Dolphins vs. Chargers Week 1 Prediction and Odds - September 10, 2023

The Los Angeles Chargers will face the Miami Dolphins in NFL Week 1 action at SoFi Stadium on Sunday, commencing at 4:25PM ET.

Dimers' free betting picks for Dolphins vs. Chargers, plus game predictions, betting odds and projected player stats, are detailed below.

This Miami vs. LA Chargers betting analysis is sponsored by Bet365, which has an outstanding Bet $1, Get $365 in Bonus Bets promo for new customers.

Who Will Win: Dolphins vs. Chargers

Based on advanced computer power and data, Dimers.com has simulated Sunday's Dolphins-Chargers NFL matchup 10,000 times.

Dimers' famous predictive analytics model, DimersBOT, gives the Chargers a 58% chance of beating the Dolphins in Week 1 of the NFL season.

More: Betting Guide for Dolphins vs. Chargers

Dolphins vs. Chargers Odds

• Spread: Chargers -3 (-110), Dolphins +3 (-110)
• Moneyline: Chargers -155, Dolphins +145
• Total: Over/Under 50.5 (-105/-110)

The Chargers are currently -3 favorites versus the Dolphins, with -110 at PointsBet the best odds currently available.

For the underdog Dolphins (+3) to cover the spread, PointsBet also has the best odds currently on offer at -110.

DraftKings Sportsbook currently has the best moneyline odds for the Chargers at -155. That means you can risk $155 to win $100, for a total payout of $255, if they get the W.

Elsewhere, PointsBet currently has the best moneyline odds for the Dolphins at +145, where you can put down $100 to profit $145, earning a total payout of $245, if they win.

The Over/Under is set at 50.5 with FanDuel Sportsbook, which currently has the best odds for the Over at -105, while BetMGM currently has the best odds for the Under at -110.

As always, make sure you check the sportsbooks you have access to in your state for the best NFL odds and lines.

According to DimersBOT, the Dolphins (+3) have a 56% chance of covering the spread, while the Over/Under total of 50.5 points has a 52% chance of going Under.

More: Free Prop Picks

Best Bets: Dolphins vs. Chargers

• Spread: Dolphins +3 @ -110 via PointsBet (56% probability) 🔥
• Moneyline: Dolphins @ +145 via PointsBet (0.9% edge)
• Total: Under 50.5 @ -110 via BetMGM (52% probability)

Any time you see a 🔥, that means it's one of Dimers' best free picks today across all sports.

Our best bets are based on world-class modeling and wagering expertise to serve you the best possible plays every day of the year.

While the Chargers are more likely to win the game, according to DimersBOT, betting on the Dolphins moneyline is the best option because of the edge found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the betting odds currently available.

Taking advantage of the edges seen on Dimers.com is pivotal to achieving long-term profitability.

Dolphins vs. Chargers Prediction

Dimers.com's predicted final score for Miami vs. LA Chargers at SoFi Stadium in Week 1 has the Chargers winning 26-23.

Click or tap on See Matchup for more information.

Dimers has full coverage of this week's Dolphins-Chargers game in Week 1, including pregame predictions, top betting picks, and live win probabilities.

Dolphins vs. Chargers Player Props

Who will score an anytime touchdown in Dolphins vs. Chargers? The data is in.

Listed below are the most likely first touchdown and most likely anytime touchdown scorers for both the Dolphins and Chargers, as well as player stat projections.

And you know what, we provide this information to you for FREE to help you discover the best prop picks for Sunday's game.

According to DimersBOT, Los Angeles' Austin Ekeler is most likely to score the first TD in Dolphins vs. Chargers.

DimersBOT gives Ekeler an 11.3% chance of scoring the first TD at SoFi Stadium, while the Chargers RB is a 50.7% chance of reaching the end zone at any point in the game.

Scroll down for the complete list of first and anytime TD scorer probabilities, which provide a great avenue for you to use this DraftKings Sportsbook offer, which unlocks $200 in bonus bets from a $5 bet on any of the below players.

First Touchdown Scorer Probabilities

Miami Dolphins

• Tyreek Hill: 10.1% probability
• Raheem Mostert: 9.6% probability
• Jaylen Waddle: 7.8% probability
• Salvon Ahmed: 6.7% probability
• Braxton Berrios: 5.1% probability

Los Angeles Chargers

• Austin Ekeler: 11.3% probability
• Mike Williams: 6.8% probability
• Keenan Allen: 6.6% probability
• Gerald Everett: 4.6% probability
• Joshua Palmer: 4.1% probability

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Probabilities

Miami Dolphins

• Tyreek Hill: 46.5% probability
• Raheem Mostert: 45.5% probability
• Jaylen Waddle: 37.0% probability
• Salvon Ahmed: 33.1% probability
• Braxton Berrios: 26.6% probability

Los Angeles Chargers

• Austin Ekeler: 50.7% probability
• Mike Williams: 32.9% probability
• Keenan Allen: 31.3% probability
• Gerald Everett: 23.4% probability
• Joshua Palmer: 21.9% probability

Dolphins-Chargers Projected Player Stats

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Dolphins' Tua Tagovailoa is projected for 260 passing yards, while the Chargers' Justin Herbert is expected to throw for a whopping 274 yards.

Dolphins Starting QB

• Tua Tagovailoa: 260 projected yards

Chargers Starting QB

• Justin Herbert: 274 projected yards

Dolphins Rushing

• Raheem Mostert: 69 projected yards
• Salvon Ahmed: 28 projected yards
• Tua Tagovailoa: 9 projected yards

Chargers Rushing

• Austin Ekeler: 60 projected yards
• Joshua Kelley: 22 projected yards
• Isaiah Spiller: 18 projected yards

Dolphins Receiving

• Tyreek Hill: 76 projected yards
• Jaylen Waddle: 71 projected yards
• Durham Smythe: 20 projected yards
• Braxton Berrios: 19 projected yards
• Raheem Mostert: 17 projected yards

Chargers Receiving

• Mike Williams: 63 projected yards
• Keenan Allen: 61 projected yards
• Quentin Johnston: 34 projected yards
• Joshua Palmer: 33 projected yards
• Gerald Everett: 31 projected yards

Don't forget, DimersBOT updates regularly, so keep checking this page for any changes to our betting analysis before Dolphins vs. Chargers on Sunday September 10, 2023.

Dolphins vs. Chargers 2023

The NFL Week 1 action between the Chargers and Dolphins at SoFi Stadium is scheduled to begin at 4:25PM ET.

• Who: Miami Dolphins vs. Los Angeles Chargers
• Date: Sunday September 10, 2023
• Time: 4:25PM ET / 1:25PM PT
• Venue: SoFi Stadium

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