Miami Dolphins vs. Washington Commanders Prediction: NFL Week 13 Odds, Best Bets, Player Props [2023]

NFL Week 13 action continues on Sunday at 1:00PM ET as the Miami Dolphins take on the Washington Commanders at FedExField.

Dimers' comprehensive betting preview for this week's Dolphins vs. Commanders matchup includes the latest betting odds, as well as our predictions and best bets.

Who Will Win: Dolphins vs. Commanders

Based on state-of-the-art machine learning and data, Dimers.com has simulated the outcome of Sunday's Dolphins-Commanders NFL matchup 10,000 times.

Dimers' independent predictive analytics model, DimersBOT, gives the Dolphins a 75% chance of defeating the Commanders in Week 13 of the NFL season.

More: Get the latest NFL predictions this week

Dolphins vs. Commanders Odds

We have researched the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Dolphins	Commanders
Spread	-9 (-110)	+9 (-110)
Moneyline	-425	+350
Total	o50 (-110)	u50 (-110)

Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.

Today's Miami vs. Washington prediction is proudly sponsored by Bet365, which has a tasty Bet $5, Get $150 in Bonus Bets promo for new customers.

The Commanders are currently +9 underdogs versus the Dolphins, with -110 at BetMGM the best odds currently available.

For the favored Dolphins (-9) to cover the spread, BetMGM also has the best odds currently on offer at -110.

BetMGM currently has the best moneyline odds for the Commanders at +350. That means you can throw down $100 to profit $350, earning a total payout of $450, if they win.

Elsewhere, DraftKings Sportsbook currently has the best moneyline odds for the Dolphins at -425, where you can risk $425 to win $100, for a total payout of $525, if they come out on top.

The Over/Under is set at 50 with DraftKings Sportsbook, which currently has the best odds for the Over at -110, as well as the best odds for the Under at -110.

According to DimersBOT, the Commanders (+9) have a 52% chance of covering the spread, while the Over/Under total of 50 points has a 53% chance of going Under.

As always, make sure you check the sports betting sites you can bet with in your state for the best NFL odds and lines.

Best Bets: Dolphins vs. Commanders

By comparing our predictions to the odds listed above, we have determined the best bets to make on this game:

• Spread: Commanders +9 @ -110 via BetMGM (52% probability)
• Moneyline: Commanders @ +350 via BetMGM (2.6% edge)
• Total: Under 50 @ -110 via DraftKings Sportsbook (53% probability)

Dimers' NFL best bets are based on complex modeling and wagering intelligence to bring you the best possible plays every day of the year.

While the Dolphins are more likely to win the game, according to DimersBOT, taking the Commanders moneyline is the best option because of the 2.6% edge found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the sportsbooks' odds currently available.

Taking advantage of the edges seen on Dimers is pivotal to being a profitable bettor in the long run.

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Dolphins vs. Commanders Prediction

Dimers.com's predicted final score for Miami vs. Washington at FedExField in Week 13 has the Dolphins winning 28-20.

Click or tap on See Matchup for more information on Dolphins vs. Commanders.

Dimers has full betting coverage of Dolphins vs. Commanders in Week 13, including pregame predictions, betting picks, and live updates.

Dolphins vs. Commanders TD Scorers

Who will score an anytime touchdown in Dolphins vs. Commanders? The data is in.

Featured below are the most likely first touchdown and most likely anytime touchdown scorers for both the Dolphins and Commanders this Sunday.

And you know what, we provide this information to you for FREE to help you discover the best prop bets for Sunday's game.

According to DimersBOT, Miami's Tyreek Hill is most likely to score the first TD in Dolphins vs. Commanders.

DimersBOT gives Hill a 13.7% chance of scoring the first TD at FedExField, while the Dolphins WR is a 56.9% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.

Scroll down for the complete list of first and anytime TD scorer probabilities.

First Touchdown Scorer Predictions

Miami Dolphins

Player	First Touchdown Probability
Tyreek Hill	13.7%
Raheem Mostert	11.9%
Jaylen Waddle	10.8%
De'Von Achane	8.7%
Braxton Berrios	5.0%

Washington Commanders

Player	First Touchdown Probability
Brian Robinson	7.5%
Terry McLaurin	5.9%
Jahan Dotson	5.2%
Antonio Gibson	5.1%
Logan Thomas	4.7%

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Predictions

Miami Dolphins

Player	Anytime Touchdown Probability
Tyreek Hill	56.9%
Raheem Mostert	51.3%
Jaylen Waddle	46.3%
De'Von Achane	40.8%
Braxton Berrios	24.6%

Washington Commanders

Player	Anytime Touchdown Probability
Brian Robinson	36.1%
Terry McLaurin	29.4%
Jahan Dotson	27.0%
Antonio Gibson	25.6%
Logan Thomas	24.3%

Dolphins-Commanders Player Props

Here, you will find detailed projections for all of the key offensive players from the Dolphins and Commanders, including passing, rushing and receiving yards.

Dolphins vs. Commanders Quarterbacks

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Dolphins' Tua Tagovailoa is projected to have a big game with 296 passing yards. The Commanders' Sam Howell is expected to throw for 260 yards.

Player	Projected Passing Yards
Tua Tagovailoa (MIA)	296 yds
Sam Howell (WAS)	260 yds

Dolphins Rushing

Player	Projected Rushing Yards
Raheem Mostert	68 yds
De'Von Achane	51 yds
Jeff Wilson	11 yds

Commanders Rushing

Player	Projected Rushing Yards
Brian Robinson	49 yds
Sam Howell	18 yds
Antonio Gibson	16 yds

Dolphins Receiving

Player	Projected Receiving Yards
Tyreek Hill	98 yds
Jaylen Waddle	80 yds
Cedrick Wilson	21 yds
De'Von Achane	19 yds
Durham Smythe	16 yds

Commanders Receiving

Player	Projected Receiving Yards
Terry McLaurin	68 yds
Jahan Dotson	43 yds
Logan Thomas	36 yds
Curtis Samuel	33 yds
Antonio Gibson	23 yds

Remember, DimersBOT updates frequently, so keep an eye on this page for the latest betting insights ahead of Dolphins vs. Commanders on Sunday December 3, 2023.

Dolphins vs. Commanders Preview

The NFL Week 13 matchup between the Commanders and Dolphins at FedExField is scheduled to begin at 1:00PM ET.

• Who: Miami Dolphins vs. Washington Commanders
• Date: Sunday December 3, 2023
• Time: 1:00PM ET / 10:00AM PT
• Venue: FedExField

How to Bet on Dolphins vs. Commanders

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Conclusion

This detailed betting preview centers around our Dolphins vs. Commanders prediction and Week 13 odds.

Our picks and predictions are made after 10,000 simulations per game, using reliable and up-to-date data sources and analytical methods.

While these Dolphins vs. Commanders picks can help you make informed decisions, it's vital that you only bet what you can afford to lose and manage your bankroll effectively.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that leads to a third-party website that we have a commercial arrangement with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

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