Experts Release New Hero World Challenge Prediction With Scottie Scheffler Favored to Win Tiger Woods' Tournament

The 2024 Hero World Challenge begins tomorrow morning at Albany Golf Club in the Bahamas, bringing together 20 of golf’s top players for this exclusive tournament hosted by Tiger Woods. Headlining the field is Scottie Scheffler, the world number one and defending champion, who is favored to win both by Bet365 oddsmakers and the experts at Dimers.

Scheffler’s dominance on the course and the strategic challenges of Albany make him a clear favorite, but there are also some intriguing value plays that bettors should consider this week.

Scottie Scheffler: The Favorite

Scottie Scheffler comes into the Hero World Challenge as the reigning champion and the top-ranked golfer in the world. His consistent form throughout the 2024 season has solidified his status as the man to beat, and Albany’s layout, which rewards precision and power, suits his skill set perfectly.

• Win Probability: 31.6%
• Bet365 Odds: +250

Scheffler is not only expected to perform well but has proven himself capable of handling the pressure in high-stakes events like this one.

Russell Henley: The Value Bet

Despite Scottie Scheffler’s high win probability, the best +EV (expected value) bet this week lies with Russell Henley. Henley’s steady play and ability to capitalize on scoring opportunities make him a strong contender at Albany, and his boosted odds offer significant value when compared to his calculated win probability.

• Win Probability: 9.4%
• Bet365 Odds: +1400

Henley might not have the overwhelming numbers that Scheffler does, but for bettors seeking the best balance of risk and reward, he’s the player to watch this week, with value on him to win as well as finish in the top-5 and top-10.

Hero World Challenge Favorites

While Scottie Scheffler is the clear favorite, the top three players in Dimers' simulations all have compelling cases to lift the trophy. Alongside Scheffler and Henley, Sam Burns rounds out the trio of likely contenders. These players are expected to lead the charge at Albany Golf Club.

To find out the win probabilities for the rest of the field, as well as the chance each finishes in the top-5 and top-10, subscribe to Dimers Pro!

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Dimers Pro subscribers not only get access to our golf predictions all year round, but also to bets bets, picks and player props across leagues such as the NFL, NBA and MLB!

Plus, for more on this week's event, check out the Thursday tee times, Bet365 boostsand the result of simulating the Hero World Challenge 10,000 times.

Conclusion

As the 2024 Hero World Challenge gets underway, all eyes will be on Scottie Scheffler to see if he can defend his title and maintain his world number one status. While Scheffler holds the highest win probability, bettors looking for value will find Russell Henley to be an intriguing option with strong odds. Whether you’re backing the favorite or seeking out the best value, this year’s tournament promises to deliver plenty of excitement.