Hawthorn Hawks vs. Essendon Bombers Prediction: Hawks Predicted to Win Friday's AFL Round 1 Matchup [3/14/2025]

The Hawthorn Hawks will take on the Essendon Bombers in Australian Football League (AFL) action at Melbourne Cricket Ground on Friday, commencing at 4:40AM ET.

Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced AFL model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Hawks as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Employing the latest data, our experts simulated Friday's Essendon-Hawthorn game 10,000 times," said Ryan Leaver from Dimers.

"After computing the latest updates and thousands of other inputs, we predict the Hawks' chance of winning is 77%, while the Bombers' is 23%."

For expanded analysis of Friday's matchup, including best bets and picks, visit our interactive Bombers vs. Hawks predictions page.

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Hawks vs. Bombers Prediction: Who Will Win Round 1 Game?

Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Friday's AFL game between the Bombers and Hawks 10,000 times as part of our AFL predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model gives the Hawks a 77% chance of defeating the Bombers.

According to our model, the Bombers (+23.5) have a 53% chance of covering the spread, while the 170.5- over/under has a 52% chance of staying under.

Pre-Game Probabilities

Last Updated: 9:22AM, Mar 13

Moneyline

Spread

Over / Under

Bombers

Win %

23%

77%

+260

-345

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See Matchup

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Hawks

Bombers ESS

+260

Win %

23%

77%

See Matchup

Hawks HAW

-345

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Essendon vs. Hawthorn Odds

We have sourced the best AFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Make the most of your sports betting experience by exploring our comprehensive list of US betting apps, and the latest sportsbooks in 2025, ensuring you never miss a top new-user deal.

Hawks vs. Bombers Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

Friday's Australian rules football game between the Hawks and Bombers at Melbourne Cricket Ground is scheduled to begin at 4:40AM ET.

• Who: Essendon Bombers vs. Hawthorn Hawks
• Date: Friday, March 14, 2025
• Time: 4:40AM ET/1:40AM PT
• Venue: Melbourne Cricket Ground

The AFL is available to bet on in the US through all major sportsbooks, with fans highlighting the high-octane 360-degree nature of the sport as a top reason to follow it.

Dimers.com's comprehensive preview of Friday's Bombers vs. Hawks matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Essendon vs. Hawthorn picks, be sure to check out the latest AFL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Conclusion

We predict the Hawks, with a 77% win probability, will likely beat the Bombers on Friday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Bombers vs. Hawks insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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