Experts Release Updated Predictions for Hero World Challenge With Justin Thomas and Cameron Young Surging

The first round of the 2024 Hero World Challenge is in the books, and the leaderboard is already shaping up to deliver an exciting weekend. Cameron Young leads the way with a stellar 8-under 64, while Justin Thomas sits two shots back after a strong opening 6-under 66.

Behind them, a group of elite contenders, including Patrick Cantlay, Ludvig Åberg, and Scottie Scheffler, are just three shots off the lead at 5-under par. With shifting odds and probabilities after the first round, the tournament is setting up for a dramatic finish in the Bahamas.

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Justin Thomas and Cameron Young Lead the Surge

Justin Thomas and Cameron Young made the biggest moves on Day 1, vaulting themselves into prime contention for the title.

• Justin Thomas: A strong 6-under round not only puts Thomas in second place but also boosts his win probability to 10.1%, up 5% since the tournament began. Bet365 has adjusted his odds to +600, making him one of the key players to watch moving forward.
• Cameron Young: Young’s 8-under performance leads the field and has caused the biggest probability shift so far, with his chances increasing to 9.0% (up 7%). Bet365 now lists him at +650, reflecting his impressive start.

Birdie number eight! Cameron Young is on a ROLL. 😤

📺 Golf Channel pic.twitter.com/zJiZqK8Kxs

— Golf Channel (@GolfChannel) December 5, 2024

Top Five Chances After Round 1

Scottie Scheffler remains the favorite to win the Hero World Challenge, holding steady at a 31.6% win probability, unchanged from the pre-tournament projections. However, the surges by Justin Thomas and Cameron Young have made the race tighter at the top.

To find out the win probabilities for the other 15 players, as well as the chance each finishes in the top-5 and top-10, subscribe to Dimers Pro!

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Bet365 Boosts for Day 2 of the Hero World Challenge

Bet365 is offering a variety of boosted odds on the second round at the Hero World Challenge, including enhanced parlays for top finishes and two-ball matchups. T

hese boosts provide excellent opportunities for bettors looking to maximize value across multiple markets.

Here are some of the highlights:

• Boosted Treble: Top 5 finish (including ties) for Scottie Scheffler, Justin Thomas, and Ludvig Åberg | Boosted from +226 to +260
• Boosted Treble: Top 10 finish (including ties) for Wyndham Clark, Sungjae Im, and Sahith Theegala | Boosted from +296 to +338
• Boosted Treble: Top 10 finish (including ties) for Robert MacIntyre, Keegan Bradley, and Brian Harman | Boosted from +213 to +254
• Boosted Two-Ball Parlay: Jason Day to beat Tom Kim, Wyndham Clark to beat Matthieu Pavon, and Aaron Rai to beat Brian Harman | Boosted from +625 to +771
• Boosted Two-Ball Parlay: Sungjae Im to beat Sepp Straka, Keegan Bradley to beat Russell Henley, and Sam Burns to beat Nick Dunlap | Boosted from +644 to +731
• Boosted Two-Leg Parlay: Robert MacIntyre to beat Sahith Theegala and Patrick Cantlay to beat Scottie Scheffler | Boosted from +503 to +560

Check legal Bet365 online sports betting states here.

Conclusion

As the 2024 Hero World Challenge progresses, Scottie Scheffler remains the favorite, but Justin Thomas and Cameron Young have made major moves to increase their chances of claiming the title. 

With boosted odds available for players such as Patrick Cantlay and Brian Harman, there’s no shortage of betting opportunities as the tournament heats up. Keep an eye on the leaderboard as we head into Round 2 of Tiger Woods’ iconic tournament.