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Early Masters 2025 Predictions: Plus, Latest Odds and Tee Times Confirmed
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Scottie Scheffler leads the field as the clear favorite to win the 2025 Masters, with Rory McIlroy and Collin Morikawa chasing their own Augusta glory.
The 2025 Masters Tournament is upon us, bringing four days of iconic golf action back to Augusta National. With pristine greens, towering pines, and golf’s biggest stars, all eyes are once again on Scottie Scheffler. The defending champion enters this year’s tournament as the outright favorite, both at the sportsbooks and according to Dimers’ predictive analytics model.
With Augusta’s unique demands and history of dramatic finishes, the stage is set for another unforgettable week at the first major of the year.
Masters 2025 Predictions: Who Will Win and Wear the Green Jacket?
Dimers’ model gives Scottie Scheffler the highest probability to win at Augusta, with a significant gap between him and the next group of contenders. Collin Morikawa and Rory McIlroy are close behind, while Jon Rahm and Justin Thomas round out the top five.
| Player | Win Probability |
|---|---|
| Scottie Scheffler (🇺🇸) | 14.9% |
| Collin Morikawa (🇺🇸) | 7.2% |
| Rory McIlroy (🇮🇪) | 6.9% |
| Jon Rahm (🇪🇸) | 5.8% |
| Justin Thomas (🇺🇸) | 3.9% |
Looking at top-10 projections, Scheffler is once again a standout, with over a 50% chance to finish among the leaders. Morikawa, McIlroy, and Rahm all come in with strong top-10 chances as well, signaling a competitive race heading into Thursday.
| Player | Top 10 Probability |
|---|---|
| Scottie Scheffler (🇺🇸) | 56.6% |
| Collin Morikawa (🇺🇸) | 41.2% |
| Rory McIlroy (🇮🇪) | 40.4% |
| Jon Rahm (🇪🇸) | 37.3% |
| Justin Thomas (🇺🇸) | 29.3% |
Full list of probabilities available to Dimers Pro users.
Sign up today for updated predictions after each round Get Dimers Pro Latest Bet365 Odds for the Masters
Bet365 has aligned closely with the model up top, pricing Scheffler and McIlroy as the clear favorites. However, Collin Morikawa and Jon Rahm offer better value in the betting markets compared to their modeled probabilities, while players like Bryson DeChambeau and Ludvig Åberg sneak into the top 10 odds-wise despite not ranking in Dimers' top 5.
Coincidentally, both DeChambeau and Aberg are featured in Dimers' Head-to-Head Matchups Parlay at the Masters.
| Player | Win Odds | Top 10 Odds (Inc. Ties) |
|---|---|---|
| Scottie Scheffler (🇺🇸) | +470 | -200 |
| Rory McIlroy (🇮🇪) | +675 | -143 |
| Collin Morikawa (🇺🇸) | +1500 | +125 |
| Jon Rahm (🇪🇸) | +1500 | +125 |
| Bryson DeChambeau (🇺🇸) | +1700 | +150 |
| Ludvig Åberg (🇸🇪) | +1900 | +160 |
| Xander Schauffele (🇺🇸) | +2400 | +200 |
| Justin Thomas (🇺🇸) | +2400 | +200 |
| Hideki Matsuyama (🇯🇵) | +3000 | +225 |
| Joaquin Niemann (🇨🇱) | +3000 | +225 |
Key Tee Times for Round 1
The 2025 Masters tee times have officially been released as of midday Tuesday, with Thursday's featured groups listed below:
- 9:47 AM ET: Collin Morikawa, Joaquin Niemann, Min Woo Lee
- 10:15 AM ET: Scottie Scheffler, Justin Thomas, Jose Luis Ballester
- 1:12 PM ET: Rory McIlroy, Ludvig Åberg, Akshay Bhatia
- 1:34 PM ET: Jon Rahm, Wyndham Clark, Tommy Fleetwood
Betting Guides for the Masters
- Full predictions: probabilities for every player in the Masters 2025 field
- World rankings: the top-100 from across PGA and LIV golf
- Head-to-head tool: compare any two players to build your Masters parlays
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Conclusion: Can Scheffler Do It Again?
The model and the oddsmakers are in agreement: Scottie Scheffler is the man to beat this week at Augusta. His dominance in recent months, combined with his history here, makes him the clear frontrunner. Still, Morikawa, McIlroy, Rahm, and Thomas are all firmly in the mix — and each has the tools to contend down the stretch.
Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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