EPL Soccer Best Betting Picks and Predictions for Brighton vs. Newcastle on Saturday, August 13, 2022

We're into the second week of the English Premier League and Prospector Sam is looking for a Saturday winner.

Today's EPL best bets and odds for Brighton vs. Newcastle on this Saturday, the 13th of August 2022, are proudly brought to you by BetMGM Sportsbook.

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Brighton vs. Newcastle - Pick of the Day 

Saturday, August 13, 2022 10:00AM ET

First off, let’s simply take a moment to thank Brighton for the gift they gave EPL fans last weekend by beating Manchester United. It’s an absolute blast to watch such a “storied” club crumble before our eyes, and it couldn’t be more deserved (United was the mastermind behind the Super League. Karma is a bitch).

As for this match-up, I’d love to see more of the same against Newcastle, a club whose star is rapidly rising with the influx of Saudi oil money. Unfortunately, I think the visitors may get the better of them. Brighton’s win last weekend is a bit of smoke and mirrors considering just how shambolic the Red Devils are these days, and I don’t think we can feel all that confident in the Seagulls (once again, I am petitioning for them to find a new mascot because this one is truly awful). Newcastle, while not overly convincing, handled a newly-promoted Nottingham Forest side, 2-0, but easily could have had more considering their 10 shots on goal and 23 total.

So, how do we attack this one? Well, as I’ve mentioned before, I’m much more inclined to skew towards a team total than a moneyline unless I have a very good reason to think the game will end 1-0, and that isn’t the case here. Newcastle should produce chances and Over 1.5 is a shockingly high +210, which doesn't properly reflect how much talent they’ve brought in over the last six months.

Brighton are a solid side and should comfortably avoid the drop, but the Magpies will likely be pushing for European football this season and 2+ goals is a very attainable number for them. And, given their season-long aspirations, I expect they try to push for three points despite being on the road. This is a high-risk, high-reward play, but the price is right to go after it.

PICK: Newcastle Team Total Over 1.5 (+210, 1.5 units)

Betting preview: Brighton vs. Newcastle

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