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Red Wings vs. Maple Leafs Prediction: Toronto Predicted to Win Thursday's NHL Matchup [4/17/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Our expert prediction for Thursday's Detroit Red Wings vs Toronto Maple Leafs matchup.
The Toronto Maple Leafs will square off with the Detroit Red Wings in the 2025 NHL Playoffs at Scotiabank Arena on Thursday, beginning at 7:00PM ET.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' proven NHL model (see Dimers Pro for full access) projects the Maple Leafs as the most likely winner of today's game.
"Using the latest data, our experts simulated Thursday's Detroit-Toronto game 10,000 times," said Mac Douglass from Dimers.
"Taking into account recent updates and various additional inputs, we forecast the Maple Leafs with a win probability of 59% and the Red Wings with 41%."
For a closer look at Thursday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Red Wings vs. Maple Leafs predictions page.
Get 20% off Dimers Pro With Code 20HOCKEY Get Dimers Pro Red Wings vs. Red Wings Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Puck Line?
Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Thursday's NHL Playoffs game between the Red Wings and Maple Leafs 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model currently gives the Maple Leafs a 59% chance of defeating the Red Wings.
According to our model, the Red Wings (+1.5) have a 63% chance of covering the puck line, while the 6-goal over/under has a 51% chance of going over.
Red Wings vs. Maple Leafs Odds
We have sourced the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Red Wings | Maple Leafs |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | +1.5 (-170) | -1.5 (+154) |
| Moneyline | +150 | -178 |
| Total | o6 (-105) | u6 (-115) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
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Red Wings vs. Maple Leafs Picks and Best Bets
Our model's biggest edge in today's Red Wings vs. Maple Leafs matchup is on the moneyline.
Our expert predictions, matched against the latest odds, reveal the best NHL picks and NHL best bets for every game throughout the season.
Unlimited access to our complete suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.
Unlock Every Red Wings-Maple Leafs Pick Get Dimers Pro Red Wings vs. Maple Leafs Player Props
Who will score an anytime goal in Red Wings vs. Maple Leafs?
According to our model, Toronto's Auston Matthews is most likely to score the first goal in Red Wings vs. Maple Leafs.
Our projections give Matthews a 9.1% chance of scoring the first goal at Scotiabank Arena, while the Maple Leafs star is a 45.0% chance of registering an anytime goal.
First Goal Scorer Predictions
Detroit Red Wings
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Dylan Larkin | 6.0% |
| Lucas Raymond | 5.2% |
| Alex DeBrincat | 5.0% |
Toronto Maple Leafs
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Auston Matthews | 9.1% |
| William Nylander | 7.0% |
| John Tavares | 6.1% |
Anytime Goal Scorer Predictions
Detroit Red Wings
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Dylan Larkin | 28.7% |
| Alex DeBrincat | 28.6% |
| Patrick Kane | 28.4% |
Toronto Maple Leafs
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Auston Matthews | 45.0% |
| William Nylander | 35.7% |
| John Tavares | 31.8% |
Red Wings vs. Maple Leafs Game-Day Updates and Essential Details
Thursday's action between the Maple Leafs and Red Wings in the Stanley Cup Playoffs is scheduled to begin at 7:00PM ET.
- Who: Detroit Red Wings vs. Toronto Maple Leafs
- Date: Thursday, April 17, 2025
- Time: 7:00PM ET/4:00PM PT
- Venue: Scotiabank Arena
The Stanley Cup Playoffs (aka NHL Playoffs) is the National Hockey League's annual elimination tournament to decide the winner of the Stanley Cup.
Sixteen teams, including the Red Wings and Maple Leafs, made the NHL Playoffs 2025, which consists of four rounds: the First Round, Second Round, Conference Finals and Stanley Cup Finals.
Each round of the NHL Playoffs is contested as a best-of-seven series, with the first team to four wins advancing to the next round until a champion is crowned.
Dimers.com's full preview of Thursday's Red Wings vs. Maple Leafs matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.
Before making any Detroit vs. Toronto picks, be sure to check out the latest NHL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.
Conclusion
We predict the Maple Leafs, with a 59% win probability, will likely beat the Red Wings on Thursday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Red Wings vs. Maple Leafs insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.
More on NHL
Stay up-to-date with the latest NHL betting news and parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our Stanley Cup odds provide the most accurate predictions for the Stanley Cup title.
Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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