Dolphins vs. Bills Week 4 Prediction and Odds - October 1, 2023

The Buffalo Bills will take on the Miami Dolphins in NFL Week 4 action at Highmark Stadium on Sunday, commencing at 1:00PM ET.

Dimers' best betting picks for Dolphins vs. Bills, as well as game predictions, betting odds and touchdown scorer probabilities, are featured in this article.

Today's Miami vs. Buffalo betting preview is brought to you by Bet365, which has a Bet $1, Get $365 in Bonus Bets offer for new customers.

Who Will Win: Dolphins vs. Bills

Based on advanced computer power and data, Dimers.com has simulated Sunday's Dolphins-Bills NFL matchup 10,000 times.

Dimers' independent predictive analytics model, DimersBOT, gives the Bills a 59% chance of defeating the Dolphins in Week 4 of the NFL season.

More: Dolphins vs. Bills Simulated 10K Times

Dolphins vs. Bills Odds

• Spread: Bills -2.5 (-120), Dolphins +2.5 (+100)
• Moneyline: Bills -142, Dolphins +134
• Total: Over/Under 53 (-110/-110)

The Bills are listed as -2.5 favorites versus the Dolphins, with -120 at BetMGM the best odds currently available.

For the underdog Dolphins (+2.5) to cover the spread, BetMGM also has the best odds currently on offer at +100.

DraftKings Sportsbook currently has the best moneyline odds for the Bills at -142, which means you can risk $142 to win $100, for a total payout of $242, if they get the W.

Meanwhile, FanDuel Sportsbook currently has the best moneyline odds for the Dolphins at +134, where you can bet $100 to profit $134, earning a total payout of $234, if they win.

The Over/Under sits at 53 with DraftKings Sportsbook, which currently has the best odds for the Over at -110, as well as the best odds for the Under at -110.

As always, make sure you check all the legal sportbooks available in your state for the best NFL odds and lines.

According to DimersBOT, the Bills (-2.5) have a 56% chance of covering the spread, while the Over/Under total of 53 points has a 55% chance of going Under.

More: Free Prop Picks

Best Bets: Dolphins vs. Bills

• Spread: Bills -2.5 @ -120 via BetMGM (56% probability)
• Moneyline: Bills @ -142 via DraftKings Sportsbook (59% probability)
• Total: Under 53 @ -110 via DraftKings Sportsbook (55% probability)

Our best bets are based on world-class modeling and wagering intelligence to help you make smarter decisions with the legal sportsbooks in the USA.

Dolphins vs. Bills Prediction

Dimers.com's predicted final score for Miami vs. Buffalo at Highmark Stadium in Week 4 has the Bills prevailing 27-24.

Click or tap on See Matchup to find out more.

Dimers has full betting coverage of this week's Dolphins-Bills game in Week 4, including pregame predictions, computer picks, and live scores.

Dolphins vs. Bills Player Props

Who will score an anytime touchdown in Dolphins vs. Bills? The latest data is in.

Featured below are the most likely first touchdown and most likely anytime touchdown scorers for both the Dolphins and Bills, as well as player stat projections.

And you know what, we provide this information to you for FREE to help you discover the best prop picks for Sunday's game.

According to DimersBOT, Miami's Tyreek Hill is most likely to score the first TD in Dolphins vs. Bills.

DimersBOT gives Hill a 10.4% chance of scoring the first TD at Highmark Stadium, while the Dolphins WR is a 48.4% chance of registering an anytime touchdown.

Scroll down for our complete list of first and anytime TD scorer probabilities, which provide a great avenue for you to use this DraftKings Sportsbook offer, which unlocks $200 in bonus bets from a $5 bet on any of the below players.

First Touchdown Scorer Probabilities

Miami Dolphins

• Tyreek Hill: 10.4% probability
• Raheem Mostert: 8.4% probability
• De'Von Achane: 7.7% probability
• Jaylen Waddle: 6.7% probability
• Braxton Berrios: 5.0% probability

Buffalo Bills

• Stefon Diggs: 9.7% probability
• Josh Allen: 6.7% probability
• Gabe Davis: 6.5% probability
• James Cook: 6.3% probability
• Latavius Murray: 4.7% probability

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Probabilities

Miami Dolphins

• Tyreek Hill: 48.4% probability
• Raheem Mostert: 40.8% probability
• De'Von Achane: 38.7% probability
• Jaylen Waddle: 35.0% probability
• Braxton Berrios: 27.6% probability

Buffalo Bills

• Stefon Diggs: 47.1% probability
• Gabe Davis: 34.1% probability
• Josh Allen: 33.7% probability
• James Cook: 33.0% probability
• Latavius Murray: 26.7% probability

Dolphins-Bills Projected Player Stats

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Dolphins' Tua Tagovailoa is projected to have a big game with 272 passing yards, while the Bills' Josh Allen is expected to throw for 258 yards.

Dolphins Starting QB

• Tua Tagovailoa: 272 projected yards

Bills Starting QB

• Josh Allen: 258 projected yards

Dolphins Rushing

• Raheem Mostert: 62 projected yards
• De'Von Achane: 52 projected yards
• Tua Tagovailoa: 9 projected yards

Bills Rushing

• James Cook: 70 projected yards
• Josh Allen: 28 projected yards
• Damien Harris: 27 projected yards

Dolphins Receiving

• Tyreek Hill: 86 projected yards
• Jaylen Waddle: 77 projected yards
• Braxton Berrios: 30 projected yards
• Durham Smythe: 24 projected yards
• De'Von Achane: 19 projected yards

Bills Receiving

• Stefon Diggs: 84 projected yards
• Gabe Davis: 49 projected yards
• Dalton Kincaid: 29 projected yards
• Deonte Harty: 26 projected yards
• Dawson Knox: 24 projected yards

Don't forget, DimersBOT updates regularly, so check this page for the latest betting analysis ahead of Dolphins vs. Bills on Sunday October 1, 2023.

Dolphins vs. Bills 2023

The NFL Week 4 action between the Bills and Dolphins at Highmark Stadium is scheduled to begin at 1:00PM ET.

• Who: Miami Dolphins vs. Buffalo Bills
• Date: Sunday October 1, 2023
• Time: 1:00PM ET / 10:00AM PT
• Venue: Highmark Stadium

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Make Smarter Sports Betting Decisions with Dimers

Dimers' picks and predictions are made thanks to 10,000 simulations per game, using reliable and up-to-date data sources and analytical methods.

While our Dolphins vs. Bills picks can help you make informed decisions, it's vital that you only bet what you can afford to lose and manage your finances effectively.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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That's right, our predictive analytics model then compares those odds against its own probabilities to find value in the markets. This allows us to create the most accurate NFL betting previews and get the jump on the public and the sportsbooks.

In addition to our leading NFL predictions, we also feature the best NFL prop bets today, projecting passing yards, touchdowns, and more against the top odds available every single day of the NFL season.