Diamondbacks vs. Guardians Prediction: Close Contest Expected After New Data Released for Wednesday's MLB Game [8/7/2024]

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Written by Jason Bevilacqua
Diamondbacks vs. Guardians Prediction: Close Contest Expected After New Data Released for Wednesday's MLB Game [8/7/2024]

The Cleveland Guardians and Arizona Diamondbacks will lock horns in MLB action at Progressive Field on Wednesday, starting at 1:10PM ET.

The Guardians will start Carlos Carrasco (3-9, 5.53 ERA), while the Diamondbacks are going with Brandon Pfaadt (5-6, 3.98 ERA).

Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' proven MLB model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Diamondbacks as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Our team has simulated the outcome of Wednesday's Diamondbacks-Guardians game 10,000 times," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.

"With the latest updates and numerous other variables, we estimate the Diamondbacks' chance of winning at 53%, with the Guardians at 47%."

Diamondbacks vs. Guardians Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

Wednesday's MLB action between the Guardians and Diamondbacks at Progressive Field is scheduled to begin at 1:10PM ET.

Dimers.com's full preview of Wednesday's Diamondbacks vs. Guardians matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Guardians vs. Diamondbacks picks, be sure to check out the latest MLB predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Access 130 bets, including a 14% edge
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Diamondbacks vs. Guardians Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Run Line?

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Wednesday's MLB matchup between the Diamondbacks and Guardians 10,000 times as part of our MLB predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives the Diamondbacks a 53% chance of defeating the Guardians.

According to our model, the Guardians (+1.5) have a 60% chance of covering the run line, while the 7.5-run over/under has a 60% chance of going over.

Pre-Game Probabilities
Last Updated: 11:28PM, Aug 6
Moneyline
Over / Under
Run Line
D-Backs
Win %
53%
47%
Get the best bets with Dimers Pro
See Matchup
Guardians
D-Backs ARI
Win %
53%
47%
See Matchup
Guardians CLE
Brandon Pfaadt 5-6, 3.98 ERA
Carlos Carrasco 3-9, 5.53 ERA
Get the best bets with Dimers Pro

Diamondbacks vs. Guardians Odds [8/7/2024]

We have sourced the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Diamondbacks Guardians
Run Line -1.5 (+146) +1.5 (-165)
Moneyline -115 +105
Total o7.5 (-118) u7.5 (-102)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Diamondbacks vs. Guardians Picks

Our model's strongest edge in today's Diamondbacks vs. Guardians matchup is on the run line.

Our expert predictions, aligned with the best odds, reveal the best MLB bets for every game throughout the season.

Full access to our picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Access 29 MLB bets, including a 14% edge
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Calling Our Shot: Best Bets

Calling Our Shot produces daily MLB betting content, including the latest predictions featured below.

Conclusion

We predict the Diamondbacks, with a 53% win probability, will likely beat the Guardians on Wednesday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Diamondbacks vs. Guardians insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

More on MLB

Stay well-informed with the latest MLB news and our data-driven MLB parlay picks all season long. Plus, our World Series odds give you the latest predictions and the best available odds on the World Series, American League, National League, and each division.

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Written by
Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.

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