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Experts release final Commanders-Eagles NFC Championship Predictions after Jalen Hurts, Daron Payne Injury Updates
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Reviewed by Nick Slade
We put every effort into ensuring information on Dimers is accurate. But double-check details that matter to you before making any wager.
When the Philadelphia Eagles and Washington Commanders meet this afternoon in the NFC Championship, one team will have a notable roster advantage, prompting our data team to update their final predictions for the pivotal game, following yesterday's earlier developments.
The Eagles welcomed back TE Dallas Goedert and Pro Bowl C Cam Jurgens back to practice on Friday, with Goedert saying outright that he's "good to go" after an ankle injury limited him throughout the week.
Jurgens was limited but HC Nick Sirianni left the possibility of him playing open when speaking with the media on Friday, though he'll be a game-time decision.
And of course, QB Jalen Hurts was off the injury report after a banged-up knee limited him previously, though he expects to wear a knee brace vs. the Commanders on Sunday.
On the Commanders side, they'll now be down a key defensive lineman after already losing standout G Sam Cosmi on the offensive side, as DT Daron Payne has been downgraded to OUT after shoulder and thumb injuries kept him out of practice this week.
This is a blow to a Washington front seven that already has an uphill battle against the Eagles top-tier offensive line. Shutting down the run game and preventing Jalen Hurts or Saquon Barkley from punishing them via the run will be crucial to success and they'll be doing so without Payne.
Full Injury Report for Washington
OUT
- G Sam Cosmi - Torn ACL
- DT Daron Payne - Thumb, shoulder injuries, DNP
Questionable
- QB Jeff Driskel - Illness, DNP
- DE Javontae Jean-Baptiste - Shoulder Injury, limited practice
Full Injury Report For Philadelphia
OUT
- DT Byron Young - hamstring
- WR Britain Covey - neck injury
Questionable
- C Cam Jurgens - back injury, limited practice (GTD)
Commanders vs. Eagles betting preview
Utilize the interactive widget below to discover the latest spread, total, and moneyline odds and probabilities for the Commanders-Eagles game at Lincoln Financial Field:
Game details
Key information on the Commanders vs. Eagles matchup, including where the game is and what time it kicks off.
- Teams: Washington Commanders vs. Philadelphia Eagles
- Date: Sunday, January 26, 2025
- Kickoff: 3 p.m. EST
- Location: Lincoln Financial Field
- NFL standings: Current NFL division standings
- NFL injuries: Check the latest updates to the official NFL injury report
Odds
The latest and best odds for the NFL clash between the Commanders and Eagles.
- Spread: Commanders +6.5 (-120), Eagles -6.5 (-102)
- Moneyline: Commanders +240, Eagles -285
- Total: Over/Under 47.5 (-105/-110)
The odds and lines presented here are the best available from selected sports betting sites at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Fans of both teams can unlock $150 betting bonuses with the exclusive Bet365 bonus code "DIMERS," which has emerged as a popular NFC Championship betting deal among local Commanders and Eagles fans in Virginia and Pennsylvania.
Expert prediction: Commanders vs. Eagles
Utilizing state-of-the-art data analysis and computer power, the experts at Dimers have performed 10,000 simulations of Sunday's Commanders vs. Eagles game.
According to Dimers' famous predictive analytics model, the Eagles are more likely to defeat the Commanders at Lincoln Financial Field. This prediction is based on the model giving the Eagles a 70% chance of winning the game.
Furthermore, Dimers predicts that the Commanders (+6.5) have a 57% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 47.5 points, with a 52% probability to go over, up 2% from our previous prediction of a 50-50 chance.
These predictions and probabilities are correct at the time of publication but are subject to change.
Commanders vs. Eagles best bet
Our top pick for the Commanders vs. Eagles game on Sunday is to bet on the Commanders +6.5 (-120).
This bet comes with a 57% probability against odds of -120, implying a probability of 54.5% for a 3.5% edge
This expert betting advice is based on detailed modeling and valuable betting intelligence, designed to assist you in making smarter investments.
Score prediction for Commanders vs. Eagles
Dimers' projected final score for the Washington vs. Philadelphia game on Sunday has the Eagles winning 26-21, giving the Commanders an additional point from our original projections.
This expert prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations, offering a glimpse into the potential outcome.
NFL player props: Sunday
NFL player prop bets are a popular way to wager on Sunday's game without necessarily betting on its outcome.
This article features the most likely first and anytime touchdown scorers for the Commanders and Eagles, as well as projected player stats.
Washington Commanders
First touchdown scorer predictions
- Terry McLaurin: 8.7% probability
- Brian Robinson: 7.4% probability
- Jayden Daniels: 7.1% probability
Anytime touchdown predictions
- Terry McLaurin: 3861% probability
- Brian Robinson: 34.4% probability
- Jayden Daniels: 32.6% probability
Projected box score leaders
- QB passing yards: Jayden Daniels, 217 yards
- Receiving yards: Terry McLaurin, 71 yards
- Rushing yards: Brian Robinson, 51 yards
Philadelphia Eagles
First touchdown scorer predictions
- Jalen Hurts: 17.4% probability
- Saquon Barkley: 15.5% probability
- A.J. Brown: 6.9% probability
Anytime touchdown predictions
- Jalen Hurts: 64.2% probability
- Saquon Barkley: 60.4% probability
- A.J. Brown: 31.8% probability
Projected box score leaders
- QB passing yards: Jalen Hurts, 189 yards
- Receiving yards: A.J. Brown, 66 yards
- Rushing yards: Saquon Barkley, 140 yards
NFL Week 21: Commanders vs. Eagles
Get ready for today's matchup between the Commanders and Eagles in the NFC Championship Game of the National Football League season at Lincoln Financial Field, which is scheduled to start at 3 p.m. EST. We emphasize that all of the NFL predictions and NFL best bets on this page are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the Commanders vs. Eagles matchup, and they are accurate at the time of publishing. They aim to help you make better decisions when placing bets at online sportsbooks.
Please note that when engaging in online betting, it is important to exercise responsible gambling practices and seek trustworthy sources for the latest and most accurate information.
To make sure you get accurate and helpful information, this guide has been edited by Nick Slade as part of our fact-checking process.
Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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