Dolphins vs. Bears Week 9 Prediction and Odds - Nov 6, 2022

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Written by Kevin Hansen
Dolphins vs. Bears Week 9 Prediction and Odds - Nov 6, 2022

NFL Week 9 action continues on Sunday at 1:00PM ET as the Miami Dolphins take on the Chicago Bears at Soldier Field.

Dimers' free betting picks for Dolphins vs. Bears, as well as game predictions, betting odds and touchdown scorer probabilities, are detailed below.

 

Who will win Dolphins vs. Bears?

Based on high-tech computer power and data, Dimers.com has simulated Sunday's Dolphins-Bears NFL game 10,000 times.

Dimers' leading predictive analytics model, DimersBOT, gives the Dolphins a 64% chance of winning against the Bears in Week 9 of the NFL season.

More: Dolphins vs. Bears Simulated 10,000 Times

Dolphins vs. Bears Odds

  • Spread: Bears +4.5 (-110), Dolphins -4.5 (-110)
  • Moneyline: Bears +170, Dolphins -195
  • Total: Over/Under 46.5 (-105/-110)

Point Spread, Moneyline and Over/Under

The Bears are +4.5 underdogs against the Dolphins, with -110 at BetMGM the best odds currently available.

For the favored Dolphins (-4.5) to cover the spread, BetMGM also has the best odds currently on offer at -110.

Caesars Sportsbook currently has the best moneyline odds for the Bears at +170, which means you can bet $100 to profit $170, earning a total payout of $270, if they win.

Elsewhere, DraftKings Sportsbook currently has the best moneyline odds for the Dolphins at -195, where you can risk $195 to win $100, for a total payout of $295, if they come out on top.

The Over/Under is set at 46.5 with FanDuel Sportsbook, which currently has the best odds for the Over at -105, while BetMGM currently has the best odds for the Under at -110.

As always, check out the sportsbooks you can bet with in your state for the best NFL odds and lines.

According to DimersBOT, the Bears (+4.5) are a 52% chance of covering the spread, while the 46.5-point Over/Under is a 53% chance of going Under.

More: Free Online Bet Tracker

Best Bets for Dolphins vs. Bears

  • Spread: Bears +4.5 @ -110 via BetMGM (52% probability)
  • Moneyline: Bears @ +170 via Caesars Sportsbook
  • Total: Under 46.5 @ -110 via BetMGM (53% probability)

 

Our best bets are based on detailed modeling and gambling expertise to help you make more informed investments with your state's legal sportsbooks.

While the Dolphins are more likely to win the game, according to DimersBOT, taking the Bears moneyline is the best option due to the edge identified when comparing our data-led probabilities to the sportsbooks' odds currently on offer.

Taking advantage of the edges published on Dimers.com is one of the keys to achieving long-term profitability.

Dolphins vs. Bears Prediction

Dimers.com's predicted final score for Miami vs. Chicago at Soldier Field in Week 9 has the Dolphins winning 24-20.

Click or tap on See Matchup for more.

 

Dimers has full coverage of this week's Dolphins-Bears matchup in Week 9, including pregame predictions, free picks, and live scores.

Dolphins vs. Bears Player Props

Who will score the first touchdown in Dolphins vs. Bears? The latest data is in.

Featured below are the most likely first touchdown and most likely anytime touchdown scorers for both the Dolphins and Bears, as well as player stat projections.

And you know what, we provide this information to you for FREE to help you select the best prop picks for Sunday's game.

According to DimersBOT, Miami's Raheem Mostert is most likely to score the first touchdown in Dolphins vs. Bears.

DimersBOT gives Mostert a 12.3% chance of scoring the first TD at Soldier Field, while the Dolphins RB is a 48.2% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.

Scroll down for our complete list of first and anytime TD scorer probabilities.

 

First Touchdown Scorer Probabilities

Miami Dolphins

  • Raheem Mostert: 12.3% probability
  • Tyreek Hill: 12.0% probability
  • Jaylen Waddle: 10.2% probability
  • Trent Sherfield: 4.4% probability
  • Mike Gesicki: 4.1% probability

Chicago Bears

  • Justin Fields: 11.0% probability
  • David Montgomery: 8.8% probability
  • Darnell Mooney: 5.4% probability
  • Khalil Herbert: 5.3% probability
  • Chase Claypool: 4.1% probability

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Probabilities

Miami Dolphins

  • Tyreek Hill: 48.9% probability
  • Raheem Mostert: 48.2% probability
  • Jaylen Waddle: 42.0% probability
  • Trent Sherfield: 21.2% probability
  • Jeff Wilson: 20.2% probability

Chicago Bears

  • Justin Fields: 46.7% probability
  • David Montgomery: 37.7% probability
  • Khalil Herbert: 25.8% probability
  • Darnell Mooney: 25.6% probability
  • Chase Claypool: 20.1% probability

Dolphins-Bears Projected Player Stats

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Dolphins' Tua Tagovailoa is projected to have a big game with 279 passing yards, while the Bears' Justin Fields is expected to throw for just 171 yards.

Dolphins Starting QB

  • Tua Tagovailoa: 279 projected yards

Bears Starting QB

  • Justin Fields: 171 projected yards

Dolphins Rushing

  • Raheem Mostert: 67 projected yards
  • Jeff Wilson: 19 projected yards
  • Tyreek Hill: 9 projected yards

Bears Rushing

  • David Montgomery: 56 projected yards
  • Justin Fields: 50 projected yards
  • Khalil Herbert: 46 projected yards

Dolphins Receiving

  • Tyreek Hill: 97 projected yards
  • Jaylen Waddle: 76 projected yards
  • Mike Gesicki: 28 projected yards
  • Raheem Mostert: 25 projected yards
  • Cedrick Wilson: 24 projected yards

Bears Receiving

  • Darnell Mooney: 53 projected yards
  • Chase Claypool: 31 projected yards
  • Cole Kmet: 27 projected yards
  • David Montgomery: 18 projected yards
  • Dante Pettis: 16 projected yards

Don't forget, DimersBOT updates regularly, so refresh this article for any changes to our betting analysis ahead of Dolphins vs. Bears on Sunday November 6, 2022.

 

Dolphins vs. Bears 2022

The NFL Week 9 action between the Bears and Dolphins at Soldier Field is scheduled to begin at 1:00PM ET.

  • Who: Miami Dolphins vs. Chicago Bears
  • Date: Sunday November 6, 2022
  • Time: 1:00PM ET / 10:00AM PT
  • Venue: Soldier Field

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What NFL games are on today?

Now you've got the 411 on Dolphins vs. Bears, check out the latest betting analysis for all upcoming NFL games in our NFL Bet Hub, where you can find probabilities and odds, as well as our best bets for each and every NFL matchup.

Want a pick for the Spread? You got it. How about the Over/Under? Yup, got that too. The Moneyline? Yes sir. And these picks are good, I mean REALLY good. Take a look now!

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Written by
Kevin Hansen
Senior Sports Analyst

Kevin Hansen specializes in NFL, NBA, MLB, and NHL content, using data-driven insights for sports betting. He provides simple, actionable betting tips to help bettors find an edge and pick winners.

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