Experts identify edges on two Super Bowl props after NYT report brings overlooked Eagles OL story to light

The Philadelphia Eagles have spent much of the season as one of the NFL’s most dominant teams, but a recent overlooked development in their offensive line could shift the landscape for Super Bowl bettors. 

After new details surfaced about key injuries to center Cam Jurgens and left guard Landon Dickerson, Dimers’ data analysts re-ran their simulations—and the results revealed two high-edge prop bets that had previously flown under the radar.

The Overlooked Eagles Offensive Line Story That Could Change Everything

While the Eagles celebrated their NFC Championship win in a raucous locker room, an important moment went largely unnoticed, reported Brooks Kubena in a Wednesday article published by the New York Times. Philadelphia center Cam Jurgens sat quietly at his locker, visibly in pain after playing the second half despite not being expected to suit up at all.

Jurgens had been dealing with a back injury that kept him limited throughout the playoffs. Initially, starting left guard Landon Dickerson had been practicing at center to fill in. But when Dickerson suffered a knee injury in the second quarter against Washington, Jurgens was forced into action—and the Eagles’ offensive line depth was put to the test.

The Eagles ultimately dominated in the second half, but their offensive line play raised significant concerns. Jurgens was clearly laboring, and Dickerson’s availability for the Super Bowl remains uncertain. Even Eagles head coach Nick Sirianni acknowledged the toll the season had taken on his players, hinting at the challenge ahead.

“This is a marathon,” Sirianni said. “I don’t think anyone knows the half of it, what they have to do to play the long season.”

The revelation of Jurgens’ lingering injury concerns and Dickerson’s uncertain status led Dimers’ analysts to reassess their Super Bowl betting models, and two prop bets now stand out as significant value plays based on the Eagles' potential struggles in the trenches.

The Two Must-Bet Super Bowl Props

After incorporating these offensive line concerns into their latest simulations, Dimers identified two Super Bowl 59 prop bets with huge expected value:

• Jalen Hurts Under 9.5 Rushing Attempts (+102)
  Probability: 67.3% | Edge: 17.8%

  With an offensive line struggling to hold up, Hurts may be forced into quick decisions rather than relying on designed runs. This aligns with the high probability of him staying under 9.5 rushing attempts. Factor in that the Eagles will likely want to protect their quarterback from additional hits, and this prop offers one of the most significant edges available.

• Saquon Barkley Over 22.5 Rushing Attempts (+100)
  Probability: 67.5% | Edge: 17.5%

  On the flip side, expect the Eagles to lean on their run game, specifically Saquon Barkley. If Philadelphia struggles to sustain pass protection, they may turn to a run-heavy approach to control the game flow. With Barkley likely to see increased volume, this over bet presents outstanding value.

Conclusion

While casual bettors may focus on star players or flashy narratives, the best betting edges often come from deep data analysis and overlooked developments—like the Eagles’ offensive line injuries. With both Hurts and Barkley set to be impacted by these issues, these two high-value prop bets could be game-changers for Super Bowl wagering.

For those looking to capitalize on shifting betting lines, locking in these props before the market fully adjusts could prove to be the sharpest move of the week.