Tigers vs. Guardians Prediction: Cleveland Predicted to Win After New Data Released for Game 1 ALDS [10/5/2024]

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Written by Jason Bevilacqua
Detroit Tigers-Cleveland Guardians Predictions and Game Preview.
Progressive Field sets the stage for the MLB matchup between the Detroit Tigers and Cleveland Guardians this Saturday.

MLB action continues on Saturday at 1:08PM ET as the Detroit Tigers lock horns with the Cleveland Guardians in Game 1 of the American League Division Series at Progressive Field.

The Guardians will have Tanner Bibee (0-0, 0.00 ERA) as their starting pitcher, while the Tigers will counter with Tyler Holton (0-0, 0.00 ERA).

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven MLB model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Guardians as the most likely winner of the game.

"Our team has used the latest data to run 10,000 simulations of Saturday's Tigers-Guardians game," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.

"By incorporating recent updates and various other inputs, we estimate that the Guardians are more likely to win, while the Tigers have a lower chance of victory."

Tigers vs. Guardians Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

Saturday's MLB game between the Guardians and Tigers at Progressive Field is scheduled to commence at 1:08PM ET.

Dimers.com's full preview of Saturday's Tigers vs. Guardians matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Guardians vs. Tigers picks, be sure to check out the latest MLB predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

READER EXCLUSIVE: Sign up with code 20BASEBALL at checkout right now to receive 20% off your first month of Dimers Pro! This offer won't last forever.

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Tigers vs. Guardians Prediction: Who Will Win Game 1?

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's MLB matchup between the Tigers and Guardians 10,000 times as part of our MLB predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model gives the Guardians a 58% chance of defeating the Tigers.

According to our model, the Tigers (+1.5) have a 61% chance of covering the run line, while the over/under total of 6.5 runs has a 61% chance of going over.

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Tigers vs. Guardians Game 1 Odds [10/5/2024]

We have sourced the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Tigers Guardians
Run Line +1.5 (-200) -1.5 (+170)
Moneyline +120 -136
Total o6.5 (-122) u6.5 (+105)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Tigers vs. Guardians Picks for Game 1

Our model's biggest edge in the Tigers vs. Guardians matchup is on the run line.

Our expert predictions, matched against the best odds, reveal the best MLB picks for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Unlock Every Tigers-Guardians Pick
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Calling Our Shot: Best Bets

Calling Our Shot produces daily MLB betting content, including the latest predictions featured below.

Conclusion

We predict the Guardians, with a 58% win probability, will likely beat the Tigers on Saturday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Tigers vs. Guardians insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

More on MLB

Keep up with the latest MLB betting news and our data-led MLB best bets and MLB parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our World Series odds provide the most up-to-date predictions for the World Series, American League, National League and each division.

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Written by
Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.

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