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Read Article Melbourne Demons vs. Essendon Bombers Prediction: Bombers Predicted to Win Saturday's AFL Round 5 Matchup [4/12/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Our expert prediction for Saturday's Melbourne Demons vs Essendon Bombers matchup.
AFL action continues on Saturday at 5:35AM ET as the Essendon Bombers square off with the Melbourne Demons at Adelaide Oval.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' proven AFL model (see Dimers Pro for full access) projects the Bombers as the most likely winner of today's game.
"Our team has used the latest data to run 10,000 simulations of Saturday's Essendon-Melbourne game," said Ryan Leaver from Dimers.
"By incorporating recent updates and various other inputs, we estimate that the Bombers are more likely to win, while the Demons have a lower chance of victory."
For expanded analysis of Saturday's matchup, including best bets and picks, visit our interactive Bombers vs. Demons predictions page.
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Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's AFL matchup between the Bombers and Demons 10,000 times as part of our AFL predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently gives the Bombers a 61% chance of beating the Demons.
According to our model, the Bombers (+1.5) have a 68% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 172.5 has a 51% chance of staying under.
Pre-Game Probabilities
Last Updated: 9:15AM, Apr 9
Moneyline
Spread
Over / Under
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Essendon vs. Melbourne Odds
We have sourced the best AFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Bombers | Demons |
|---|---|---|
| H2H (Moneyline) | -105 | -120 |
| Line (Spread) | +1.5 (-115) | -1.5 (-110) |
| Total | o172.5 (-115) | u172.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Make the most of your sports betting experience by exploring our comprehensive list of US betting apps, and the latest sportsbooks in 2025, ensuring you never miss a top new-user deal.
Demons vs. Bombers Game-Day Updates and Essential Details
Saturday's Australian rules football matchup between the Demons and Bombers at Adelaide Oval is scheduled to begin at 5:35AM ET.
- Who: Essendon Bombers vs. Melbourne Demons
- Date: Saturday, April 12, 2025
- Time: 5:35AM ET/2:35AM PT
- Venue: Adelaide Oval
The AFL is available to bet on in the US through all major sportsbooks, with fans highlighting the high-octane 360-degree nature of the sport as a top reason to follow it.
Dimers.com's in-depth preview of Saturday's Bombers vs. Demons matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.
Before making any Essendon vs. Melbourne picks, be sure to check out the latest AFL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.
Conclusion
We predict the Bombers, with a 61% win probability, will likely beat the Demons on Saturday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Bombers vs. Demons insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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More on AFL
Stay up-to-date with the latest AFL betting news and parlay picks throughout the season.
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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