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Experts Release Updated Bills-Chiefs Props Featuring Allen, Mahomes and Kelce
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
A look into the best player prop projections for the AFC Championship Game.
One of the most anticipated games of the NFL Playoffs is almost here, with the Bills taking on the Chiefs for a place in next month's Super Bowl.
With so many eyes set to be on the game, our experts have simulated it 10,000 times to determine the most likely stat lines for each star, including passing yards, receiving yards and touchdown probabilities.
Let's take a look at the projected props for stars such as Josh Allen, Patrick Mahomes and Travis Kelce.
Projected Yards
Our NFL props model has determined the projected stat lies for each of the key yards markets, with the top expected performers from each team listed below.
Passing Yards
- Josh Allen (Bills): 230 yards
- Patrick Mahomes (Chiefs): 270 yards
Receiving Yards
- Khalil Shakir (Bills): 54 yards
- Travis Kelce (Chiefs): 60 yards
Rushing Yards
- James Cook (Bills): 64 yards
- Kareem Hunt (Chiefs): 34 yards
Touchdown Predictions
As well as projecting key yards, our model has also determined the most likely first and anytime touchdown scorers, with the top two from each team listed below.
First Touchdown
| Player | First TD % | Bet365 Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Josh Allen (Bills) | 10.3% | +600 |
| Kareem Hunt (Chiefs) | 8.7% | +1000 |
| James Cook (Bills) | 8.5% | +700 |
| Travis Kelce (Chiefs) | 8.1% | +750 |
Anytime Touchdown
| Player | Anytime TD % | Bet365 Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Josh Allen (Bills) | 46.1% | -110 |
| Kareem Hunt (Chiefs) | 39.3% | +162 |
| James Cook (Bills) | 38.5% | +110 |
| Travis Kelce (Chiefs) | 37.7% | +120 |
Bet365 Game Lines
Don't forget that when betting with Bet365, you can also bet on the main game markets, with their competitive odds listed below:
- Moneyline: Bills +110, Chiefs -130
- Spread: Bills +1.5 (-105), Chiefs -1.5 (-115)
- Total Points: Over 48.5 (-110), Under 48.5 (-110)
Conclusion
The Bills vs. Chiefs clash is set to be a playoff thriller, with stars like Josh Allen and Travis Kelce leading the way. From projected stats to touchdown probabilities, this game has all the makings of a classic. Get started with the Bet365 code DIMERS to get ready for an unforgettable showdown!
Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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