Experts Release Pebble Beach PGA Predictions After Injury Updates for Scottie Scheffler and Other Stars

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The 2025 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am is set to begin on Thursday, January 30, at Pebble Beach Golf Links and Spyglass Hill Golf Course. This PGA TOUR Signature Event features a $20 million prize purse and some of the best golfers in the world.

This week, concerns surrounding Scottie Scheffler’s health have dominated discussions leading into the tournament. Scheffler, the World No. 1, is returning to competition for the first time this year after recovering from a hand injury sustained during the offseason. Despite sitting out several early-season events to ensure full recovery, Scheffler emphasized this week that he didn’t want to “rush back just to rush back.”

Collin Morikawa, Will Zalatoris, and Max Homa are also among the field, though all three have dealt with illnesses that disrupted their preparation in recent weeks. 

Jordan Spieth, returning from wrist surgery, will look to build on his past success at Pebble Beach, where he won in 2017. 

Whether these players can overcome their respective setbacks will likely shape their chances at contending for the title.

These developments have prompted Dimers’ analysts to kick off their Pebble Beach Pro-Am predictions. At present, simulations include Scheffler as the clear favorite while accounting for lingering health factors that could influence the field.

Pebble Beach Pro-Am Betting Preview

Check out all the important details on this week’s tournament, as well as the latest odds sourced from Bet365.

Tournament Details

Key information on the 2025 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am, including the courses and tee times.

• Event: 2025 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am
• Dates: Thursday, January 30 – Sunday, February 2, 2025
• Courses: Pebble Beach Golf Links, Spyglass Hill Golf Course
• PGA TOUR standings: Current FedExCup standings
• World Golf Rankings: Check our golf rankings that include PGA and LIV players

Odds

Odds for the top favorites in the 2025 Pebble Beach Pro-Am.

• Scottie Scheffler: +500
• Rory McIlroy: +1300
• Collin Morikawa: +1500
• Justin Thomas: +1500
• Ludvig Aberg: +1900

The odds and lines presented in this article are the best available from selected sports betting sites at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Expert prediction: Pebble Beach Pro-Am

Using cutting-edge data analysis and advanced simulations, the experts at Dimers have run 10,000 simulations of this week’s Pebble Beach Pro-Am.

According to Dimers’ predictive analytics model, Scottie Scheffler is the clear favorite to win at Pebble Beach, with a 25.0% chance of taking home the title. Rory McIlroy (6.4%) and Collin Morikawa (4.1%) round out the top three most likely winners based on current projections.

When it comes to a Top 10 finish, Scheffler leads the way with a 69.9% chance, followed by Morikawa at 40.3% and McIlroy at 31.3%. For a Top 20 finish, Scheffler remains a standout at 83.8%, while Morikawa (59.7%) and Hideki Matsuyama (50.9%) are also strong candidates.

These predictions and probabilities are accurate at the time of publication but are subject to change.

Pebble Beach Pro-Am Best Bets

Our top pick for this week’s Pebble Beach Pro-Am is to bet on Scottie Scheffler to win outright at +500. With a win probability of 25.0%, this gives an edge of 8.3%, making Scheffler the standout play among the favorites.

For value, Adam Scott is an intriguing option at +8500. His 3.3% win probability (fifth-highest in the field) translates to a 2.1% edge, making him a worthwhile longshot pick. Additionally, Scott offers significant value for a Top 10 finish, with odds of +475 and a 29.4% chance, equating to a 12% edge.

This betting advice is based on detailed modeling and wagering intelligence to help you make more informed investments.

Conclusion

With injuries and illnesses impacting several big names, the 2025 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am promises to be a fascinating test of resilience and form. Scottie Scheffler leads the pack as the tournament favorite, but questions remain about his readiness following his hand injury. Similarly, Collin Morikawa, Will Zalatoris, and Max Homa enter the event after battling illnesses, while Jordan Spieth continues to work his way back from wrist surgery.

Despite these uncertainties, Dimers’ predictions highlight Scheffler as the top pick to contend for the title, with value opportunities like Adam Scott adding intrigue for bettors. As the tournament unfolds, the performance of these key players will likely shape the narrative at one of golf’s most celebrated events. Stay tuned for updates and insights throughout the week.