, if they get the W.
Elsewhere, DraftKings Sportsbook currently has the best moneyline odds for the Falcons at +400, where you can put down $100 to profit $400, earning a total payout of $500, if they win.
The Over/Under for total points scored is set at 46.5 with FanDuel Sportsbook, which currently has the best odds for the Over at -105, while PointsBet currently has the best odds for the Under at -107.
As always, make sure you check the sportsbooks you have access to in your state for the best NFL odds and lines.
According to DimersBOT, the Buccaneers (-10) are a 53% chance of covering the spread, while the Over/Under total of 46.5 points is considered an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
More: Track Your Bets via Dimers' Bet Center
Best Bets for Falcons vs. Buccaneers
- Spread: Buccaneers -10 @ -107 via PointsBet (53% probability)
- Moneyline: Buccaneers @ -500 via BetMGM (83% probability)
- Total: Over 46.5 @ -105 via FanDuel Sportsbook (50% probability)
Our best bets are based on detailed modeling and betting intelligence to help you make better investments with your state's legal sportsbooks.
Falcons vs. Buccaneers Prediction
Dimers.com's predicted final score for Atlanta vs. Tampa Bay at Raymond James Stadium in Week 5 has the Buccaneers prevailing 28-18.
Click or tap on See Matchup for more.
Dimers has full betting coverage of this week's Falcons-Buccaneers matchup in Week 5, including pregame predictions, best betting picks, and live scores.
Falcons vs. Buccaneers Player Props
Who will score an anytime touchdown in Falcons vs. Buccaneers? The latest data is in.
Listed below are the most likely first touchdown and most likely anytime touchdown scorers for both the Falcons and Buccaneers, as well as player stat projections.
And you know what, we provide this information to you for FREE to help you select the best prop bets for Sunday's game.
According to DimersBOT, Tampa Bay's Leonard Fournette is most likely to score the first touchdown in Falcons vs. Buccaneers.
DimersBOT gives Fournette a 15.0% chance of scoring the first TD at Raymond James Stadium, while the Buccaneers RB is a 57.7% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.
Scroll down for the complete list of first and anytime TD scorer probabilities.
First Touchdown Scorer Probabilities
Atlanta Falcons
- Tyler Allgeier: 7.7% probability
- Drake London: 7.2% probability
- Caleb Huntley: 6.8% probability
- Marcus Mariota: 4.8% probability
- Anthony Firkser: 3.1% probability
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
- Leonard Fournette: 15.0% probability
- Mike Evans: 13.8% probability
- Chris Godwin: 9.7% probability
- Russell Gage: 5.7% probability
- Julio Jones: 5.5% probability
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Probabilities
Atlanta Falcons
- Tyler Allgeier: 36.8% probability
- Drake London: 34.0% probability
- Caleb Huntley: 32.9% probability
- Marcus Mariota: 24.4% probability
- Anthony Firkser: 16.1% probability
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
- Leonard Fournette: 57.7% probability
- Mike Evans: 54.8% probability
- Chris Godwin: 43.0% probability
- Russell Gage: 26.1% probability
- Julio Jones: 25.3% probability
Falcons-Buccaneers Projected Player Stats
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Falcons' Marcus Mariota is projected for 202 passing yards, while the Buccaneers' Tom Brady is expected to throw for a whopping 289 yards.
Falcons Starting QB
- Marcus Mariota: 202 projected yards
Buccaneers Starting QB
- Tom Brady: 289 projected yards
Falcons Rushing
- Tyler Allgeier: 66 projected yards
- Marcus Mariota: 33 projected yards
- Caleb Huntley: 32 projected yards
Buccaneers Rushing
- Leonard Fournette: 67 projected yards
- Rachaad White: 21 projected yards
- Tom Brady: 7 projected yards
Falcons Receiving
- Drake London: 62 projected yards
- Olamide Zaccheaus: 40 projected yards
- Anthony Firkser: 24 projected yards
- Parker Hesse: 21 projected yards
- KhaDarel Hodge: 15 projected yards
Buccaneers Receiving
- Mike Evans: 75 projected yards
- Chris Godwin: 68 projected yards
- Russell Gage: 38 projected yards
- Julio Jones: 31 projected yards
- Cade Otton: 30 projected yards
Don't forget, DimersBOT updates regularly, so keep checking this article for the latest betting insights before Falcons vs. Buccaneers on Sunday October 9, 2022.
Falcons vs. Buccaneers 2022
The NFL Week 5 game between the Buccaneers and Falcons at Raymond James Stadium is scheduled to begin at 1:00PM ET.
- Who: Atlanta Falcons vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
- Date: Sunday October 9, 2022
- Time: 1:00PM ET / 10:00AM PT
- Venue: Raymond James Stadium
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